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25+ years of quantitative sports modelling. Win probabilities, team ratings & season simulations for NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL and top European soccer leagues.

Joined October 2025
SharpModels make The Seahawks 72% to beat The Bears.
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Close game predicted Seahawks @ Broncos #NFL
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Buccaneers need a win to get their season out of the starting gate. Lose again tonight and our model suggests their chance of reaching the play offs drops to 10%.
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NFL playoff probabilities after Week 4. youtu.be/qAKYfQxHF_o?is=84-1…
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Since 1970 Falcons and Saints are 28 wins each @ the Saints. Everything points to close game.
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Week 4 #NFL model vs market
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