@macroguru9

The New Age Chanos. Short everything. CIO at Family Office. Wharton. MS. DB. Citi. EM specialist with a focus on GBPeso

Joined July 2010
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  • Followers7.8K
3.1KMedia
We called it 10 days back. #Brazil #lula #EWZ
MacroGuru
@macroguru9Oct 16
EWZ (Brazilian ETF) is up almost 40% YTD A Quaest poll released on Thursday found that Bolsonaro, has received 46 percent support among respondents, compared to Lula’s 44 percent. Margin of Error is 2%!!!!! EWZ short risk reward is quite asymmetric.
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Call rate at 5.8-5.9% sending yields higher which is supporting INR. This is effectively a stealth 25 bps hike by the RBI. #RBI is finally coming to it senses and starting to get its act together. #NIFTY #INR
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Tech.....
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Massive if true. #nifty
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EM funds were - Massively overweight Brazil - Massively underweight India Indian EM allocation is the most underweight in history according to some data. This could be a significant tailwind for Indian Large caps #Nifty
MacroGuru
@macroguru9Oct 26
We called it 10 days back. #Brazil #lula #EWZ
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⚡️BREAKING: Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu is Demanding a Strike on Iran before Israel's Elections but is currently being Refused by IDF Chief of Staff, per Israeli Channel 13 Zamir is demanding evidence and justification for resuming the war
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Mario Nawfal
@MarioNawfalOct 25
Many reports in Israeli media of the IDF refusing Netanyahu's orders to restart war with Iran Hats off to those with the balls to stand up to this war criminal, you're doing your country and the entire world a massive favor
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A lot of +ve clues from various sources towards a possible pause to the hostilities - QATAR MEDIATES IN IRAN AS U.S. SEEKS TO EASE TENSIONS - Qatari negotiators have landed in Tehran just now in what appears to be as last ditch attempt in avoiding massive escalation in the region. They have delivered US demands and have received Iranian responses.
Babak Vahdad
@BabakVahdadOct 25
According to OSINT channels, there were some interesting aircraft movements this morning that may point to ongoing diplomatic efforts to prevent a renewed escalation with Iran. - An Iranian government aircraft reportedly returned to Iran after a one-hour stop in Dubai. Shortly before, a Qatari government aircraft had landed in Tehran. - These movements do not necessarily indicate direct diplomatic contacts, but their timing is interesting, particularly amid reports of continued mediation efforts. #Iran #Qatar
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Can we just get this done…..
Open Source Intel
@Osint613Oct 24
Iran has offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz if the United States lifts its blockade on Iranian ports, according to Saudi broadcaster Al Arabiya, citing its own sources. Tehran passed the proposal to Washington through Pakistan.
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Patterns
@Patterns0001Oct 24
JIO IS NOW INDIA’S MOST IN-DEMAND IPO: Investor demand has reached ₹7.4 Lakh Crore so far — the HIGHEST ever for any IPO in India
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kuno
@kunooOct 22
One of the world’s richest traders explains how to handle losses.
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Fed
@lord_fedOct 23
TRUMP: WE COULD END IRAN WAR VERY QUICKLY (We could send stocks back to all time highs very quickly)
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It’s a beautiful day outside, birds are singing, flowers are blooming, and … it’s the perfect day for a “peace deal” headline or some other conveniently timed fake news to send the market soaring
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Brian Sozzi
@BrianSozziOct 23
The tech stock multiple collapse:
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The S&P500 fell 1.2% yesterday despite more than 300 of it's constituents moving higher. This makes yesterday the 2nd widest divergence since 1990 when Bloomberg began collecting the data Only time yesterday's dispersion was topped was in January of 2025 when DeepSeek happened per Bloomberg
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GS's broad AI basket is now down 24% from the recent highs, now matching the July drawdown's lows In other words even if you bought the July SALP dip at the exact bottom, you're just about underwater again
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Reliance non Jio businesses are trading ~ 15 P/E Deep value in the context of Indian stocks Rough calculation Value of non-Jio businesses ≈ ₹16.0 lakh crore − ₹6.85 lakh crore ≈ ₹9.15 lakh crore. Earnings of non-Jio businesses ≈ ₹80,775 crore − ₹19,960 crore ≈ ₹60,815 crore. Implied P/E ≈ 9.15 lakh crore / ₹60,815 crore ≈ 15.0–15.3x. Data from @Grok
MacroGuru
@macroguru9Oct 22
Reliance is fcking cheap as chips around 1200
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