If you're interested in NZ politics, polling and elections you're in the right place. #nzpol
Joined July 2025
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Welcome to the new Twitter/X home of The Progress Report - a repository of tools and data for anyone interested in New Zealand politics. #nzpol
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New: a neighbourhood-by-neighbourhood map of the 2023–2026 party vote swing.
National went backwards in 99% of NZ’s ~30,000 SA1s, and in nearly 9 out of 10 it fell by more than 5 points.
Pick a party and zoom in on your area 👇
theprogressreport.co.nz/swin… #nzpol
Some standouts:
📉 National’s biggest falls were in South Auckland – down 16 points in Takanini and 15 in Papakura, with Labour up ~10 in both
🟢 The Greens gained 21–33 points across all seven Māori electorates as Te Pāti Māori’s vote fell away
theprogressreport.co.nz/swin…
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Want to know how your neighbourhood voted? The Election Dashboard I built with @the_postnz lets you see the swing at every polling booth in NZ. As far as I know, it’s the only results site that goes down to booth level. thepost.co.nz/election-dashb… #nzpol
I've updated my MMP Calculator with the preliminary election results as they currently stand, so you see who gets in on numbers, and tweak them to see how changes to seats or party votes on specials might impact things. theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-… #NZPolitics #nzpol
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TheProgressReport retweeted
yes thepost.co.nz/election-dashb… (no paywall)
Two seats on incredible knife-edges:
🔵 Ham East: Nat +81 with one booth left, Endeavour School, which Nat won by 189 in 2023. Should hold on the night. Might go on specials.
🟢 Wgtn Bays: Lab +124 over the Greens, but specials in Wgtn lean Green.
Both too close to call. #nzpol
Labour have pulled ahead in Hamilton East - the Hillcrest Baptist Church Hall booth has just come in with a 12% swing towards Georgie Dansey. #nzpol thepost.co.nz/election-dashb…
TheProgressReport retweeted
You can see live electorate results ordered by margin on our results page - which isn't pay-walled:
TheProgressReport retweeted
Hello and welcome to election night!
The Post will have live election results from every booth in the country + the best live blog.
We've matched 85% of the booths from the last election too so you can see in great detail the like-for-like swing, if there is any.
Since the Parliamentary Library stopped updating their electorate profiles before the most recent boundary change, I've gone and done them myself, see here: theprogressreport.co.nz/elec…
I thought I'd take a quick look at my web traffic and see which have been the most popular...
1. Wellington North
2. Wellington Bays
3. Mt Albert
4. Tāmaki
5. Christchurch Central
6. Kenepuru
7. Auckland Central
8. Waitakere
9. Hutt South
10. Mt Roskill
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In a very last ditch attempt, National have launched what I imagine are their first ever candidate-level YouTube ads in Epsom: adstransparency.google.com/a… #nzpol
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I've rebuilt my NZ Political Ad Tracker from the ground up, hopefully you'll find it much easier to use. If you want to see what the parties and candidates are spending, take a look: theprogressreport.co.nz/ad-t… #nzpol
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Interesting list, disagree with a few things though. Particularly wouldn't be including Northcote, Takanini in the "safest seats" - if National has a bad night they'll flip. thespinoff.co.nz/politics/02… #nzpol
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The Victorian Liberals continue to amaze with their lack of sophistication. They're running this anti-Labor ad in Kew and Hawthorn where their main opponents are Teal independents. #springst adstransparency.google.com/a…
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TheProgressReport retweeted
The Reid Research poll five weeks before the 2023 election had National at 40 percent.
This time, 25.9 percent.
New RNZ-Reid Research poll up on The Progress Report if you want to calculate who would get in on those numbers. theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-… #nzpol
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