Now we can put Foundayo in the pile for OSA as well. Average weight loss at 52 weeks was 11.5% in a heavily male cohort.
investor.lilly.com/news-rele…
At some point I'll provide a deeper analysis of this data but the key point the authors make?
This is slightly more effective than bariatric surgery at reducing osteoarthritis knee pain. No incision required just one dose per week.
Presented at #ACR26:
The WOMAC pain score and body weight decreased significantly more with retatrutide than with placebo in patients with painful knee osteoarthritis and obesity. Full results of the phase 3 TRIUMPH-4 and TRIUMPH-1-OA trials: nej.md/4A4V4OK
@ACRheum
ALT A graph from the Original Article "Retatrutide Once Weekly in Adults with Knee Osteoarthritis Pain and Obesity.” The trial names, TRIUMPH-4 and TRIUMPH-1-OA, are in parentheses after the title. The graph shows the change in WOMAC pain subscale score among participants in TRIUMPH-4. The trial results are being presented at the American College of Rheumatology Annual Meeting. The logo of the New England Journal of Medicine is at the bottom.
The Lp(a) trial was very flawed. They over treated their own population by lowering the LDL so much and then *shocked Pikachu* face found a null result.
But look in the appendix and those with LDL>100 had a small signal.
Plus 20% DC rate! And only 73% reduction in Lp(a)
Today #AHA26 and @NEJM the 2 big trials of secondary prevention of heart disease with an IL-6 antibody and Lp(a) antisense oligonucleotide. No beneficial effect, overall and across all subgroups
nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NE…
nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NE…
David W retweeted
1/10 #NephJC #TenPosts
🫘 Intermittent HD or continuous RRT for critically ill patients with AKI?
⚖️ For years, trials suggested similar outcomes. Does the choice of modality affect survival?
💥 The ICRAKI trial challenges previous evidence
nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NEJMoa2…
David W retweeted
ICRAKI- intermittent vs continuous RRT for AKI in the ICU? VA by @farahwehbe92
#NephTwitter #NephJC
nephjc.com/news/icraki-the-v…
David W retweeted
IHD vs CRRT again. ICRAKI was stopped early due to higher mortality with IHD. Real signal or truncation artifact? And was IHD given the way we'd give it to a patient on vasopressors? #NephJC #nephtwitter
✍️ By @rn_flex @DivyaveerSSNeph
nephjc.com/news/icraki11126
David W retweeted
#nephjc coverage of #kidneywk simultaneous publications day 1✨✨
✍️By @hswapnil @DrAkshayaJ @CristinaDeReins @dra_miliflores
nephjc.com/news/2026/10/21/k…
Cuz me and Jen are nerds. Couple notes here. The length of trial indicates they're planning for 30% weight loss as the average which is nuts. RIP Bariatric surgery.
Also change in GFR. Elora ⬆️ GFR in phase 2 data
For DM2 composite >15% WL AND A1c <6.5% is ambitious AF
🚨 EloraTZP AMPLIFY-1 and -2 Phase 3 trials have posted to clinical trials. 100 weeks! Wow! 😲
▪️AMPLIFY-1: Overweight/Obesity without T2D, 2100 patients and 8 ARMS!!! (5 Elora TZP, 1 Elora, 1 Tirz, and 1 placebo)
▪️AMPLIFY-2: Overweight/Obesity with T2D, 1000 patients and 2 arms (no placebo!). EloraTZP and Tirzepatide alone
Estimated end dates: End of 2029
AMPLIFY-1
clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT…
AMPLIFY-2
clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT…
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First blush thought. Reta but more diarrhea, nausea/vomiting signal looks weird, increased lipase 15-20% is 🧐🧐 worth watching. Heart rate increases up to 10BPM, 6MG arm confounded ~25% of patients never took 6mg dose. Probably viable molecule but it'll be 3 years too late.
Cell metabolism publication: cell.com/cell-metabolism/abs…
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David W retweeted
If someone miraculously invented a drug that:
- successfully reversed obesity and most of its associated diseases
- improved longevity
- decreased the long term health costs
….and it was NOT covered by health insurance, ….
- then what would be the use of health insurance?
Can an oral small molecule provide renal and cardiovascular benefits just like the injectable GLP1 meds? The answer is probably so! New blog post today about Achieve 4 the CV trial that was presented at EASD.
the-incretins.beehiiv.com/p/…
David W retweeted
Managing iron-deficiency anemia is a challenge in CKD. This randomized trial in #ASNCJASN found that adding lactoferrin to oral iron improved hemoglobin and iron status more than iron alone, suggesting a potentially accessible treatment strategy. kidney.pub/CJASN11204
The cadence here is wild. Next year will be Reta launch + Tirz for Type 1 diabetes, Foundayo for Type 2, Then Elora in late 2028. Then EloraTZP in late 29/30. Brenipatide will probably be 2028. They're not slowing down at all.
Thanks to my Reddit friends for the heads up. Apparently there was a Lilly Investor call for EASD 2026, but there’s no archived audio. 😔
But look at this little beaut. Some additional details on P3 for EloraTZP.
▪️AMPLIFY studies for EloraTZP starting late 2026/early 2027 and ending in 2029.
▪️AMPLIFY-1: EloraTZP, tirzepatide alone & eloralintide alone, BMI > 35 without T2D
▪️AMPLIFY-2: EloraTZP vs. tirzepatide, with T2D
▪️AMPLIFY-3: EloraTZP, tirzepatide alone & eloralintide alone, BMI ≥ 27 to < 35 without T2D
➡️ Lilly seems to be purposefully separating the trials into different BMI categories, which should provide a clearer picture for prospective patients on likely response/trajectories. SMART. ❤️
Lilly will have to apply all lessons learned from TRIUMPH to their trial protocols, especially AMPLIFY-3. One hopes they provide adequate lower doses for de-escalation.
investor.lilly.com/static-fi…
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David W retweeted
😲 The most shocking info that David (@rn_flex) highlighted in this piece was the difference in the A1C reductions between CagriSema and EloraTZP.
▪️The two amylins clearly have very different efficacy for A1C reduction. In REIMAGINE 2, Cagrilintide 2.4 mg showed a -0.8 reduction in A1C (efficacy estimand), while Elora showed reductions of -1.06 to -1.42 on its own in its T2D P2.
▪️All 5 EloraTZP arms had at least 90%% of patients hitting an A1C < 7%, and two arms had 100%, compared to 82% for CS 2.4/2.4mg.
▪️4/5 of the EloraTZP arms had 66-77% of patients reach normal glycemia (A1C < 5.7%), and the 5th (the lowest dose arm) hit 45%, while CS 2.4/2.4mg only had 20.6% achieve normal glycemia.
▪️Baseline A1C were 8.2% for REIMAGINE 2, and 8.14% for the EloraTZP P2.
The normal glycemia data for CS is pulled from their ADA presentation. I could not find it in the REIMAGINE-2 paper.
Also added the TRIUMPH-2 A1C data for retatrutide, but I should note that the baseline A1C was 7.7%.
🔥 It feels foolish to post TWO @rn_flex articles in one day, but here we are.
▪️GREAT REVIEW of the whirlwind that was Tuesday and Wednesday of EASD 2026, plus a pretty great synopsis of how wild the last 10 years have been in GLP-1s
▪️Retatrutide TRIUMPH-1 and -2 and Elora Tirz P1 & T2D P2
▪️If you want to be excited about future treatment *possibilities*, this is a great review of retatrutide and eloralintide + tirzepatide
▪️Caveat: There’s definitely still work to do in optimizing tolerability and safety, and figuring out how to report all of this back to trial readers (docs, investors, and patients)
Humor: Pretty sure there’s a dungeon and dragons/dice-based role playing game reference in there 🤦♀️, plus a classic Jurassic Park one as well 🦕.
[Yes, I’m admitting to playing a weekend or two of D&D in my foolish college years.]
the-incretins.beehiiv.com/p/…
David W retweeted
🔥 It feels foolish to post TWO @rn_flex articles in one day, but here we are.
▪️GREAT REVIEW of the whirlwind that was Tuesday and Wednesday of EASD 2026, plus a pretty great synopsis of how wild the last 10 years have been in GLP-1s
▪️Retatrutide TRIUMPH-1 and -2 and Elora Tirz P1 & T2D P2
▪️If you want to be excited about future treatment *possibilities*, this is a great review of retatrutide and eloralintide + tirzepatide
▪️Caveat: There’s definitely still work to do in optimizing tolerability and safety, and figuring out how to report all of this back to trial readers (docs, investors, and patients)
Humor: Pretty sure there’s a dungeon and dragons/dice-based role playing game reference in there 🤦♀️, plus a classic Jurassic Park one as well 🦕.
[Yes, I’m admitting to playing a weekend or two of D&D in my foolish college years.]
the-incretins.beehiiv.com/p/…
David W retweeted
Let’s look at this, shall we?
▪️The standards for inclusion only appear to require a SINGLE GLP-1 injectable SCRIPT (not a fill) prior to switch. So some people in this might not have ever taken an injectable, if they ran into insurance or cost issues.
▪️41% of those switched from Zepbound had 2.5mg as their last script before switching. Thats just the intro dose and not approved for weight loss efficacy.
▪️69% of those switching from injectable Wegovy were on 1mg or lower for their last script before switching. 1.7mg is the first dose approved for weight loss efficacy.
▪️Mean BMI change over 3 months was 1.4 and mean loss was 4kg (8.8lbs).
▪️That may be *statistically* significant, but is it that stage sort of significance patients are expecting when you say “significantly”?
▪️They don’t break out results by starting treatment AT ALL.
#PRESS: What happened when people switched from weight-loss injections to a pill?
Learn more about the findings, presented at EASD 2026, in our press release: novonordisk.com/content/nnco…
David W retweeted
Certainly its becoming less practical, and much less informative, to try to compare novel therapy to something below the best standard of care. Drop in rates of GLP-1 and the rising attrition rates in placebo confound effect sizes, make studies less interpretable and demonstrate patient need. Since the approved molecules are now abundant, should be standard of care for obesity management, and increasingly reimbursed - your point is a good one.
