CEO & co-founder @VoteHub
Los Angeles
Joined April 2017
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
Perry County, Indiana went from voting for Donald Trump by *30* points in 2024 to voting for Democrat Beau Bayh by *9* points in 2026.
That’s a 39-point swing in just two years.
Results like this underscore Beau’s success and crossover votes in rural Indiana. Very impressive!
Garrett Herrin retweeted
Subscribe to Redistricter Pro for access to VoteHub’s 2026 election data, with full nationwide coverage coming in the days and weeks ahead. ➡️ redistricter.com
Jon Ossoff would still have won Georgia’s Senate race even without Fulton, DeKalb, Clayton, and Gwinnett counties.
Subscribe to Redistricter Pro for access to VoteHub’s 2026 election data, with full nationwide coverage coming in the days and weeks ahead. ➡️ redistricter.com
Garrett Herrin retweeted
Play with the data and draw your own districts by subscribing to Redistricter Pro! ➡️ redistricter.com
2026 election results are now available for Georgia and South Carolina, with nationwide coverage rolling out in the days and weeks ahead.
Garrett Herrin retweeted
Not that it’s unexpected, but Michigan precincts with large Arab American populations shifted 78.8 points toward El-Sayed compared to the 2024 presidential election.
Garrett Herrin retweeted
This Tuesday, Beau Bayh -- scion of Indiana's Bayh political dynasty -- flipped the IN secretary of state's office, winning by an impressive 9 point margin in a Trump +19 state.
Here is that race, mapped by precinct:
Garrett Herrin retweeted
Tuesday’s Democratic wave was fueled by substantial gains among Hispanic voters across ethnic groups, with the largest shifts in plurality-Mexican precincts.
Garrett Herrin retweeted
El-Sayed received more votes in Dearborn than Harris and Trump combined in 2024.
Garrett Herrin retweeted
We’ve just made all of our Midterm model data comparisons public @KalshiResearch. You can see them here: kalshi.com/research/forecast….
Today, the NYT claimed prediction markets were 'worse' than election models in the lead up to the midterms. But they ignore a few key pieces of the puzzle 🧵
Garrett Herrin retweeted
Any discussion of a fundamentals-and-polls forecast should credit @NateSilver538. He had another strong cycle, extending his long record of well-calibrated and accurate forecasts. He helped pioneer the field, and VoteHub’s forecast draws heavily on the framework he developed.
Garrett Herrin retweeted
In the end, Republicans probably lost even more ground with young voters than polling anticipated. At FSU, for example, the margin shifted from Harris+13 to Nixon+70.
Garrett Herrin retweeted
CBS had a really good election night “Nerd show”
Shoutout @SalvantoCBS, the @VoteHub team, @nkagan_official, and the whole CBS team
What a blast to work with the gang from @VoteHub and the energy, innovation and intellect they bring... super fun!
Garrett Herrin retweeted
Hispanic precincts by heritage, 2016 → 2024 → 2026:
Mexican-American (TX): 🔵 D+39 → 🔵 D+16 → 🔵 D+53
Puerto Rican: 🔵 D+45 → 🔵 D+11 → 🔵 D+35
Venezuelan: 🔵 D+40 → 🔴 R+4 → 🔵 D+14
Cuban: 🔵 D+18 → 🔴 R+24 → 🔴 R+4
Every group moved right, then snapped back.
Garrett Herrin retweeted
What a blast to work with the gang from @VoteHub and the energy, innovation and intellect they bring... super fun!
It has been a pleasure working with @SalvantoCBS and the CBS Data Desk throughout this election cycle.
Even if every Talarico voter on Election Day had stayed home, Talarico still would have defeated Paxton.
🔴 Paxton total votes: 4,249,373
🔵 Talarico early votes: 4,397,474
Garrett Herrin retweeted
Darlene Graham suffered major statewide losses, with the sharpest shift against her in Norman-won runoff counties, suggesting she never fully unified Republicans behind her.
Shift from 2024:
🔵 Norman-won: Andrews +24.9 (+3.7)
🔵 Graham-won: Andrews +21.2
