Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Claiming 100% certaintly on a coin flip race would be naive even if they had gotten lucky.
And this is their guess for Ireland on today's numbers.
The whole thing is clickbait nonsense.
Global Election Simulator@globalelectsimOct 24🇺🇸
United StatesConnected via United States App StoreAccount-level information, not a live location or per-post device.
🇧🇷 As this election campaign finally comes to an end, we can say with statistical certainty that Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) will be elected the next president of the Federative Republic of Brazil tomorrow night. Bolsonaro now officially has a 100% chance of victory, compared to Lula's 0%.
(globalelectionsimulator.com) will update its final projections within the coming hours. At this point, the only uncertainty our team has is the exact margin, not the outcome. The absolute range for Flávio Bolsonaro is 50.5% to 56.2%, while Lula's is 43.8% to 49.5%.
Our final projection update will go live in a moment on the website and here shortly after. A banner will note that the projection has updated, so you will know it is official.
🌐 Global Election Simulator Research Institute
🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Our projection on the latest @REDCResearch / @businessposthq poll:
☘️ Sinn Féin — 45 Seats
🟩 Fianna Fáil — 39
⭐ Fine Gael — 28
🟪 Social Democrats — 21
🟢 Independent Ireland — 12
🌳 Aontú — 10
🌹 Labour — 7
💬 Independent — 7
✊ PBP-S — 5
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
And at the UK level. The big variations for the Lib Dems are particularly stark.
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
This contains the first (I believe) customisable projection for the NI seats.
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
🎉 Our #AE27 candidate tracker has been updated!
See every declared candidate in next year's Assembly election in a table or card view. Filter by constituency and follow along as new names are added.
👇️ Link below
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Our projection on the latest @ireland_thinks/@Independent_ie
poll:
☘️ Sinn Féin — 45 Seats
⭐ Fine Gael — 40
🟩 Fianna Fáil — 39
🟪 Social Democrats — 21
🌳 Aontú — 8
🟢 Independent Ireland — 8
🌹 Labour — 7
💬 Independent — 6
Make your own on: irishelections.ie/general/
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Kenny Ross, who lost his five year old daughter Joanna, told LBC: "Thirty years have passed and people forget what we had to go through and I wouldn't want anyone else to go through that. It's people like him that are very ignorant and selfish."
lbc.co.uk/article/fury-as-ru…
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Our projection based on the latest RedC/@businessposthq
☘️ Sinn Féin — 44 Seats
⭐ Fine Gael — 36
🟩 Fianna Fáil — 32
🟪 Soc Dems — 28
💬 Inds — 10
🌹 Labour — 7
🟢 Ind Ireland — 7
✊ PBP-S — 5
🌳 Aontú — 4
🌱 Green — 1
irishelections.ie/
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
You either think people should be burned out of their homes because of the colour of their skin or you don't. There is no third position
Opinion: The 'woke' left and extreme right have silenced the normal majority
belfastlive.co.uk/news/north…
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
This is possibly the saddest thing I've seen in a long time..an immigrant nurse talking about fleeing her home..she saved her UNIFORM. So she could still WORK for our communities.
I'd fill this country with a thousand of this woman than one of those good for nothing thugs.
God help this poor woman.
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Just home from dealing with the consequences of tonight's lawlessness.
Perhaps some of the English right wing influencers and local politicians enthusing about these protests would explain to children I met why they have no beds to sleep in tonight.
Utterly disgusted.
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Didn’t see much of the same angry outcry and mobilisation from so called ‘patriots’ then. I wonder what the difference is?
judiciaryni.uk/files/judicia…
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
We were pretty much on the money in Galway West too.
(The different number of rounds is a computational thing)
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Our projection of Dublin Central (left) compared to real life (right).
The system works!
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
If Claude thinks Hutch will get 6000 transfers in Dublin Central while Thomas will get 1500 in Galway where there are more voters then Claude is obviously wrong.
AI is just fancy predictive text. It "knows" nothing.
Replying to @higginsdavidw
Same for Dublin central, feeding actual first count vote. Hutch probably doesn't finish as strong, and the opposite for Horner.
Early stages of AI technology, but the fact it can even perform the simulation is still very impressive.
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Our calls of Dublin Central and Galway West as polls closed.
Based on national swing, Fine Gael should take Galway West and the Social Democrats should take Dublin Central narrowly ahead of Sinn Féin.
irishelections.ie/bye-electi…
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
As votes are being tallied, here's our *rough* guide on when to expect declarations at election counts across Scotland.
Click here to find the link to your dedicated constituency page scorecard and Scotland map 📲 bbc.in/4tneXwO































