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Dubai
Joined April 2023
SPACEX TO $1T. TESLA MERGER NEXT? 🚀 Musk just pulled the 2028 revenue target forward. Retail is going wild, and one analyst sees 95% odds of a Tesla merger within 2 years. But the numbers deserve a closer look 👇
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Still convinced your portfolio is "safe"? Check this out. While $AAPL and major indices sit near all-time highs, the tech and crypto spaces are getting wrecked. Drawdown from 52-week highs across major assets: 🍏 Apple: -0.0% 💳 Visa: -0.1% 👴🏻 Berkshire Hathaway: -0.5% 💉 Eli Lilly: -1.1% 🛢️ ExxonMobil: -1.2% 📊 𝗦&𝗣 𝟱𝟬𝟬: -𝟮.𝟰% 🏭 Dow: -3.3% 💻 Microsoft: -5.9% 🧑🏻‍💻 Nasdaq: -7.8% 🛡️ Palantir: -7.9% 🏦 JP Morgan: -8.2% 🛒 Walmart: -10% 🖥️ Nvidia: -13% 📦 Amazon: -13% 📱 Meta: -17% 🇳🇱 ASML: -18% 🔍 Google: -21% ⚙️ AMD: -23% 🚗 Tesla: -25% 🍟 McDonald’s: -26% 🎨 Adobe: -26% 🥇 Gold: -28% ₿ Bitcoin: -30% 💾 Micron: -32% 💉 Novo Nordisk: -35% 👨‍🚀 SpaceX: -36% 👜 LVMH: -41% 📺 Netflix: -43% 🔷 Ethereum: -43% 🇨🇳 Alibaba: -44% 🥈 Silver: -55% 🧮 Oracle: -56% 💲 FICO: -56% 📱 AppLovin: -64% 🎯 The Trade Desk: -76% ☢️ Oklo: -82% 🔋 Eos Energy: -91%
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SPACEX COULD HAND NVIDIA A $414B ORDER 🤯 @elonmusk 13 GW target implies ~$470B in capex over five quarters, with Nvidia potentially capturing 83–89% of it. That’s up to $414B in revenue from ONE customer, nearly 2x Nvidia’s entire revenue last year. 👉 My forecast: $NVDA remains one of the biggest AI winners through 2027, as every new gigawatt of compute drives another wave of chip demand. The key risk? SpaceX delays its buildout or finds ways to reduce Nvidia’s share.
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BIG TECH’S AI WAR HAS A $242B WAR CHEST 💰 Alphabet $GOOGL is sitting on almost twice as much cash as Amazon $AMZN. Cash + short-term investments: $GOOGL - $242B $AMZN - $123B $SPCX - $100B $META - $90B $MSFT - $77B $NVDA - $62B That’s serious firepower for the AI infrastructure race. That cash is the fuel for the AI buildout. Whoever is sitting on a mountain of it doesn't need to scramble for 15% debt like CoreWeave. 📆 This week, Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft are updating their spending plans. Don't look at revenue guidance. Look at who on that list is actually starting to burn through their pile.
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STOP AND LOOK AT THE CHARTS! THIS JUST HAPPENED TO BITCOIN AND GOLD FOR THE FIRST TIME IN HISTORY 👇 BTC is down 7.3% in 2026. Gold is down 7.5%, making them the two worst-performing major asset classes so far this year. It’s a historic first. The long-term picture is wild, though: 🔸 $BTC: 120.6% annualized returns since 2011 🔹 Gold: 6.3% annually 🔸 Gold surged 63.7% in 2025 before this reversal Both are now lagging stocks, bonds and even cash. A reminder that a strong long-term thesis doesn’t protect you from a painful stretch. Are you buying this weakness or waiting for the trend to turn?
🤖 Made with AI
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BITCOIN'S 66-DAY STREAK IS DEAD: IS A $62K CRASH NEXT?! 🚨 UPtober is officially cancelled as BTC slides below its 50-day MA for the first time since August. With 62% of past similar drops triggering a brutal 8% to 33% sell-off, a plunge to $62K is firmly on the table. Keep your eyes locked on this Wednesday's FOMC meeting and Warsh’s speech, expect choppy sideways action until the market breaks!
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$550 BILLION in 60 minutes. Wall Street just exploded with cash the exact second Trump slammed the brakes on the Iran strikes. The TACO trade playbook just delivered a masterclass
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Here is why that compute-to-revenue ratio isn't actually as bad as it looks. Just look at this chart 👇 Anthropic $ANT IPO filing shows it now generates $2.08 in revenue for every $1 spent on compute, which is up from just $0.40 in Q1 2025. What's wild is that revenue grew ~29x while compute spending rose only ~6x, as products like Claude Code drive massive adoption and more efficient models make every AI task cheaper to run. Efficiency! 🚀
🤖 Made with AI
BREAKING: ANTHROPIC JUST FILED TO GO PUBLIC NEXT WEEK 🔥 Ticker: $ANT. Potential valuation: $1.5T–$2T. But the S-1 has some wild numbers: 🔹 $16.3B revenue in H1 2026 🔸 $80.7B net loss 🔹 Up to $120.5B in planned compute spending with SpaceXAI and Nvidia 🔸 Another $114.5B in commitments to Google through 2033 Anthropic also warns that its growth may slow and it could need fresh financing sooner than expected. The IPO could target the week of Nov. 16, with markets reportedly expecting a raise of up to $100B. 😁 I mean, the company literally writes: the loss is five times greater than the revenue, growth might slow down, we might run out of money, and we could kill everyone. And the valuation is still over a trillion. And the funniest part is that people will rush to buy $ANT at a $1.5 trillion valuation, even after reading warnings about 'catastrophic existential risks' of AI to humanity written by the company itself 🤷‍♂️
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BREAKING: ANTHROPIC JUST FILED TO GO PUBLIC NEXT WEEK 🔥 Ticker: $ANT. Potential valuation: $1.5T–$2T. But the S-1 has some wild numbers: 🔹 $16.3B revenue in H1 2026 🔸 $80.7B net loss 🔹 Up to $120.5B in planned compute spending with SpaceXAI and Nvidia 🔸 Another $114.5B in commitments to Google through 2033 Anthropic also warns that its growth may slow and it could need fresh financing sooner than expected. The IPO could target the week of Nov. 16, with markets reportedly expecting a raise of up to $100B. 😁 I mean, the company literally writes: the loss is five times greater than the revenue, growth might slow down, we might run out of money, and we could kill everyone. And the valuation is still over a trillion. And the funniest part is that people will rush to buy $ANT at a $1.5 trillion valuation, even after reading warnings about 'catastrophic existential risks' of AI to humanity written by the company itself 🤷‍♂️
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HERE IS WHY YOU SHOULD NOT RUSH TO BUY SPACEX 👇 Even after positive earnings and a 15% surge, the stock dropped, completely wiping out the gains for one single reason that I warn about every week — insider share unlocks! Each of these events increasingly boosts the free float of shares on the market. However, there is also good news: the main wave of unlocks is already coming to an end. We still have one more unlock in December and two in the first half of 2027. Once this factor disappears and the market sees that insiders are not actively selling off their stakes, the company's revenue dynamics, growth, and innovations in the space and AI sectors will come to the forefront. Until then, we will likely be able to see the price back at $100 per share, which will be a great opportunity to buy more for the long term. 👉 Quick Digest: 🔹 Anthropic commits up to $120.5B for AI compute infrastructure from SpaceX ($SPCX). 🔸 SpaceX secures a reported $40B lease/debt package led by Apollo ($APO) to fund massive AI chip purchases. 🔹 @elonmusk warns that over 200 AI neocloud companies face impending collapse as debt markets shut off capital. 🔸 Barclays upgrades Tesla to Overweight with a $450 price target, advising investors to buy ahead of a potential SpaceX merger. 🔹 Retail market sentiment has flipped back to bullish, whereas it was in negative territory just last week.
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So much for "Uptober"... 💀 $BTC closing back-to-back red Octobers for the 2nd time ever $ETH down bad with its worst October in 8 yrs Where’s our promised Uptober?
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Key earnings releases u should watch this week: Mon: $VZ Tue: $KO, $PYPL, $V, $HOOD Wed: $MSFT, $GOOGL, $NOW Thu: $AMZN, $INTC, $LLY, $COIN Fri: $XOM, $CVX
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THINK THE AI RALLY IS SAFE? READ THIS BEFORE IT’S TOO LATE The S&P 500 Shiller CAPE is near 41 - dangerously close to the 44 peak before the dot-com crash. But the crazier stat? Just 10 stocks now make up 42% of the index. 🔹 $NVDA, $AAPL and $MSFT alone account for 21% 🔹 Only 29% of S&P 500 stocks beat the index over 3 years 🔹 AI infrastructure is increasingly funded with debt, while earnings expectations keep climbing That’s a lot riding on a handful of companies delivering on enormous promises. Even Broadcom’s CEO is warning about speculative excess in AI. The tech can be revolutionary and the stocks can still be overpriced. Those two things aren’t mutually exclusive. So what’s the bigger risk here: AI earnings disappointing, or the market realizing how much optimism is already priced in?
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THE BASIC TRADING MATH MOST PEOPLE SKIP The most common reason traders fail isn’t complex indicators, it’s the inability to quickly calculate real returns under pressure. This is grade school math, but when emotion kicks in, many traders freeze up. Here are the fundamental formulas every trader must master before touching a chart. 📌 Key Abbreviations CP (Cost Price): Your entry price (what you paid). SP (Selling Price): Your exit price (what you sold for). 🧮 Core Formulas 1. Calculating Dollar Returns: Profit = SP - CP Loss = CP - SP 2. Calculating Percentage Returns: Profit % = (Profit ÷ CP) × 100 Loss % = (Loss ÷ CP) × 100 3. Finding Your Target Exit Price: Target SP (for profit): CP + Profit Target SP (for loss cutoff): CP - Loss 4. Finding Your Required Entry Cost: Required CP (for profit): SP - Profit Required CP (for loss): SP + Loss 💡 Practical Examples Winning Trade: Bought at: $1,000 | Sold at: $1,200 Profit: $200 | Profit %: 20% Losing Trade: Bought at: $1,000 | Sold at: $800 Loss: $200 | Loss %: 20% ⚠️ Takeaway Knowing these rules isn't optional, it's foundational. Always know your exact entry, exit, and risk numbers before you open a chart and place a trade.
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$820M liquidated in the crypto market as the US Navy completes preparations for an attack on Iran and awaits Trump’s orders 🇺🇸
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My convo with my bro after I pulled $20 on a BTC long
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$55 OUT OF EVERY $100 IN PROFIT?! WHO IS REALLY TAKING ALL THE MONEY IN THE WORLD?! Nvidia! The highest margin among the top 30 of Fortune Global 500 👇 It all comes down to the business model: while the world’s largest retailers, healthcare, and energy companies settle for a profit of $5 per $100, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta keep over $30. Nvidia ended up at the top of the food chain because AI is transforming business structures, allowing companies to serve more customers at lower costs. But in return, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon are forced to invest hundreds of billions of dollars into data centers, with Nvidia supplying the chips and software for them. 👉 By tracking the real profits of AI companies and their projections over time, we’ll be able to tell when the trend starts to slow down. Nvidia’s next quarterly earnings report is on November 17, 2026.
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MORGAN STANLEY SAYS GET READY TO BUY 📈 The months-long pullback in parts of the market is nearing its end and November could offer a window to add risk. The setup: - S&P 500 is just 2% below its ATH - Q3 earnings growth is expected at 24.6% YoY - Financials, industrials and consumer stocks have taken the hit - Some beaten-down sectors are showing improving earnings momentum The catch? Bond yields and AI funding risks haven’t disappeared. MS says be ready to buy into either a quick rebound or a slower slide into November. Would you buy this dip, or wait for a clearer signal?
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GOOGLE COULD BE AI’S BIGGEST WINNER IN 2027 👀 The next AI trade might favor $GOOGL over the companies selling the shovels. Nvidia and memory-chip makers have benefited from supply shortages and massive infrastructure spending. But as capacity catches up, pricing power could fade and investors may start looking harder at who actually profits from all that compute. Alphabet has a serious edge: 🔸 Custom TPUs to reduce reliance on Nvidia GPUs 🔸 Gemini models + Google Cloud 🔸 Search, YouTube, Android and Chrome for distribution 🔸 A massive ad business to monetize AI at scale It controls chips, models, cloud infrastructure, products and distribution, a rare setup in the AI race. The key question for 2027: does Alphabet turn that ecosystem into faster earnings growth while infrastructure-heavy rivals face longer payback periods? If the market starts rewarding AI economics over AI spending, $GOOGL could have a very strong year.
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WHEN THE ALTCOIN RECOVERY IS REALLY COMING! From late August to early October, altcoins showed a solid rally: the share of coins on Binance trading above their 200-day Moving Average (MA) jumped from 19% to over 90%. However, that momentum is now fading. What changed? 👇 🔘 MA Breakdown: Nearly half of all altcoins (48.4%) on Binance have fallen back below their 200-day MA. 🔘 Massive Capital Outflow: Around $134 billion has flowed out of altcoin market capitalization in just the past two weeks. 🔘 Support Lost: Total altcoin market cap broke below its 50-day MA and is already down 15% from its local peak. ❓ Is the bull scenario dead? Absolutely not. After a rapid rally, the market needs time to cool off and reset its indicators—which, on the contrary, creates ideal conditions to accumulate and build positions. Right now, it is far more important to monitor two key local targets: - Test of the Previous Accumulation Zone: Waiting for total market cap to pull back there and establish a solid base for the next breakout upward. - RSI Reset: Waiting for the indicator to enter the oversold territory.
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FRANCE-GERMANY SPREAD IS ALREADY 171 BP. AND STILL CLIMBING 🚨 A month ago it was around 85. Now 1.715%. OATs are being repriced against Bunds faster than the street can burn. And yet EUR, CAC40 and STOXX50 are not falling the way this chart says they should. The only thing holding them, in my view, is a weaker dollar and the US selloff, tech especially. Money is leaving there and some of it is landing in Europe just because it has to land somewhere. Not because France suddenly got cheaper. Pull that flow. A 170+ spread and Moody’s on Friday do the rest on their own. Broke down the fiscal crisis, the bond scenarios and CAC in the new thread 👇
YOU HAVE NO IDEA WHAT CRISIS IS COMING FOR EU 🇫🇷 French 10Y yields are approaching 5%, the spread over Germany is around 145 bps, and the CAC 40 is ~10% below its August peak. The real risk? Political chaos could make an already difficult debt problem much harder to solve 👇
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