I started using Twitter to help trend Toonami shows. Might want to mute me on Saturdays. Currently write for Sonic Stadium, working on a comic. He/him
Delray Beach, FL
Joined January 2010
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I've no intention of going anywhere, but BS has pulled out in front as the clear Twitter alternative, so if you want to follow me there, you here.
Pinning this.
There comes a point where the sheer number of toss-up races and Dem leads sort of overwhelms the chances of a polling error saving the GOP in every race, and that's where we're at now.
They've lost North Carolina. Michigan, Texas, Ohio, and Maine are getting away from them. Alaska, Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska, and South Carolina all either have narrow Dem leads or are toss-ups.
They are gonna need a sizable, consistent polling error across six of these 10 states just to keep it at 50.
nuckles87 retweeted
Still available in Russia for those wondering
2018 indie game of the year Celeste has been pulled from sale on Xbox over the BDS boycott.
It's the second indie darling to exit Microsoft's gaming platform this year over the tech giant's business relationship with the government of Israel.
kotaku.com/indie-game-of-the…
I refused to believe in South Carolina but clearly something is happening here.
Doesn't mean we'll win, but I guess we can add it to the board of races to watch.
(MS NOW) "Train wreck": Republicans panic over South Carolina Senate race as Trump swoops in
Mace told MS NOW that, in both public and private polling, Graham is up in some surveys and down in others, prompting concern among South Carolina Republicans.
“It’s not good,” she said.
“It’s a f—-ing train wreck,” Rep. Nancy Mace, R-S.C., said of the race on Wednesday. “It’s a mess.”
ms.now/news/train-wreck-repu…
:(
In lieu of flowers, memorial contributions may be made to:
Johns Hopkins Alzheimer’s Disease Research Center Fund
alzresearch.org/giving/
Alzheimer’s Foundation of America Caregiver Resources
alzfdn.org/donate/
Photo Credit: Tommy Garcia
nuckles87 retweeted
In lieu of flowers, memorial contributions may be made to:
Johns Hopkins Alzheimer’s Disease Research Center Fund
alzresearch.org/giving/
Alzheimer’s Foundation of America Caregiver Resources
alzfdn.org/donate/
Photo Credit: Tommy Garcia
Where almost at the end of the part of the day where Republicans gain ground and they still haven't surpassed a 2% lead. What the fuck is going on.
They're gonna need to finish strong tomorrow if they’re gonna hit 3% at this rate.
🗳️ Florida Vote By Mail + In Person Early Voting Update, October 29, 2026, 3:00pm. This is the third largest drop since tracking began. Live turnout has now surpassed 30%. Republicans lead with just over 74,000 statewide (R+1.80). Democrats have a D+9.6 turnout advantage that has kept growing. 4.1 million ballots have been counted!
Statewide Total Votes:
🔴 REP: 1,675,604 (40.39%)
🔵 DEM: 1,601,111 (38.60%)
🟣 OTHER: 871,389 (21.01%)
164,466 new VBM + IPEV ballots across 67 counties have been counted, with the largest update coming from Miami-Dade County.
Latest Drop:
🔴 REP: +72,016 (43.79%)
🔵 DEM: +55,179 (33.55%)
🟣 OTHER: +37,271 (22.66%)
🟢 TOTAL: +164,466
🟢 Total Votes Statewide: 4,148,104
🔴 Republicans lead statewide by 74,493 votes, an increase of 16,837 votes compared to the previous lead.
🔴 This is a 0.35% move toward Republicans.
jaysonfrascatore.github.io/F…
nuckles87 retweeted
🗳️ Florida Vote By Mail + In Person Early Voting Update, October 29, 2026, 3:00pm. This is the third largest drop since tracking began. Live turnout has now surpassed 30%. Republicans lead with just over 74,000 statewide (R+1.80). Democrats have a D+9.6 turnout advantage that has kept growing. 4.1 million ballots have been counted!
Statewide Total Votes:
🔴 REP: 1,675,604 (40.39%)
🔵 DEM: 1,601,111 (38.60%)
🟣 OTHER: 871,389 (21.01%)
164,466 new VBM + IPEV ballots across 67 counties have been counted, with the largest update coming from Miami-Dade County.
Latest Drop:
🔴 REP: +72,016 (43.79%)
🔵 DEM: +55,179 (33.55%)
🟣 OTHER: +37,271 (22.66%)
🟢 TOTAL: +164,466
🟢 Total Votes Statewide: 4,148,104
🔴 Republicans lead statewide by 74,493 votes, an increase of 16,837 votes compared to the previous lead.
🔴 This is a 0.35% move toward Republicans.
jaysonfrascatore.github.io/F…
nuckles87 retweeted
The bottom is falling out
nuckles87 retweeted
There is no longer really any empirical case to make for Republicans having a good (or even middling) night on Tuesday, so their go-to arguments are now limited to this:
— Citing Trump-era presidential year polling error working in their favor (ignoring the fact that midterm and odd-year polling has not had that bias, or has worked in Democrats’ favor)
— Praying that undecided Republican Trump disapprovers come home, rather than stay home
Final CNN polls in 2024:
• MICHIGAN: Kamala 48-43
• WISCONSIN: Kamala 51-45
• PENNSYLVANIA: Tied 48-48
🔗 cnn.com/2024/10/30/politics/…
nuckles87 retweeted
Democracy isn’t just “policy I like”, it requires real competitive elections, among other things, which Cuba doesn’t have
But setting that aside, the Cuban state’s housing policy has been a disaster. Not just under building but banning the legal housing market for decades
nuckles87 retweeted
Very strong polls for Democrats in individual Senate races over the past couple of days. Polls can be wrong, that's what models/probabilities/markets are for, but I think we're past the point where you can honestly say "polls show the Senate is too close to call".
nuckles87 retweeted
na porra da mesmo trecho ele diz que o sofrimento dele NÃO DESCULPA os erros que ele cometeu ao longo dos anos mas que ele queria pelo menos explicar para ela entender, e ele tb pede perdão cara nao é possivel nunca vi alguem odiar tanto um personagem a ponto de deixar de PENSAR
nuckles87 retweeted
#MichiganSenate
Jewish Insider: Mallory McMorrow makes the case for El-Sayed to Jewish voters
The Michigan Democrat downplayed El-Sayed’s ability to influence Middle East policy while underscoring the importance of Democrats winning a Senate majority
jewishinsider.com/2026/10/ma…
nuckles87 retweeted
We'll see, but the polls out of Texas are earthquake stuff.
No TX Dem has polled as well as Talarico at the end of a Senate campaign since 1988.
No TX GOP Sen nominee in the 2000s has been as unpopular as Paxton.
Trump's the most unpopular GOP pres pre-midterm in the 2000s.
nuckles87 retweeted
Can we talk about how Blitz picked up and saved all of the members of I.M.P when they were all at their lowest. He was there to extend that hand to them.
nuckles87 retweeted
This is not what an apartheid regime is.
Black parties weren't just informally avoided in coalition agreements in South Africa, blacks were barred from voting.
Also, 15% of Arabs vote for the "Jewish" parties, plus Ra'am isn't really excluded from coalition governments.
