Main interest: The Universe and all it contains, with a focus on the future.
Sao Paulo, Brazil
Joined December 2022
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Joined Twitter for the investing tips.
Left because of Elon (and crap investing tips)
Returned for the AI news (can hardly believe I have the good fortune to exist at this moment in the World's history)
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
"Elon Musk is an industrial genius. He has more than 5,000 spacecraft in orbit. We are in close contact with our American partners, including Mr. Musk. It is important to maintain discipline and order in orbit. Both we and our American partners value this, and despite political issues, we work closely together in this field." ~Vladimir Putin October 28, 2026
Welp- There you go. Putin is publicly bragging about SpaceX's coordinated operation with Russia in low Earth orbit against the NRO-contracted, U.S.-licensed, NATO-allied ICEYE-X36 radar satellite to block Ukraine's targeting intelligence. Hey @SecRubio Can you barricade -Musk/Miller operative and lunatic- Natalie in an Air Force One lav and "PRINT" this thread for Trump! Thanks
FINAL: SpaceX Blocked A U.S. And NATO Satellite to Assist a Russian Intercept After Crippling Ukraine's Air Defenses
New 5-page institutional brief & 60s 3D SGP4 orbital reconstruction with Craig Pirrong, Ph.D. @streetwiseprof | Data & Forensics: RAB @LibertyLynx
Pages 1-3 & 3D animation below; Pages 4-5 in Post 2; full 5-page PDF link in Post 3 🧵👇
As Craig Pirrong's counterfactual framework establishes: The Russian intercept is not the smoking gun. The failure to maneuver is.
1. The Sprinting Satellite Paradox & -96.64% Target Freeze (Page 1): Between Oct 13 and 24, 2026, Russian counterspace weapon COSMOS 2612 (68762) converted a 5-month, ~170 m/s co-planar trailing option into a 0.759 km sub-kilometer hold against U.S.-licensed radar satellite ICEYE-X36 (59103), which guides Ukraine's autonomous deep strikes on Russian oil refineries without SpaceX links, at the exact moment SpaceX throttled Ukrainian military Starshield terminals (-23.0% USF air-defense hits).
In June 2026 (with no Starlink alert), ICEYE-X36 defeated a Russian approach by dropping 0.500 km, generating 71.08 km/day secular drift (3.62 km/h in the sprint frame), exiting Russia's 3.0 km braking box in 49.7 to 60.78 minutes, blowing past Russia's 12 km or under onboard KTZ sensor in 3.31 hours, and causing a 103.7 to 118.5 km miss.
In October, as COSMOS 2612 fired a -2.2184 km (370.8x perched shock / 449.1x fit jump) burn to sprint 14.29x faster (400 km/day / 278 m/min), ICEYE-X36's evasion collapsed by 96.64% (to 16.8154 meters or less, P3 = 3.363%).
* Why? The Alert Itself Was the Weapon: SpaceX maintained a 0.401 km (0.711 km Oct 16) public GP collision alert via STARLINK-35856 (67013) despite holding internal v3/v4 forecasts 4.80x to 5.00x wider (1.925 to 2.003 km) and withholding autonomous Starlink clearance (M_Starlink = 0, W_X36 = 1, W_COSMOS = 0), legally freezing X36 under David Goldman's 2023 FCC Condition 16 (DA 23-797).
* Rational Russian exercise across a 363.7 km blind gap required ex-ante certainty of K = (E1, E2, E3). Across all 5 capability levers, SpaceX is the sole actor (N = 1): Posterior = 99.893% to 99.978% (Tier A floor; 1 in 3,748 to 17,841) and up to 99.999% (Tier B K-set).
2. Four-Way Tracker Blindness & What NRO/USSF Saw Live (Page 2):
* Public Catalogs (18th/19th SDS): Blind for 21.824 hours (363.7 km unobserved closure) on sprint (k6 to k7) and 19.385 hours on brake (k9 to k10, -382.71 km SGP4 delta).
* Russian Ground Radars (SKKP Krona/Okno): Bounded by Earth curvature at 541 km to a 22.8 degree (2,530 km) horizon cone, blind for 8 to 10 hours/day (80% to 94.5% of the orbit) with zero Americas/Pacific coverage.
* The Sole Unblinded Commercial Panopticon: Only SpaceX's Stargaze (31,000 star trackers, 40M+ daily tracks, 17M associated, 850 sightings/day, 7 to 15 min global custody / 99.73% 10-min hit rate) and sub-1-minute Space Safety portal (Appendix A & Section 4(b), with Chinese operators onboarded Oct 6 & 16) had real-time visibility across the blind gap, while NRO & USSF watch floors watched live on the classified High Accuracy Catalog (HAC / Space Fence / Vantor WorldView NEI), realizing 348 Starshield satellites in orbit (245 NRO spy satellites) sit on the same SpaceX bus.
3. Contracted Capacity Is Not Combat Availability & The 6-Way C2 Collapse (Page 3):
* Combat Output = Sensor Availability x Link Availability x Platform Availability x Permission Arriving Before Mission Window Closes (T_permission <= T_mission).
* The Two-Pronged Pincer: SpaceX weaponized FCC Condition 16 to freeze the Sensor Layer in orbit and a Commercial ToS ($500 liability cap) to blind the Transport Layer on the ground.
* 70-90 km/h Civilian Baseline vs. 4 Collapsed Alibis: Civilian Starlink in Ukraine was already capped at 70 to 90 km/h since Feb 2026 (S. Beskrestnov). The Oct 13-24 101 to 161 km/h gate hit DoD-contracted military Starshield links (-23.0% USF hits; Oct 19 Nova Vodolaha strike). Musk cycled through 4 contradicting alibis in 12 days (blaming DoD/POTUS Oct 14 -> ToS offensive loophole Oct 24 -> "sympathy for poor Russian conscripts" Oct 25 -> Russian ASAT/debris fear Oct 26), while resolving the exact same "weapon ToS" objection on U.S. LUCAS suicide drones in Iran via a 5x price hike ($5,000 to $25,000/mo)!
* COCO vs. GOGO ($8.8B+ Sign-Off Chain): Under Contractor-Owned, Contractor-Operated (COCO/OTA) deals signed off by Pete Hegseth, Stephen Feinberg, CTO Emil Michael, Lt. Gen. Philip Garrant, Gen. Michael Guetlein, Col. Ryan Frazier, Clare Hopper & NRO's Dr. Chris Scolese, taxpayers fund the satellites while SpaceX's civilian NOC retains 100% of the physical thruster and velocity kill-switches.
(Continued in Post 2: Pages 4 & 5: Statutory Breach Matrix, CTO Emil Michael's $7M-$35M OGE Clock, the $19.5B SpaceX Bailout Loop, Iran Round Two Magazine Depletion & Subpoena Schedule. Full PDF link in Post 3 👇) $SPCX $TSLA
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
Canada & Brazil are moving toward closer cooperation, with Mexico potentially joining a broader regional partnership.
Together, the three will strengthen economic independence, promote fair trade, reinforce the law, and reduce malicious US influence over the Western Hemisphere.
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
So JD was conspiring to install Bolsonaro? The Supreme Court of Brazil is opening an investigation into Rockbridge Network, a donor group Vance co-founded in 2019. So hello Brazil, the US was blatantly interfering with your election. Time to subpoena JD to answer a few questions.
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
So Marco Rubio welcomes Flávio into the U.S. with open arms.
What a clown show the U.S. has become. 🤡🎪
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
Com a fuga de Flávio Bolsonaro e a ajuda de Donald Trump, fica provada a tese principal da campanha de Lula: Flávio é um agente dos EUA que pretendia vender nosso país pro Trump.
Obrigada, Flávio, por mostrar que a campanha lulista foi verdadeira.
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
HEY AMERICA. HOW’S THAT ALUMINUM TARIFF WORKING OUT FOR YOU? 🇨🇦
You slapped a 50% tariff on Canadian aluminum.
Canadian producers started selling more to Europe.
Meanwhile, American aluminum prices climbed.
And Ford? It reported $2 BILLION in net tariff costs in 2025 across its operations.
Not all from aluminum, of course. But higher aluminum prices are another headache for the maker of America’s best-selling pickup.
Cars. Trucks. Beverage cans. Construction.
Higher aluminum costs hit American manufacturers and can eventually reach American consumers.
So you taxed Canadian aluminum, encouraged us to find new customers, and raised costs for your own manufacturers.
How’s that working out for you?
Thank you for your attention to this matter.
Canada 🇨🇦
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
The “Greatest AG in Texas History” was impeached 121-23 by his own Republican-controlled Texas House on 20 articles including bribery and abuse of office. His own senior staff were the whistleblowers. Texas taxpayers cut a $3.3 million check to settle the lawsuit his misconduct created. He called it a witch hunt, got acquitted by a Republican Senate on party lines, and is now the man Trump wants guarding Texas from corruption. Some definition of “greatest” you’re working with there, Mr. President.
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
Alex Pretti's father: Our son was shot and killed by the government, federal immigration agents, on January 24th, 2026. We learned about his death from the media as we saw him being shot repeatedly in the back after helping a woman from his community. This was not a protest that Alex was at. His hands were in the air, and his face was on the ground when he was executed by ICE agents. We know exactly what our eyes saw. No one from the federal government called us on that day. But they did go on TV to tell lies about Alex. No one has called us since. No one has recanted those lies.
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
🚨Breaking: Cuba once again achieves an overwhelming victory against at UNGA vote vs the blockade.
This is after an unprecedented pressure and intimidation campaign pushed by the U.S. toward the international community.
#CubaIsNotAThreat, the blockade is!
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
Lula surrendered to justice, faced his accusers, went to jail on tampered evidence, proved his innocence and then won 2 elections in a row.
Flavio fled a day after he won 60 million votes and a congressional majority.
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
this is a war crime: unlawful deportation or transfer is a grave breach of the Geneva Conventions (Article 147). it's also a war crime under the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, Article 8(2)(a)(vii) and 8(2)(b)(viii), it's a crime against humanity: under Rome Statute Article 7(1)(d), deportation or forcible transfer counts as one when it's part of a widespread or systematic attack on civilians, Fourth Geneva Convention, Article 49: an occupying power may not forcibly transfer or deport protected civilians from occupied territory to its own territory, "regardless of their motive."
"forcible" doesn't only mean at gunpoint. moving people under coercion counts too, for example when ᵣussia is the only way out of a siege.
Like sending death camp survivors back to their captors.
Ukrainian refugees will be sent to Russia under Melania Trump’s ceasefire
yahoo.com/news/world/article…
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
President Trump told former New Orleans news anchor @rooprajfox2 during a live interview in Michigan yesterday that everyone in a Louisiana community got $10,000 checks from a neighboring data center. My @WWLTV fact-check finds no such checks exist. wwltv.com/article/news/inves…
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
Our American brothers, please spread the word.
Flávio Bolsonaro is not a political refugee. The police requested that the judiciary retain his passport.
They suspected he could flee to avoid the many criminal charges that will come his way.
He is a criminal.
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
If you think the USA harboring the criminal who just lost the Brazilian election is bad, wait till I tell you about the convicted felon/pedophile who tried to overturn an election, incited an insurrection, stole classified documents & was re-elected president.
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
This is the asylum seeker Trump has now granted asylum in the US. He:
- defended the killer of a 5 yo girl for free
- is accused of embezzling public money to benefit racketeers
- is accused of money laundering
- allegedly set up a kick-back scheme with “ghost employees”
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
Hey, I thought the border is closed. How are all these dictators getting in?
For the record, I'll take a million hard-working "illegals" over one dictator any f*cking day.
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
Fuuuuuck @marcorubio for granting Asylum to a CRIMINAL!
He was told to surrendered his passport and not leave the country!
Send that fucking criminal back to Brazil!
Remember to call 1-866-DHS-2ICE
1-866-347-2423
And report this illegal alien who is in fact a CRIMINAL!
@ICEgov go do your fucking job!
As I reported hours ago, Flávio Bolsonaro has arrived safely in United States.
The mastermind behind this operation is U.S. Secretary of State @SecRubio .
From the United States, free and safe, Flávio will lead the opposition against Lula.
Antony Stringfellow retweeted
🚨UN member states paid their respects to Cuba's delegation after its intense exchange with the disgraceful U.S. Representative, Mike Waltz, who tried to turn this session into a cheap American sideshow.
#CubaIsNotAThreat, the blockade is!
