Data-first election analytics with a deep focus on Arizona. Public analysis here. Campaign work at https://xitter.cf/t.co/JmJCAJQO1q. Founder: @derek_weech

Phoenix, AZ
Joined April 2026
Stealth Analytics retweeted
AZ Early Ballot facts: 85% of households that turn in an early ballot, do so on the same day. If your housemate already returned on an earlier day, your daily return odds go up 1.4× Mixed-party households don’t just vote less they return separately: 67% same-day vs 88%
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Ok. So this poll is, in fact, not fake. It's just incorrectly cited. It's from a new local gop firm @StealthPolling.
🚨BREAKING: Incumbent Katie Hobbs leads Andy Biggs in the Arizona gubernatorial election by 4.7%. Arizona - 2026 governor 🟦Katie Hobbs* 43% (+4.7) 🟥Andy Biggs 38.3% See all AZ governor polls @Pollsmax. This race is likely to be much closer, as Trump won the state in 2024 by 5.5%. Data for Progress | August 4, 2026 | 567 LV
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Data for Progress did not conduct this poll, as confirmed by their Executive Director, and no such poll appears on their website. x.com/ryanodonnellpa… dataforprogress.org
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21,151
Looks like primary turnout will probably settle around 26%. Nearly a 10 point drop from 2022 and the lowest rate since 2008.
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25,403
As of 6:00 p.m., approximately 76,000 voters have checked in. All 236 vote centers across Maricopa County are open and none have waits. To find a vote center near you, visit Locations.Maricopa.Vote. A partir de las 6:00 p.m., aproximadamente 76,000 votantes han registrado su llegada en los centros de votación por todo el condado de Maricopa. Los 236 centros de votación están abiertos y ninguno tiene tiempos de espera. Para encontrar un centro de votación cercano a ti, visita Ubicaciones.Maricopa.Voto.
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6,392
As of 5:00 p.m., approximately 66,800 voters have checked in. All 236 vote centers across Maricopa County are open and none have waits. To find a vote center near you, visit Locations.Maricopa.Vote. A partir de las 5:00 p.m., aproximadamente 66,800 votantes han registrado su llegada en los centros de votación por todo el condado de Maricopa. Los 236 centros de votación están abiertos y ninguno tiene tiempos de espera. Para encontrar un centro de votación cercano a ti, visita Ubicaciones.Maricopa.Voto.
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6,839
As of 4:15 p.m., approximately 59,700 voters have checked in. All 236 vote centers across Maricopa County are open and none have waits. To find a vote center near you, visit Locations.Maricopa.Vote. A partir de las 4:15 p.m., aproximadamente 59,700 votantes han registrado su llegada en los centros de votación por todo el condado de Maricopa. Los 236 centros de votación están abiertos y ninguno tiene tiempos de espera. Para encontrar un centro de votación cercano a ti, visita Ubicaciones.Maricopa.Voto.
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4,579
As of 3:30 p.m., approximately 53,600 voters have checked in. All 236 vote centers across Maricopa County are open and none have waits. To find a vote center near you, visit Locations.Maricopa.Vote.
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4,529
The new voluntary check-in process for "late early" voters appears it will be very effective in cutting down how many ballots will need verification in the next few days. I'm crossing my fingers we will be at or above 90% by tomorrow afternoon.
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22,070
As of 2 p.m., approximately 41,600 voters have checked in at vote centers across Maricopa County. To find a vote center near you visit Locations.Maricopa.Vote A partir de las 2 p.m. aproximadamente 41,600 han registrado su llegada en los centros de votación por todo el condado de Maricopa. Para encontrar un centro de votación cercano a ti visita Ubicaciones.Maricopa.Voto
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1,071
Stealth Analytics retweeted
🚨 NEW POLL AZ AG RACE Petersen 35% Glassman 19% Independent survey shows Petersen as the clear frontrunner at 35%-19%. When voters learn Glassman’s record — lost 6 times in a row, switched parties 4 times, ran twice as Democrat Party chair, dedicated a children's environmental book to Ruben Gallego, etc. — Petersen surges past 60%! stealth-analytics.com/dispat…
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Stealth Analytics retweeted
Early voting starts with ballots going out on Wednesday, June 24th. Election Day is Tuesday, July 21st. No excuses. We need every Republican voting early in the primary and then bringing 10 of their friends to vote. Let’s win BIGGLY. #GoBiggsOrGoHome
📊 Arizona Governor GOP Primary 🟥 Andy Biggs: 55% 🟥 David Schweikert: 9% 🟥 Scott Neely: 1% 🟥 Ken Miceli: 1% Stealth Analytics | 5/13-15 | 1,000 LV stealth-analytics.com/dispat…
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Stealth Analytics retweeted
📊 Arizona Governor GOP Primary 🟥 Andy Biggs: 55% 🟥 David Schweikert: 9% 🟥 Scott Neely: 1% 🟥 Ken Miceli: 1% Stealth Analytics | 5/13-15 | 1,000 LV stealth-analytics.com/dispat…
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