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25+ years of quantitative sports modelling. Win probabilities, team ratings & season simulations for NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL and top European soccer leagues.

Joined October 2025
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Just over a month until the new #NFL season. What happens if your team wins Week 1? Our new NFL Simulator lets you change the result of any of the 272 regular season games and update playoff odds, division, seeding and Super Bowl chances. 👇 sharpmodels.com/nfl/simulato…
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SharpModels make The Seahawks 72% to beat The Bears.
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Close game predicted Seahawks @ Broncos #NFL
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Buccaneers need a win to get their season out of the starting gate. Lose again tonight and our model suggests their chance of reaching the play offs drops to 10%.
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NFL playoff probabilities after Week 4. youtu.be/qAKYfQxHF_o?is=84-1…
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Since 1970 Falcons and Saints are 28 wins each @ the Saints. Everything points to close game.
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Week 4 #NFL model vs market
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