25+ years of quantitative sports modelling. Win probabilities, team ratings & season simulations for NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL and top European soccer leagues.
Joined October 2025
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SharpModels retweeted
I shoehorned gambling into my MSc dissertation in 2015 by building a reinforcement learning agent that traded greyhound markets on Betfair autonomously.
It made £2,153 of real money across 52 days of live trading. 85% less than my backtest said it would.
sharpmodels.com/articles/whe…
SharpModels retweeted
Been spending the last few months building this.
If you're an NFL fan, you might enjoy seeing how different results can change the playoff picture.
sharpmodels.com/nfl/simulato…
Just over a month until the new #NFL season.
What happens if your team wins Week 1?
Our new NFL Simulator lets you change the result of any of the 272 regular season games and update playoff odds, division, seeding and Super Bowl chances.
👇
sharpmodels.com/nfl/simulato…