UK and US weather watch retweeted
UK and US weather watch retweeted
If CanSIPS (Canadian Seasonal to Inter-annual Prediction System) is to be believed there could be a severe winter energy crisis in Europe.
A clear longlasting -NAO signal with lower pressure anomaly to south and into southern Europe with greatest higher pressure anomaly near Greenland.
This could be associated with a persistently weak polar vortex & stubborn blocking high in North Atlantic, a very weak and displaced south Atlantic jet stream. And an increased likelihood of very cold weather from north and east. The much needed winter rains may not arrive.
UK and US weather watch retweeted
Monitor the Polar Vortex yourself in detail in my live Polar Vortex monitoring hub:
severe-weather.eu/polar-vort…
UK and US weather watch retweeted
A Restore Britain Government will implement a 80mph speed limit on motorways.
It will back business, trust drivers, and get Britain moving.
UK and US weather watch retweeted
Interesting update from ECM
Much more unsettled signal developing as we head through Autumn
Note the increasing signal for Atlantic/Greenland blocking as we get into winter, would give higher risk of colder weather
Too far out to take literally but this winter is a wildcard
UK and US weather watch retweeted
#StormDave has been named and is forecast to bring damaging winds across northern parts of the UK, with some disruptive snow possible in northwest Scotland later on Saturday and into Easter Day #WeatherAware
UK and US weather watch retweeted
The shift towards colder solutions in the GEFS is evident.
Fits with the generally colder theme I’ve been highlighting for late January for a while now.
Momentum is certainly growing towards another cold spell.
UK and US weather watch retweeted
A recent gust of 98 mph has been recorded at St Mary's Airport on the Isles of Scilly, making it a new record for the site 🌬️
UK and US weather watch retweeted
🚨 WILL YOUR AREA SEE SNOW | FIND OUT HERE
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UK and US weather watch retweeted
WILL YOU SEE SNOW ON THURSDAY NIGHT ❄️❄️
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Significant snow possible for some.
UK and US weather watch retweeted
Blimey, tonight's EC 12z run going for a classic 1980s style channel low and major snow event for much of lowland, southern England on Thursday night and Friday morning... #OneToWatch 👀
UK and US weather watch retweeted
I think we are extremely close to a scenario where some parts of the UK end up seeing a genuinely severe (1980's esq) amount of snowfall here.
There is very little signal to properly blast the cold air away, run after run, across models the cold air remains quite close to the UK, despite the uptick in Atlantic energy this isn't your typical very mild southwesterlies regime and there's little appetite for that within ensemble suites.
Instead, we have a rather weak Atlantic disrupting lows just to the north of the UK and a potential new trend for a Scandinavian surface high to develop 10th-15th.
All it would take is for a slight shift south of those disrupting lows and we're back into air cold enough for band after band of significant snowfall.
Uncertainty in the mid-extended range is extremely high. But.. I'm seeing something.
UK and US weather watch retweeted
Apologies for the lack of weather posts recently! A very cold airmass from the Arctic to start off 2026. Expected to last until mid next week at least.
There is potential for more widespread snow events further inland next week as Atlantic lows moves into the cold air.
#uksnow
UK and US weather watch retweeted
Snow events here in the UK are extremly chanllenging to forecast even in short lead time, so plently of changes are likely in the next few days.
UK and US weather watch retweeted
That is a very snowy ECM 12z op. It is very unlikely to happen particularly in the extended timeframe with a huge amount of snow across the south. But one to save for the amount of snow across the whole country.
UK and US weather watch retweeted
I think I’m now prepared to say the UK will experience the coldest spell of weather in 3 years since Dec 2022.
The strongly tight cold clustering in GFS ensembles shows renewed confidence in a very chilly opening week to January. Arctic air flows. Obviously people will mention about snow it’s likely to be cold enough, but it is too soon to discuss.
































