In case you stopped paying attention to Ukraine/Russia details: Ukraine is now on a path to potentially win, not just end, the war, thanks to its ever-increasing drone and missile superiority across 3 areas: 1. On the front lines, it can now inflict ever-increasing record casualties on Russian troops and equipment with ever-decreasing casualties of its own 2. It has almost completely cut off Crimea from resupply, via the primary road through occupied Donbas, via the Kerch bridge, or via sea. There is almost no gasoline or diesel to be had in Crimea. Russian residents are panicking and leaving. Russia can no longer use Crimea as a staging or resupply point for the front-line war and may have to abandon it. 3. It is regularly launching successful long-range strikes into Russia, primarily at Russian refineries. Russia now has significant fuel shortages and, because it can't refine much of its own crude, is dumping more of it on the international market at as low as $40/bbl, then importing more refined products. The last few days showed a new significant step up in Ukraine's effectiveness. On Sunday night, Ukraine hit and at least partially disabled the Omsk refinery, which is (1) 2,500km from Ukraine (and the drones flew 3,000km to avoid air defenses), (2) the only remaining major refinery Ukraine hadn't yet hit, (3) Russia's largest, and (4) 10% of the total Russian refinery capacity. On Monday night, Ukraine hit 10 (10!!) fuel tanker ships bound for Crimea, as well as a dry bulk carrier ship and a military supply ship (probably carrying heavy ground equipment, ammunition, and vehicles).