All Human Systems Are Gamed.™

Oxford, England
Joined September 2009
Pinned Tweet
🛑 All capital dies; the accounts merely argue about the date. The argument is called depreciation, and in most years nobody attends it. unstableequilibria.substack.…
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🛑 The Federal Reserve accepted $200 mln from one counterparty in a fixed-rate reverse repo operation.
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🛑 Meanwhile, Dated Brent $129.835🛢️
The Officials MOC: Date 26/10/2026 Dated Brent Assessment: $129.835/bbl Physical differential: $8.01/bbl Key events: BP offers JS More free info here: theofficials.onyxcapitalgrou… Access through the app: apps.apple.com/gb/app/flux-m… / play.google.com/store/apps/d… #OOTT #TheOfficials #Oil
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🛑 "Monsieur Zucman is frantically, if fruitlessly, trying to discredit the Hoover Institution paper we told you about last week..." wsj.com/opinion/californias-…
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🛑 KLM FLIGHTS TO RIYADH, DAMMAM HAVE BEEN CANCELLED THROUGH 27TH NOVEMBER
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🛑 California wealth tax support crashing in polls
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🛑 Houthi attacks shift Saudi risk from oil to non‑oil sectors 🛑 Intermittent Houthi militant attacks over several weeks, which have killed dozens, are increasingly disrupting Saudi economic activity — restricting aviation, forcing postponement of marquee events and effectively halting parts of the Riyadh financial district — and have driven the Tadawul sharply lower, making Saudi equities one of the worst-performing emerging-market markets this month. Economists say it is too early to precisely quantify the damage, but most judge any windfall from higher global oil prices unlikely to fully offset losses to the non-oil economy central to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's roughly $1.4 tln diversification agenda (tourism, FDI and related sectors).
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🛑 Microsoft plans to offer buyout packages to about 60,000 employees in its latest round of cost reductions.
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The most mind blowing stat we've seen so far is this: "As of June 30, 2026, we had raised an aggregate of $141.1 billion of capital and had cash and cash equivalents of $112.4 billion and short-term investments of $19.3 billion." That means to date, they have burned 9.7b, they are growing at a rapid pace, and are profitable on an operating income basis as of the June quarter! This is likely the most efficient scaling of a business in the history of capitalism. xitter.cf/AnthropicAI/status/211…
Anthropic has filed an S-1 registration statement with the SEC related to its proposed IPO. Read more: anthropic.com/news/s1-sec Legal disclaimer: A registration statement relating to these securities has been filed with the SEC but has not yet become effective. These securities may not be sold, nor may offers to buy be accepted, prior to the time the registration statement becomes effective. This post does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy these securities, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or jurisdiction.
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🛑🇧🇷 Lula stole the election
Lula’s former lawyer, now a Supreme Court justice, unilaterally extended voting nationwide 3 minutes before polls closed nationally, at Lula’s campaign’s request. Prediction markets reacted by completely inverting who was favored to win. Lula is now highly favored. Unreal.
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All I can think about is how many analysts used Claude to read Anthropic's S-1 ...
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🛑 Saudi Aramco $10bn syndicated revolving credit pricing at SOFR+60bps 🛑 Aramco is close to securing a $10bn loan facility with multiple international banks to bolster liquidity amid Middle East conflict risks to oil exports, sources said. The revolving credit line is expected to be signed in the coming weeks and will be syndicated among banks including Citigroup, HSBC, JP Morgan and MUFG. Pricing is expected at SOFR +60bps.
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🛑 HSBC maintains a "very cautious" view on non-core eurozone bonds.
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🛑 Anthropic secures $77 bln in fresh funding from Google, Amazon and Broadcom 🛑 Anthropic has secured an additional $77 billion in financing from Google, Amazon and Broadcom. Amazon’s funding is tied to compute-capacity milestones; Google’s $20 billion commitment is partly contingent on Anthropic meeting specified revenue targets. The deals follow earlier multi-billion-dollar investments by hyperscale cloud providers that have supplied capital and compute capacity while competing with the startup. Google and Amazon have together invested tens of billions of dollars to date and are now Anthropic’s largest shareholders.
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jck✨ retweeted
Replying to @tracyalloway
I am planning to offer insurance against "existential risks to humanity"
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Has an S-1 filing ever included "existential risks to humanity" before? sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/…
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🛑 Banco do Brasil shares fell about 31%.
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🛑 ANTHROPIC 1H 2026 subscription revenue $3.2bln, vs $180mln a year earlier.
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🛑 Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's 2025 compensation is $17.96 million.
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🛑 Sources said SAUDI ARAMCO is set to sign a $10 bln loan facility with global banks.
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jck✨ retweeted
Anthropic has filed an S-1 registration statement with the SEC related to its proposed IPO. Read more: anthropic.com/news/s1-sec Legal disclaimer: A registration statement relating to these securities has been filed with the SEC but has not yet become effective. These securities may not be sold, nor may offers to buy be accepted, prior to the time the registration statement becomes effective. This post does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy these securities, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or jurisdiction.
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