Using Twitter as unusual flow journal. Also personal acct Politics, Psychology, Economics, Markets Event Driven Short Squeeze Trader RT are likely bookmarks
Austin
Joined March 2011
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- Following2.7K
- Followers16K
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The number-one predictor of the wife filing for divorce is the husband losing his job
Your odds are better if you cheat, drink too much, or beat her. But definitely don't lose your job
I’m so sick of people quoting the statistic that 70% of divorces are initiated by women, OK so what?
Just because they initiated the divorce does not mean they were the sole cause of it.
Can you please grow a few more brain cells before making a statistic the justification for your entire personality.
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incredible.
The people of Silicon Valley are unwell.
If you work at a frontier lab or decacorn, you’ve got it bad. You haven’t seen your kids, your girlfriend’s annoyed, invites from friends to hang out are waning, even weddings are on hold. This is the time to make your mark and make your money, after all.
If you’re building a startup that’s trying to compete with or be one of these companies, you’ve got it bad. Maybe you passed up a job offer at one a couple years back, which means you left $100M on the table, you fucking idiot. Being an underdog isn't as fun as you thought.
If you’re working on a pre-AI startup, you’ve got it bad. Not too long ago you were the belle of the ball, but now your 30% year-on-year growth doesn’t feel like growth at all. It feels like death.
"Too many of my friends are spiraling," Brie Wolfson writes. "I don’t know how we’re supposed to live and work like this."
It’s all too much, too fast. Too much money, too much growth, too much power, too much change. Every month, a new frontier model is released. Every day, a new unicorn is minted. Seriously. 300 days into the year 2026, and 311 unicorns have been minted so far.
So what’s left for the sane ones? Brie went looking for teams playing a different game. She found one in Ottawa: a search infrastructure company that many of the AI darlings rely on.
It's growing fast, and its people are well.
Read @zebriez’s latest company dispatch from inside the sane asylum of turbopuffer.
colossus.com/article/sane-as…
You know he’s probably right about this one
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Dr. Jung once told me that any man who comes into your consulting room will either be 21 or 45 years of age no matter his chronological age because his problems will be that he can't get into life or can't get out of life. Those are the only 2 problems a man ever has.~RA Johnson
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I thought I knew every horrible thing about this story, but it was not until I read @neerajadeshp's interview with Sabatini that I realized how total his unpersoning was
Former MIT scientist David Sabatini just won $6 million in a landmark case against false allegations of r*pe and sexual assault, which destroyed his career.
Once on track to win the Nobel Prize, Sabatini’s ex-girlfriend accused him of r*pe in 2020 and began calling him the ‘Weinstein of science.’ He was later accused of perpetuating a “bro culture” in his lab. As a result, he was stripped of all his funding, lost his job, and went bankrupt.
We interviewed Sabatini (@DMSabatini) about the verdict, which he says made him “proud to be an American.”
@neerajadeshp reports 👇
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After 7 months of writing, I finished my essay!
I think agency might be the most important idea of the 21st century
highagency.com
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A neurologist once told me:
“Stick out your tongue for 40 seconds removes cortisol faster than any pills and breathing exercises.”
1. Your neck is what's keeping you anxious.
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Holy moly this is the best eval guide I've seen in a while, especially for PMs
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This is how things really are
but most people don't fully grasp this until the age of about 40-50
when it is gradually, inescapably, blazingly clear that it was this way, all along
one of the most fascinating ideas I've encountered recently is Chiastic Time
life isn't a story unfolding from beginning to end, but a pattern unfolding around a sacred center
mainly operating through coincidence and synchronicity, events separated by years reveal themselves as parts of a larger mandalic-like pattern
Elizabeth Holmes is proof that no matter how badly you mess up in life, no matter how psycho you might be, women have an out that men don’t get.
Marrying rich. You just need to bag one 🤣
Psychopaths do not break eye contact like normal people because they have no fear. That horrifying expression towards the end of the clip was not a mistake.
It is very difficult for normal people to wrap their heads around this because they apply what they perceive they themselves might feel in that person's place. This is folly because the psychopath's motivations are nothing like yours. Having less fear than an actual predator (lion, tiger, bear) changes EVERYTHING.
How effective the psychopath is ultimately depends on their IQ. That "uncanny" feeling you get when you see her face change is in you because you are looking at a subspecies.
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A great rant which describes the sentiments of your average normie productive chud in America.
This particular guy is actually making a ton of money, but his conclusions are dead on to how young men in America feel today.
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I would extend this
With big tech ballooning over the past 10 years, it was basically a gold rush for prestigious career types (my friends and they're all richer than me now)
I'm not even sure it's like it's collapsing. It's just that the gold rush is over
The 2010s saw an enormous expansion in high-wage jobs to the effect of the middle class shrinking because so many high-wage jobs were created
This was a great thing, even though many people loved dunking on high-wage employees. You want an economy that creates as many high-wage jobs as possible.
It's very clear we're shifting to a new reality, though. Not quite sure what the shape of an AI economy looks like.
But $6.6M per anthropic employee certainly points in one direction. And I'm not sure that direction comes with abundant jobs that all pay well
"From roughly the 1980s to ~2025, there has been a “finance game” that one could play, and that “game” looked something like this:
Kill it in high school, pick your choice of Harvard, Yale, Princeton, Stanford, Duke, Georgetown, or “other top-25 school in a given year.”
Spend a couple of years in investment banking at Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, etc.
Immediately start recruiting for private equity roles (because only the losers who can’t get an exit opp stay in banking! The “buyside” is where the real money status is). Because, as we all know, the whole point of going into banking is, really, to get into private equity.
Get promoted to VP in your PE fund (where you start earning some carry), pivot once again to a hedge fund (if you have some real risk appetite), or go to business school, after which you will either rejoin the PE world as a VP or join a hedge fund.
There is a “trade” you make in this career path:
You will work very long hours from your analyst through VP years, but your risk-adjusted cash compensation will be higher than almost any other “normal” job (I exclude hedge funds from this, given that there’s far more earnings volatility. But it’s very true for the banking and private equity game).
You will have a legible, “high-status” career path that plays well with the upper echelons of society.
The longer you stay in the game, the more that your “upside” is tied to your carried interest in your fund. Starting around the VP level, you’ll likely have some points of carry that vests over time. Fund does well, you make a few million down the road. Fund underperforms? Well, you can’t eat carry, can you?
Your downside risk is capped (cash comp is strong), but your upside is also somewhat capped (particularly at bigger funds, you will be allocated a fixed amount of carry, you will have to stay at that fund for a fixed amount of years for that carry to vest, and the performance of that fund is largely outside of your control)
The TLDR: “finance” appeals to a particular person who desires status but abhors risk.
The key to making this trade work was the “downside risk” being capped: funds need a certain number of young folks doing the tedious Excel work that either A) paints the picture the client wants (sellside advisory) or B) hits the IRR the managing director wants (private equity), so they will pay those young folks a lot of money to do these things. The “downside risk” remains capped as long as two things remain true:
Money continues flowing to these firms in the future, ensuring that there will be future fundraises and more dollars to go around to current and future employees.
Younger folks are needed to do the tedious Excel work through which they earn the right to be the “deal guys” over time."
xitter.cf/Jack_Raines/status/211…
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El otro día hablaba sobre esto y que los pilotos de Fórmula 1 lo hacían antes de las carreras, pero no sólo ellos. También lo hacen otros deportistas para mejorar la coordinación, funciones ejecutivas, cognitivas, tiempo de reacción. Son solo unos minutos al día, merece la pena
I need to start doing this everyday. It’s similar to praying where even though I’m not convinced theres a big man up there listening to me, the act of praying itself is still net positive mental health (regardless if there really is a god or not)
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If you want to fuck up your life, sit around asking what could go wrong. Never ask, "What if things go right?" And also hang out with people who will always tell you why something will fail. 100% way to succeed at failing. Better to be optimistic though.
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Rent control should be means tested. It’s regressive and inequitable and exacerbates our housing crisis otherwise. I have friends who make prob $500K combined and live together and hold on to the other apartment as a crash pad on the westside bc it’s so cheap. Broken system.
