Tools to project your own results of the Scottish, Welsh, Northern Irish and London Elections 🗳️ Donate: https://xitter.cf/t.co/TNsNtbdfq3

Joined May 2025
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Claiming 100% certaintly on a coin flip race would be naive even if they had gotten lucky. And this is their guess for Ireland on today's numbers. The whole thing is clickbait nonsense.
Global Election Simulator
@globalelectsimOct 24
🇧🇷 As this election campaign finally comes to an end, we can say with statistical certainty that Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) will be elected the next president of the Federative Republic of Brazil tomorrow night. Bolsonaro now officially has a 100% chance of victory, compared to Lula's 0%. (globalelectionsimulator.com) will update its final projections within the coming hours. At this point, the only uncertainty our team has is the exact margin, not the outcome. The absolute range for Flávio Bolsonaro is 50.5% to 56.2%, while Lula's is 43.8% to 49.5%. Our final projection update will go live in a moment on the website and here shortly after. A banner will note that the projection has updated, so you will know it is official. 🌐 Global Election Simulator Research Institute 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com
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Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Our projection on the latest @REDCResearch / @businessposthq poll: ☘️ Sinn Féin — 45 Seats 🟩 Fianna Fáil — 39 ⭐ Fine Gael — 28 🟪 Social Democrats — 21 🟢 Independent Ireland — 12 🌳 Aontú — 10 🌹 Labour — 7 💬 Independent — 7 ✊ PBP-S — 5
25
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4
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22,300
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
And at the UK level. The big variations for the Lib Dems are particularly stark.
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1
1,174
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
This contains the first (I believe) customisable projection for the NI seats.
Our first DevolvedElections Westminster projection on recent polling: 🌹 Lab — 301 ➡️ Reform — 121 🌳 Con — 77 🔶 LD — 72 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 SNP — 45 🐉 PC — 8 ☘️ SF — 7 🌱 Green — 4 🔷 UUP — 4 🦁 DUP — 3 ⚫ Ind — 3 🌹 SDLP — 2 ⚪ Speaker — 1 ⬅ Restore — 1 Ⓣ TUV — 1
1
1
496
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
🎉 Our #AE27 candidate tracker has been updated! See every declared candidate in next year's Assembly election in a table or card view. Filter by constituency and follow along as new names are added. 👇️ Link below
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Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Our projection on the latest @ireland_thinks/@Independent_ie poll: ☘️ Sinn Féin — 45 Seats ⭐ Fine Gael — 40 🟩 Fianna Fáil — 39 🟪 Social Democrats — 21 🌳 Aontú — 8 🟢 Independent Ireland — 8 🌹 Labour — 7 💬 Independent — 6 Make your own on: irishelections.ie/general/
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Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Kenny Ross, who lost his five year old daughter Joanna, told LBC: "Thirty years have passed and people forget what we had to go through and I wouldn't want anyone else to go through that. It's people like him that are very ignorant and selfish." lbc.co.uk/article/fury-as-ru…
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32
2
100
12,392
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Our projection based on the latest RedC/@businessposthq ☘️ Sinn Féin — 44 Seats ⭐ Fine Gael — 36 🟩 Fianna Fáil — 32 🟪 Soc Dems — 28 💬 Inds — 10 🌹 Labour — 7 🟢 Ind Ireland — 7 ✊ PBP-S — 5 🌳 Aontú — 4 🌱 Green — 1 irishelections.ie/
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12
181
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Devolved Election Projections retweeted
You either think people should be burned out of their homes because of the colour of their skin or you don't. There is no third position
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4,297
67,346
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
This is possibly the saddest thing I've seen in a long time..an immigrant nurse talking about fleeing her home..she saved her UNIFORM. So she could still WORK for our communities. I'd fill this country with a thousand of this woman than one of those good for nothing thugs. God help this poor woman.
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549
25,808
2,339,600
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
They're not protesting about an attempted murder. They're using an attempted murder as an excuse for racist mayhem.
Footage obtained by Talk shows a bus on fire in Belfast, as protesters take to the streets over the attempted murder of a man last night.
4,561
2,820
197
20,780
578,856
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Just home from dealing with the consequences of tonight's lawlessness. Perhaps some of the English right wing influencers and local politicians enthusing about these protests would explain to children I met why they have no beds to sleep in tonight. Utterly disgusted.
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1,513
282
8,257
706,484
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Didn’t see much of the same angry outcry and mobilisation from so called ‘patriots’ then. I wonder what the difference is? judiciaryni.uk/files/judicia…
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856
79,707
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
We were pretty much on the money in Galway West too. (The different number of rounds is a computational thing)
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2,268
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Our projection of Dublin Central (left) compared to real life (right). The system works!
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1
15
3,050
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
If Claude thinks Hutch will get 6000 transfers in Dublin Central while Thomas will get 1500 in Galway where there are more voters then Claude is obviously wrong. AI is just fancy predictive text. It "knows" nothing.
Replying to @higginsdavidw
Same for Dublin central, feeding actual first count vote. Hutch probably doesn't finish as strong, and the opposite for Horner. Early stages of AI technology, but the fact it can even perform the simulation is still very impressive.
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Devolved Election Projections retweeted
Our calls of Dublin Central and Galway West as polls closed. Based on national swing, Fine Gael should take Galway West and the Social Democrats should take Dublin Central narrowly ahead of Sinn Féin. irishelections.ie/bye-electi…
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36,181
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
The Scottish Conservatives voted 25-0, with six abstentions, to back the change in the law which made this possible.
Heard about the foreigner who's in our country on a student visa being elected to the Scottish Parliament? What a farce.
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561
24,092
Devolved Election Projections retweeted
As votes are being tallied, here's our *rough* guide on when to expect declarations at election counts across Scotland. Click here to find the link to your dedicated constituency page scorecard and Scotland map 📲 bbc.in/4tneXwO
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120
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Devolved Election Projections retweeted
It's almost a perfect 50-50 split in terms of who's going to be the largest party by seats. Across 1000 simulations Plaid won 498 and Reform won 502.
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711