TheProgressReport (@ProgressRprt) profile picture

If you're interested in NZ politics, polling and elections you're in the right place. #nzpol

Joined July 2025
Big (and often requested!) new feature for The Progress Report has just dropped, you can now automatically estimate which seats will change hands in the MMP Calculator! theprogressreport.co.nz/mmp-… #nzpol
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Including a break down of spend per vote!
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If you click on See Full Results for a contest where I've got all the donations and expenses in, you can now see a detailed breakdown of them.
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New feature for The Progress Report: campaign finances! I've now got donation and expenses data for the 2023 and 2020 general elections and will gradually be backfilling with older and local elections.
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I've uploaded the latest Talbot Mills poll, so you can use my MMP Calculator to see exactly who would get into Parliament on those numbers.
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I stand by my statement.
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Just did the whichparty.nz quiz - got "Social Democrat", 90% Labour Party which I think is probably pretty spot on. Cool site but only thing I don't like is they don't disclose who is behind it or if anything is being done with the data they're collecting. #nzpol
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Quick update to The Progress Report - I've added major historical events (elections, changes of major party leaders etc) to my polling graphs, hopefully this additional context makes them even more useful. #nzpol
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Based on these Verian numbers, if Opportunity were able to sneak up to 5.2% and Labour wins back Te Tai Tonga and Te Tai Tokerau, this is what the house would look like - you could have a Labour/Green/TOP government that doesn't even need to work with Tamihere and TPM. #nzpol
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I've uploaded the latest Freshwater Strategy and Talbot Mills polls to my database so you can figure out who would get elected on those numbers. Here's my predictions for what the Labour caucus would look like under the Talbot Mills numbers... #nzpol
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I've made a small but hopefully useful change to my NZ Preferred Prime Minister polling graph - by default it now shows whoever was the leader of National and Labour at the time each poll was taken. theprogressreport.co.nz/pm-p… #nzpol
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