As a result, I do not know whether we will be able to publish the needle. There are good reasons to bet against it, though perhaps there are scenarios where things are running super smoothly; alternately, we hit bugs at the start and there's no chance.

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Jack Mirkinson · Nov 5, 2024 · 6:43 PM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

Jack Mirkinson@jackmirkinson5 Nov 2024

if the nyt workers are able to successfully prevent the needle from being published it will be one of the greatest achievements for organized labor since the invention of the weekend

Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn5 Nov 2024

Replying to @Nate_Cohn

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Rational🇺🇸Pastime · Nov 5, 2024 · 6:50 PM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime@RationalPastime5 Nov 2024

#completedtheassignment

Image from Rational🇺🇸Pastime (@RationalPastime)

Robby Slowik · Nov 4, 2024 · 6:55 PM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

Robby Slowik@RobbySlowik4 Nov 2024

Me texting Kamala back on Wednesday: “OMG sorry JUST saw these. Do you still need thirty dollars?”

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derek guy · Nov 5, 2024 · 2:54 AM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

derek guy

@dieworkwear5 Nov 2024

Clothes have long been political. 🧵

Jimmy Bynum@BynumJimmy5 Nov 2024

Replying to @dieworkwear

Even clothes have to be political. Ridiculous.

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The Serfs (youtube.com/theserftimes) · Nov 5, 2024 · 7:30 AM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

The Serfs (youtube.com/theserftimes)@theserfstv5 Nov 2024

RFK Jr closes out his final day of campaigning

The Associated Press

@AP5 Nov 2024

The butchered remains of a dolphin were found on a New Jersey beach. Feds are investigating apnews.com/article/butchered…

The butchered remains of a dolphin were found on a New Jersey beach. Feds are investigating

Federal authorities are investigating the butchered remains of a dolphin that were found on a New Jersey beach.

apnews.com

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Brandy Zadrozny · Nov 5, 2024 · 12:43 PM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

Brandy Zadrozny

@BrandyZadrozny5 Nov 2024

Skateboard-riding ballot mules, Philly registering non-citizens, fake addresses, busted voting machines, nefarious plots operating in plain site. Welcome to Election Day 2024 where officials are bracing for a flood of disinformation. Brought to you by X. nbcnews.com/politics/2024-el…

Officials brace for a flood of disinformation and legal claims as Election Day finally arrives

Experts warn that the longer the race remains unresolved, the more time domestic and foreign actors will have to sow doubt, discord and division regarding the results.

nbcnews.com

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Rational🇺🇸Pastime · Nov 5, 2024 · 11:55 AM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime@RationalPastime5 Nov 2024

This is like when I put myself into NBA2K.

Rob Dauster

@RobDauster5 Nov 2024

Mark Few got his son a couple of garbage time minutes off the bench and all it got him was on the receiving end of one of the worst posters I’ve ever seen.

Governor Ned Lamont · Nov 5, 2024 · 11:06 AM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

Governor Ned Lamont

@GovNedLamont5 Nov 2024

It’s 6AM and polls are now officially open! Voters have until 8PM to get in line to cast their ballots. 🇺🇸 Need to locate your polling place? Look it up here: portaldir.ct.gov/sots/LookUp…

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Jessica Valenti · Nov 5, 2024 · 1:37 AM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

Jessica Valenti

@JessicaValenti5 Nov 2024

Call me crazy but maybe decrying that gov't overreach killed a squirrel while ignoring women killed by abortion bans isn't a terrific move for your double digit gender gap teapawt.net/JudiciaryGOP/status/18…

House Judiciary GOP 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

@JudiciaryGOP2 Nov 2024

Justice for Peanut.

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BackInStorrs · Nov 5, 2024 · 1:56 AM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

BackInStorrs@BackInStorrs5 Nov 2024

Remember January 6, 2021 when you vote tomorrow.

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Esosa Osa · Nov 4, 2024 · 2:28 PM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

Esosa Osa@Esosa_Osa4 Nov 2024

Election Eve Disinfo Reminders: 1. Stay Calm 2. Drink Water 3. DO NOT SHARE RUMORS, SPECULATION, OR ANYTHING THAT COULD ALARM VOTERS (even if components may be true) 4. Instead, share the vopro hotline 866-OUR-VOTE 5. Stay Calm 🥰

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Kevin Rennie · Nov 3, 2024 · 10:22 PM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

Kevin Rennie@DailyRuctions3 Nov 2024

Crikey, hard to think of another House candidate who declined to say what town he lives in.

Image from Kevin Rennie (@DailyRuctions)

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Kentavious Tripleflips · Nov 4, 2024 · 1:35 PM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

Kentavious Tripleflips@GmingClipz4 Nov 2024

They all went from saying Clingan wasn't special to we're going to be screwed without him. The goal posts only move this way for UConn. It's incredible.

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Ron Filipkowski · Nov 4, 2024 · 2:13 AM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

Ron Filipkowski

@RonFilipkowski4 Nov 2024

A 17-year-old — wearing a T-shirt featuring an image of Trump raising his middle finger in front of an American flag background — was arrested for punching a 70 year old woman who was Harris supporter, knocking her off her feet. tcpalm.com/story/news/local/…

Teenager wearing Trump shirt charged with punching Harris supporter, 70

The boy, 17, who was wearing a shirt bearing an image of Trump extending his middle finger, was part of a group antagonizing ralliers, the woman said.

tcpalm.com

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JD Mathewson, PhD · Nov 4, 2024 · 1:28 AM UTC

Rational🇺🇸Pastime retweeted

JD Mathewson, PhD@MathewsonPhD4 Nov 2024

Yes there are some confounders here. No I’m not going to try to control for them. Also I sure hope the Fed measures state level inflation directly and I’m not just modeling the Fed’s model. No, I’m not going to check. Anyway check out my univariate n=43 model.

Nate Silver

@NateSilver5383 Nov 2024

Replying to @NateSilver538

There are some confounders here, but the inflation thing is actually statistically significant! Each additional $100 of inflation in a state since January 2021 predicts a further 1.6 swing against Harris in our polling average vs. the Biden-Trump margin in 2020.

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