Mike Fellman (@MikeFellman) header
Mike Fellman (@MikeFellman) profile picture

Economist. Real Estate. Finance. Chess Olympian. Formerly Freddie Mac, IMF. Hispanohablante. Estadista. Proud Democrat. Reluctant PNP

Puerto Rico
Joined May 2013
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As requested, a thread of threads on housing. Thanks for all the engagement and thanks to all the new followers!
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This is another myth. There is no evidence of general evacuation orders from Arab leaders. Broadcasts of Arab radio stations were closely monitored and transcribed by the IDF/Haganah, and there is no record of evacuation orders. Had Arab leaders ordered all Arab civilians to evacuate, it certainly would have gone out on the radio, which was the main form of media at the time. Please note, the article OP links cites secondary sources, some of them testimony from individuals recollecting decades after the fact. It's really amateurish historical research.
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No amount of spin can change this result. Puerto Rico would be the bluest state in the union.
Replying to @MikeFellman
Puerto Rico is more conservative than Elon Musk. Look at the recent laws approved there, and consider that the Puerto Rico Governor, Senate President, and House Speaker are all Republicans. Come on, you should learn more about Puerto Rico before using this beautiful island as a talking point in midterm elections.
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Not elected as a Republican, rather, as a pro-statehood party candidate. Harris won the presidential preference vote by 50 points on the same ballot.
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PR elects "Republicans" who run as candidates for the pro statehood party. They win because people back statehood, not because voters like Republicans. Ds should make PR a state because it would reliably vote for Democrats.
I support both but think that tying them together is unhelpful. PR's case for statehood is cleaner than DC's and the people living there are far more harmed by the lack of statehood. Its also elects republicans regularly so its easier to make the bipartisan case for.
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Replying to @MikeFellman
Ok what red atate are you adding that will give the gop 2 free senators forever to balance it out?
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This earns a block. Go reply guy someone else with our apologia.
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"I want two more blue senators or red senators" is how a great many states got admitted to the union.
DC was explicitly designed to not be a state for a whole host of reasons. There is not a legitimate argument for DC statehood beyond “I want two more blue senators”
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The racists you helped elect have no interest in making a Spanish speaking territory a state. Own it. Eres un enemigo de la estadidad. Sit down and shut the hell up.
No one claims Puerto Rico would be a safe Republican state. But Puerto Ricans are persuadable voters, and the island has elected Republican governors and sent Republicans to Congress. Sure, they don’t run on mainland platforms. It'll require some coalition-building. That's a perfectly normal and healthy function of political parties. Also, most Puerto Ricans want statehood, and the national GOP platform endorsed it for decades. Independence has historically been associated with the left. The people defending the status quo throw up diversions to hide their economic self-interest. I get it. Everyone likes a tax shelter. But let’s be honest about the politics.
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Alberto is right, and coming from me , that's saying a lot.
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The endless spin from Puerto Rican GOP types is exhausting. Puerto Rico would be a deep blue state and if Vivian and her friends cared about PR statehood they would stop backing the GOP which is hellbent against it.
Replying to @AlbertoMedinaPR
Nearly 60% of Puerto Rican residents support statehood according to the 2024 status referendum. 44% of Puerto Ricans on the island identify as politically conservative. Another 2024 survey of Puerto Ricans on the island found 88% of them support lower taxes, 88% support reducing government spending, and 72% support allowing prayer in public schools. The majority on most social issues are very conservative, including abortion. The problem is that most of them, myself included, have been raised in a toxic, biased educational environment where the majority are liberal professors that indoctrinate their own values upon the rest of us, causing many Hispanics to assume that their “loyalty” MUST remain with Democrats — when that should never be the case. And the Hispanic electorate as a whole including Puerto Ricans shifting to the Republican Party from 2016 to 2024 cannot be ignored or swept under the rug. Those are real, documented gains. The shift is slowly and surely taking place on the island. Nobody cares about your radical Marxist pet projects nor do the majority support what your socialist wing want: which is independence. “A otro perro con ese hueso.” 😂 gracias!
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Democrats should make Puerto Rico a state because it would vote overwhelmingly blue and a majority on the island want statehood.
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I turned this thread into an article. precon.substack.com/p/housin…
If you wanted to attempt to do rent control right, you'd need a system where it was run like a public utility. Though I think there would be some major challenges. Thread (1/13)
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You can take this position without succumbing to the obvious bigotry that everyone who was expelled was a murderous thug looking to kill all Jews.
Replying to @MikeFellman
The expulsions were about the need for Israel to form a continuous defensive line in response to a coming invasion from the Arab armies. Now, you may take the position of the anti Israeli folk that mass expulsions are unjustifiable, but in the case of an existential struggle...
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This claim is simply historically false. Who became a refugee depended on a variety of factors such as when the territory was captured during the war or who was in command. It also depended on individual factors such as the economic means to flee to neighboring countries. The vast majority of refugees fled voluntarily out of fear of violence. They were actively fleeing the war. Not looking to partake in it. Becoming a refugee in no way meant that one had engaged in violence against the IDF or Jewish civilians. The fall is Nazareth provides a clear example. The city violently resisted the IDF, but the commander in charge opposed expulsion of the population and Ben Gurion himself ultimately forbade it. Yanuh is another example. The IDF suffered heavy losses capturing it but its inhabitants were allowed to remain. Of course, most notoriously, the residents of Lydda and Ramle were expelled en masse. The vast majority were non-combants. In sum, when expulsions occurred it was not because the civilian population had fought against the IDF. And even in cases when civilians had either engaged in or actively supported military activity against the IDF, it did necessarily result in expulsion or becoming a refugee. (See examples above)
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Hi, guys, I'm currently rated 2100 online(Rapid). What do you think my standard rating(FIDE) would be?
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Israel is much more readily understood as Jews attaining statehood when Britain abandoned its colony. Prior immigration to Palestine was not a legal right, but rather a privilege granted by British and Ottoman authorities. This created a modern yet no less legally significant connection to the land and serves as the true legal basis for eventual Israeli statehood. The accounts parroting Israel's national creation myth are speaking to other Jewish nationalists. Of course their argument is absurd. Virtually all nationalist propaganda is.
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