Liberal, life long New Englander, gamer, lover of comics, movies, TV, and New England sports. Member of the politically aware electorate. He/Him.

Vermont
Joined August 2025
There's something even weirder. For the Gov race, Marist lists 2% undecideds among registered voters. But that jumps to 6% among likely voters! That literally doesn't make sense. You shouldn't have a 3x increase in undecideds in a LV sample; typically, the percentage gets lower.
The other weird thing about that Marist poll in Maine is that their LV version is 10 points off from the polling average in the *governor's* race. And they show Pingree doing worse than Jackson, which no other poll does; the whole Q in Maine is about Susan Collins's strength.
28
50
5
907
126,226
Just for the record: Our final poll of 2024 had Slotkin up 3.7 percentage points, importantly with a significant 6.7% still undecided. detroitnews.com/story/news/p… This poll has El-Sayed up 6.3 points, with only 3.6% undecided. detroitnews.com/story/news/p…
37
98
8
342
42,533
We’re one week out from Election Day and there’s TON to keep track of. Lakshya, Zach & I are doing our best to follow all of the news, polls & early voting trends in every state & district. And Armin has been 100% heads down on Texas. Come nerd out with us tonight at 8:30pm ET!
Excited to announce that @lxeagle17, @Thorongil16, @admcrlsn, and I will host three X Spaces ahead of next Tuesday’s midterm elections to discuss polling, forecasts, early voting, and more. We’ll also take your questions along the way. We’ll stay flexible on topics, but here’s the rough plan: Tuesday, October 27 | 8:30–10 p.m. We’ll break down the state of play in the House and Senate, national polling, demographic trends, and the persuasion and turnout dynamics we’re watching. Friday, October 30 | 8:30–10 p.m. With early voting nearly complete across most key states, we’ll discuss what we’ve learned, including a close look at Texas with @Thorongil16. We’ll also talk about what the emerging electorate means for whom candidates need to persuade to win. Monday, November 2 | 7:30 p.m. – ??? Our final thoughts, a breakdown of key races, and what to watch as results come in Tuesday night. We’ll help you get ready to follow election night like a pro.
3
8
1
72
22,919
I try to avoid criticizing other pollsters much nowadays, but this is ridiculous. This is basically just what you do if you don't believe your polls and don't have the guts to stand by your numbers. Democrats aren't doing 7% worse with likely voters in 2026.
Marist just released its final poll of Maine—& they're doubling down on their now-trademark gap between registered & likely voters. —Jackson leads Collins 49% to 47% among LVs. —He's up 53% to 44% among RVs. (Marist's poll 3 weeks ago had Jackson leading 51/47 among RVs.)
15
108
10
1,620
144,915
Alright. My plan is to release the re-scored Mass Effect Universe trailer for N7 Day. A little tight, since I'm a bit busy pitching for a new game, but I'll see what I can do! I don't wanna rush it, and I want it to properly represent my musical vision for MEU.
63
531
15
5,072
75,036
Huge democratic breakthrough in Serbia tonight, followed by a Lula win in Brazil! Amazing day for democratic renewal. Bad day for illiberal populists.
404
1,818
78
11,167
179,761
We revealed a new Tomb Raider: Legacy of Atlantis sneak peek at TR30 Derby and MCM London. If you think "you've seen enough," this video contains teases of iconic content 👀
297
1,837
502
9,631
825,595
Jayson Tatum is and has been one of the best clutch time players in the NBA since he entered it in 2017. The only people who refute this objective fact are those who just try and pretend his career doesn't exist
24
157
5
1,722
54,264
The internet remains undefeated.
205
1,996
229
9,244
425,714
Good fight 🤝
223
488
68
10,358
261,173
This is pretty much what we're seeing everywhere re: under 45s but its mostly coming from a big, gaping turnout differential this year. I have never seen anything like it in my 9 years of analyzing elections. Ever.
The latest NYT poll shows how much the BIG Dem leads are built upon gains among younger cohorts. And this is shift in two-way support, translating to ~nearly 40-point and 20-point changes in margin (two-way margin, but still) for under 30 and 30-44.
7
42
3
440
36,117
Doug retweeted
2
503
3
2,604
15,432
THIS IS THE EMAIL OF ANDREW WILSON (CEO OF EA) [email protected] GO GET THEM GUYS #SaveMassEffect
22
191
8
1,046
21,986
We need to follow the example of the Destiny community! Use #SaveMassEffect and #MassEffectIsAlive, encourage your friends to join the fight, and let's keep making noise and organizing to save Mass Effect! There's always hope. ❤️
A purported BioWare developer has leaked a trailer for the cancelled ME 5 on Reddit. The footage, reportedly titled "MASS EFFECT UNIVERSE," appears to suggest the project was further along in development. Its authenticity remains unverified. #MassEffect
37
282
8
1,021
12,278
There is something deeply wrong with a political system that allows one trillionaire to buy his own personal U.S. Senator.
There is something deeply wrong with Talarico
10,070
26,131
984
222,943
5,802,077
IDK, it seems like certain pollsters are concerned their samples are too D, maybe for good reasons and maybe not, and are using their likely voter models to curb that.
78
125
26
2,276
576,308
Content warning, bro, jeez!
6
44
3
728
10,066
Your support has meant everything to me over the past 17 years at BioWare. ❤️❤️
1,067
1,190
56
14,902
205,844
Hello everyone, I wanted to make a longer, more polished statement on the Wedgewood mess as opposed to fragmented individual tweets. I felt like it was necessary to provide a longer explanation to fully explain my point of view and involvement with Wedgewood. This is not a legal statement, but I never knowingly participated in any deception For starters, I wanted to apologize directly for any affiliation I held with Wedgewood, whether that is promoting their fundraisers, or even by simply having them on my website. I could easily deflect by saying that Wedgewood was featured in the aggregates or so on, however the way I live my life revolves around one quote from Benjamin Franklin: "he that is good for making excuses is seldom good for anything else." It is my fault, and my fault alone, for promoting Wedgewood, and for that I am truly sorry. I will put it simply: I trusted Wedgewood, and when you play stupid games, you win stupid prizes. I trusted him enough to take his word that he was a 20-something college student at Boston University, and I believed he was a friend of mine to the point where I made ill-advised tweets saying that I "knew him personally" and that I "knew his identity," when in reality he was a sad, obese, far-right man from Ohio named Andrew who has a history of doxxing others over petty disagreements. Simply put, it is my fault and my fault alone for being gullible enough to trust his word on who he was to where I was willing to compromise my reputation by saying he was a legitimate pollster. Finally, this whole thing makes me deeply sad. When I began my website, I simply wanted to have a place to share my election predictions: and it has grown into something much bigger than that, thanks solely due to the fact that tens of thousands of people trust me. Never in a million years did I ever want to read a tweet calling me an "evil person" over unwittingly promoting a fake pollster. I accept that this trust has been broken by my own gullibility, and I will do everything I can to rebuild that trust going forward. To that end, while I was not affiliated with the Wedgewood Nebraska poll beyond its promotion, I believe this accountability requires more than words. Therefore, I am offering to personally refund, out of my own pocket, anyone who donated to the Wedgewood Nebraska poll. If you would like to request a refund, please fill out this form and I will be in touch with you: electindex.com/wedgewood - David
10
28
13
264
23,915
The whole reason that Wedgewood slipped through, though, is that it was founded by two people with an actual history of real polling work. It had all the hallmarks of a real, albeit startup and untested, polling operation. That's the more troublesome part.
Should’ve done this a LONG time ago, but personally, I have a new policy now: Every new pollster without a person or organization of repute behind them should automatically be assumed to be fake until proven otherwise. This has happened FAR too often now FFS.
6
20
3
262
11,655