A CLIMATE CHANGE RECAP THREAD, OR WHY IT HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH CO2. 1: We are in the modern warming period, due to the Solar Cycles called Bray-Halstatt & Eddy. Temperatures are EXPECTED TO INCREASE in this period. Easily understood from this graph:

On Friday, GBTT published an alternative Budget: a £150 billion programme of spending reform paying for £97 billion of tax cuts. It's the kind of radical thinking Britain needs after years of failed economic policy and status quo thinking. Mainstream coverage so far: zero. Last week the IEA's alternative Budget was on every news channel, in every paper and all over the web. We're sure its pure coincidence our's hasn't had a single mention on TV, in print or online. With £3 trillion of debt and £110 billion a year of debt interest, why is £150 billion of radical reform on spending not worth a single line?

Tonight, Cardiff Castle will light up green to mark Dwarfism Awareness Day. 💚 The illumination celebrates diversity and helps raise awareness and understanding of dwarfism. orlo.uk/S4Qel

I understand why people are taking a second look at the Tories given the mess Reform is in, but you have to listen carefully to what Badenoch says. She thinks the disintegrating social fabric can be repaired with managerial tinkering. She ultimately thinks it's a integration problem - and an institutional problem (fixing the police, the schools and the operating assumptions of authorities). While these are all changes that need to happen, they needed to happen at least ten years ago - but there's no integrating the Boriswave. Most of it is garbage immigration that can only be a net drain. The policies Badenoch has thus far backed only go some of the way. Ending ILR is essential, as is deporting illegals and removing benefits, but the policy has to be an active policy of complete Boriswave reversal. On that score, for Badenoch to be convincing, she ought to be showing as much contempt for the Tories who enabled the Boriswave as she does Reform. This where the Tory party itself becomes the main barrier. Shabana Mahmood has faced opposition from her back benchers on marginal ILR reforms - but there's no reason to expect the Tory party will be any different. They all spout the same bullshit rhetoric about "fairness" and "British values", and Tories almost certainly will seek carve-outs for care workers on the same basis. The exception becomes the loophole. Without an unequivocal recognition that the Boriswave was a historic error in need of urgent correction, the Tory party is just another managed decline option. Same destination, slower speed.

FYI, talking about Brexit yesterday, Angela Rayner claimed that... “The evidence is really clear in terms of 20% down in exports to the EU, 16,000 businesses no longer exporting to the EU, it has been the red tape on the EU deal we got, has been damaging to the economy”. But if this is indeed the evidence, it really is not clear! Let's unpick it... 🧵