
Arnold Schwarzenegger of Stocks - Execution is everything - founder @velariumcapital
Joined March 2018
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MetaaL retweeted
Replying to @MetaaL_
The majority of my social media interactions, halfway through i ask myself 'wtf am I doing'. Almost deleted this reply too
MetaaL retweeted
BREAKING: NuScale Power $SMR reports Q2 2026 revenue of $75 thousand vs. $8.9 million expected
Herman Jin 关于半导体的看法:
1. INTC最终会成为TSMC的竞争对手,市值破1万亿没问题。
2. foundry公司要看PB,而不是PE。所以INTC 100多倍的PE没有问题
3. INTC的风险是未来达成目标之前出现的一些小插曲,小意外,比如良率是否能迅速提高,磨合,产品deliver的问题。
4. 存储依然是“周期性”行业,因为DDR是commodity,而不是产品。HBM只是堆叠的DDR,虽然最后封装每家有所不同,但现在是DDR给存储厂商贡献了3/4的利润。所以存储要看PS,而不是PE。现在认为存储PE很低所以去买的人是不懂半导体的外行机构和基金经理
5. 存储的Margin 80% 这件事理论上不可持续
6. 国产半导体应该坚持做存储,而不是被华为这样的爱国企业绑架去做费力不讨好的2倍曝光。长存正在做这件事,不过今年DUV光刻机也不好买了
总结一下 herman 关于币圈的看法:
1. 所有山寨币都会归零,没有任何价值
2. 只看好btc,但他不是btc maxima,btc只是作为股票资产的一种分散配置。自己只在6-7万以下买过btc,超过这个价格从没买过
3. 币圈是一个highly manipulated market,散户想要持有必须得按年计算
4. 币安是个大赌场,hyperliquid这种链上交易所则是路边摊。hyperliquid很坏,下单要慢600ms,而且如果交易对他有利就成交,对你有利就交易失败;并且任何一笔交易他们都去币安对冲
5. 稳定币本质上是政策套利,一个是不分红所以不受sec监管,但自己拿走分红;第二个是牌照价值,也就是政策价值。不会在crcl上长期投资,不如去买semi
6. coinbase收走50%的crcl利润,但币安更坏,会收掉99%的稳定币利润,
MetaaL retweeted
None of what moves tech, or the market, or hyperscalers, none of it is sustainable or reasonable. NVDA is buying customers and is clearly an anticompetitive monopoly trying to float its buyers and keep them solvent. Hyperscalers are giving you no FCF an if you’re ok with that
MetaaL retweeted
Easiest way to become profitable is to analyze your losing trades:
decrease total trades taken
work out how to avoid losers
by subtracting bad trades, you will be left with more good trades -> profitable trading.
Only after you achieve that, you can go and analyze your winners.
MetaaL retweeted
update .. yeah .. so i was right and wrong
MetaaL retweeted
10/ Strong 3 year trailing performance on the S&P usually dampens returns for future years following right after
MetaaL retweeted
Venezuela finding out why PLTR trades at 350x earnings
teapawt.net/sentdefender/status/20…
MetaaL retweeted
Afternoon all. Hope you had a lovely Christmas break and you’re recharged and ready for a new year of missing the trades that work, scratching the trades you take that would've worked if you hadn’t shit yourself and taking losses on all the stupid trades you do in-between. Cheers
MetaaL retweeted
$RIVN executions
after a pretty dry december execution wise, this trade is hitting numbers.
We have been stalking $RIVN since Nov05 and it developed to be one of the resilient liquid leaders.
IBKR trade history doesn't show fully on the executions charts, see details in the TV chart.
We added into the pullbacks and even the breakouts. Almost gave back all of the uPnL but our patience has come to fruition. Dec11 was a gift entry wise where we also added options.
+18R realized
MetaaL retweeted
$NXT
Leading sector and stock
Oversize long entry @ 10WMA
Partial sell to swing size @ intraday overextension
MetaaL retweeted
$HOOD
Flushout under weekly support
Buy opening print reclaim
Buy 1min consolidation under PDL
Buy consolidation under PDC
Sell into 124 push
6R realized


























