SheepEO of Woolos Research. FadeKing of FinTwit. Equities, GDP, Momentum, & Options Swing Trader. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Philadelphia, PA
Joined June 2020
From this day forth, I will be a perma bear.
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A not very important FOMC meeting on deck tomorrow. Odds of a hike down to 8% and any statement/presser comments will likely feel dated and irrelevant in a week or so.
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3.4% is a stinker. I’m leaning towards 15% to 20% ish. Timing? Yea not sure. But, likely needs a catalyst to blame, therefore FOMC or Midterms, AI earnings, Oil, idk and idc.
Today’s GDP: 3.5% If this holds into the 27-28th for the official BLS number.. 📉📉 -20%
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I feel like bonds won’t be in risk off mode, but this is just a guess on bonds. The Fed can lose the long end of they don’t hike again. Maybe that will do it. 🤷‍♂️
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The best case scenario would be the opposite of March 2025. Rip the bandaid in a fast quick move and get it over with. But they love to bleed options so maybe they walk it down excruciatingly slow.
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Zeeeeee Putaqqqss
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Nick Woolos retweeted
US Durable Goods Orders (M/M) Sep P: 1.8% (est 1.9%; prev -0.1%; prev R 0.1%) - Durables Ex-Transportation (M/M): 0.5% (est 0.6%; prev 0.2%) - Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air (M/M): 0.5% (est 0.7%; prev 1.6%) - Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air (M/M): 1.2% (est 0.8%; prev 0.5%)
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You’re welcome. 🤣🤣
I can make markets go up tomorrow too. Don’t believe me? #BlackTuesday
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I’m excited to announce I quit my finance job to build the world’s first sorority marketing agency. Introducing: CampusLaunch. In just 10 months we’ve worked with Nike, BodyArmor, Baywatch (Fox Entertainment), and were featured on the WSJ. Here’s how. It started in my finance cubicle. I was scrolling on Tiktok, when a RushTok video showed up on my page - 150 Arizona sorority girls dancing to a trending sound. The video had 43 Million views. I kept scrolling, and similar videos had racked millions of views. Then I realized something: Brands can make their product the center of these videos. I posted a tweet about the opportunity, and brands like BodyArmor booked sales calls. I quit my job and went all in. Since then, we generated 50M views this August, and worked with Fox to promote the Baywatch trailer. Here’s what makes this work: 1. We build an experience that sorority girls love and genuinely want to post about. 2. We build the content engine to “flood the feed” with event based content We’re pioneering a new category in campus marketing. Follow along for a crazy ride.
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I’m starting to like an XLF short before FOMC. Thoughts?
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GTA VI
probably best time ever to be unemployed
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I’m betting they hike bc CPI is out of control & most economists are stupid 🤣 “Most economists and Wall Street analysts expect the Fed to leave its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75% to 4% when officials release the latest policy statement on Wednesday” cbsnews.com/news/federal-res…
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Nick Woolos retweeted
Microsoft offering 60k employees buyouts... AI's impact on the labor market is going to be a big topic next year. Crazy that the Fed's September SEP forecasts steady (4.1%) unemployment through 2028.
It is becoming obvious that AI is impacting the labor market. Going back to mid-2025: -Finance + Tech industries -246k jobs. -All other industries +812k jobs. This dynamic will most likely intensify next year and expand into other industries.
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Nick Woolos retweeted
🤣
I'm hearing whispers of the pain trade. Let me first welcome you back to YTD VPOC on NQ. See ya at Thanksgiving? 🤣
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I can make markets go up tomorrow too. Don’t believe me? #BlackTuesday
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🤖 Made with AI
This is a perfect setup for a Black Monday. $SPY
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Looks like red monday 🤣
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Cem talked about this scenario, as a scenario; a decline starting September or January of this year if the Fed remained accommodative, a year and a half ago.. Now we are here. Let’s see 🔥🔥
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De Ja Vu ~ 2.0 ~ October edition.
Still none of you believe they will hike
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