HML_Compounder (@HML_Compounder) profile picture

Engineer with an interest in systematic investing.

Joined June 2020
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HML_Compounder retweeted
Diversify.
*SERVICENOW SHARES SINK 22% IN BIGGEST INTRADAY DROP SINCE 2016 *ALPHABET SHARES FALL 13%, SET TO ERASE $489 BILLION IN VALUE *CATERPILLAR DROPS 12% AT OPEN, NOW DOWN 40% FROM JUNE RECORD *FORTINET SHARES PLUNGE 27%, SET FOR WORST DAY ON RECORD
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Everyday I grow stronger, while my enemy, the Nasdaq, gets weaker
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1) Distribution rate ≠ total return 2) Return of capital, while tax efficient, does not necessarily indicate economic gain 3) Defending ROC’s tax efficiency while failing to differentiate return OF capital from return ON capital is funny
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By now we’ve all seen the equal weight vs cap weight drawdown, which has historically mean reverted $RSP But this is actually a single for value, particularly small-cap value. $VBR $AVUV
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5 years later... 66% NTSX / 34% DBMF - 9.2% CAGR - 10.4% ann. vol - 12.4% max drawdown 100% VBINX - 6.9% CAGR - 11.5% ann vol - 20.9% max drawdown
Replying to @choffstein
14/ By using capital efficient funds, we can achieve our target traditional asset allocation and free up capital to be invested in either economically diversifying asset classes or uncorrelated strategies. e.g. 66.6% $NTSX + 33.4% $DBMF (managed futures)
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HML_Compounder retweeted
15 years ago, if you did the responsible thing & bought $10,000 of 'risk-free' long-term Treasuries, you'd have $11,072 today. If instead you spent $9,995 on drugs & $5 on bitcoin, you'd have $42,778 today.
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Trend-following has been a great hedge for market downturns historically, overall and especially the fixed income sleeve.
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I wanted to understand tax-aware long-short (TALS) portfolio mechanics, not just headline tax-alpha claims. So I built talsim, an open-source research simulator for leveraged tax-aware long-short strategies. Built for my own learning and exploration. Please stress-test it and point out flaws or gaps. #Investing #Finance #Quant #PersonalFinance
What needs to be true for leveraged tax-aware long-short (TALS) to be a pragmatic choice for an investor versus long-only index funds or direct indexing? High tax rates? Large embedded gains? Long horizon? Low financing/implementation costs?
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I was reliably informed by FinTwit in 2020-21 that AQR’s funds were all terrible. @CliffordAsness in particular was a big dummy, style premia, trend, value, etc., all dumb. Anyways here are performance numbers since Jan 2021 compared to SPY/QQQ.
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How would you rate this diet: 50% Carbs 30% Rice 20% Bread
How would you rate this allocation: 50% Index Funds 30% MAG 7 20% Growth Stocks Too risky?
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whenever i see someone talking about the downfall of the US hegemony, erosion of trust in the federal government, and the inevitable debasement of the US dollar... returnstackedetfs.com/stacki…
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I can make you see colours that don’t exist!
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Serious question for the dividend crowd: If you need $4,000 of cash, why take it as a dividend instead of selling $4,000 of shares? Sell shares and you only pay tax on the gain portion Get it as a dividend and the whole thing is taxable
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Rings true as this is exactly how we built AQR.
Don't underestimate the value of looks. El-Sayed won in part because he's good-looking. Mamdani won in large part because he's cute. if Francesca Hong looked as good as AOC she would have won. Easily.
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Interesting
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I can see it now. U.S. Value stocks will outperform for the next 5-10 years and the dividend bros will tell me they were right and I'll tell them I agreed with them the whole time but for very different reasons and they'll be confused and no one will have learned anything.
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I have known @CliffordAsness for years and have coauthored with him. Cliff is as honorable and honest as they come. He runs his life and his business with the highest standards of integrity. Having read this article, it is hot garbage. Cliff is following the law and serving his clients. That is a good thing, not a bad thing.
I have spent about 10 minutes flipping through this, but wow, when did Bloomberg become the agitprop wing of the DSA? First impressions (there may be more): - Deferring not eliminating taxes isn’t the 0% they brazenly put in their graphic (they even modify the zero immediately in the explaining text to “near zero” which it’s also not — do they even have compliance there @MikeBloomberg?). - Tom Steyer, give back all the money you apparently think you stole based on the carried interest exemption before you say a damn word (an exemption which hedge funds mostly don’t get btw: wsj.com/articles/round-up-th…). Or were you just “following the law”? Does that reason work for everyone Tommy? Also, as a personal message from me to you, kiss my ass you desiccated 5x loser. You found you couldn’t suck up to the DSA enough to get elected huh, so you desperately try to stay relevant this way. Oh, and Morris Pearl, whoever the hell that is, late of Blackrock, with his Patriotic Millionaire bullshit (non-binding virtue signaling crap from mostly a bunch of vicious personal tax optimizers) might want to scroll here to find “long-short tax aware investing”: blackrock.com/us/financial-p… - Lots of quotes out of context. As usual the left (and I’m talking to the left who both wrote and consume this BS) loves to take jokes and make them sound real when they don’t like someone invariable viewed as being on the other team (amazing they didn’t quote me saying there are “fine people” on both sides of the tax debate). When I wrote “only death is certain now” it was whimsical. But when your class enemies use whimsey you pretend it was real and attack right? Because you’re “journalists.” Also when you are honest with the world, as right or wrong anyone following me knows I have been for 35 years in this business, they make it a gotcha when I, on my own, share a funny self-deprecating story with the world. I joke about this one with self-deprecation (wsj.com/articles/SB124425620…) but the “journalists” will seize on it like they ferreted it out like Woodward and Bernstein. Yeah, I punched a computer monitor, 18 years ago, and I’ve written about it and joked at my own expense (i.e., the monitor was embarrassingly unhurt). You guys got me good! The tattoo however is real. Got me. It’s going away though. That is not a fun process and they lie to you about how many painful sessions it will take. Kids, stay in school and don’t get tattoos. - A subtle one. I gave kudos to him because I read Rob Arnott’s paper on taxes eating your alpha back in 1993 (when the NY Rangers had still gone 53 year without a Stanley Cup). They make it sound like I was a silent movie mustache twirling villain waiting 20-25 years since then to finally pounce. Again, journalism. - Most importantly, the moral issue, and there is one here just not the one these MS NOW aspirants highlight, is that of working in your clients interests. We use the same pre-tax alpha models for all our investors, taxable and non-taxable (non-taxable is where we started and still manage > 100B). Now, if you manage for both, how do you not, within the law (and it’s well within the law for any administration despite that slimy backhanded quote), minimize or defer the tax burden on your taxable clients to the best of your abilities and still think you’re remotely acting in their interests? Remember post GFC when it was all the rage to insist managers act in their clients interests (we always did)? Apparently that’s suspended, and is actually immoral, when it’s a successful hedge fund manager managing for taxable people of means (and, again, pre-tax for pension funds and charitable endowments and mutual fund investors etc.). Oh, and while most things you took out of context and with prejudice, which is shameful (do you think you are down the middle journalists?). The one you got right is my comments on Mamdani. In context. I take back not a word of that. Otherwise you guys did really well. bloomberg.com/features/2026-…
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