sark (@afoolswisdom) profile picture

cultivated abandon | https://teapawt.net/t.co/uFCLImjFFQ

Scylla *and* Charybdis
Joined January 2010
Photo by sark (@afoolswisdom)Photo by sark (@afoolswisdom)Photo by sark (@afoolswisdom)Photo by sark (@afoolswisdom)Photo by sark (@afoolswisdom)Photo by sark (@afoolswisdom)Photo by sark (@afoolswisdom)Photo by sark (@afoolswisdom)
When they say AI will make academics obsolete, this is a good thing! Claude understands my position on naive binary forecasting (and betting markets) better than 100% of academics in Decision "Science"/Psychology, all verbalistic. "Why does Taleb despise @PTetlock"?
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After the apparently amazing announcement by @mathematics_inc on the formalization of a major recent Fields-medal winning theorem, i had no idea how pissed the math-formalization community is. Very worrying discussions by some of the leaders/founders of Lean's mathlib. cc @ChrSzegedy
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Now that I'm back in Princeton following the @DARPA expMath kickoff event, I'm beginning to collect my thoughts on the future of autoformalization, AI for Math, and AI for Science more broadly. Here's where I've got to. "On productive and unproductive frictions"
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OK, here's the new piece! Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes osam.com/Commentary/upside-d… Hope you enjoy!
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"There are two mistakes one can make along the road to truth... not going all the way, and not starting." ~ Siddhartha Gautama (Buddha)
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AMBIVALENCE CAN RUIN YOUR LIFE
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Replying to @afoolswisdom
Does this culminate in isolation?
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untrue. compare: (1) THERE ARE CLAPPING HANDS EMOJIS BETWEEN THE WORDS OF THIS STATEMENT (2) THERE 👏 ARE 👏 CLAPPING 👏 HANDS 👏 EMOJIS 👏 BETWEEN 👏 THE 👏 WORDS 👏 OF 👏 THIS 👏 STATEMENT
Putting clapping hands emojis between the words of a statement doesn’t make it more true. If the statement was false without the emojis, it’s still false with them.
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One of the most crucial insights from Taleb's incerto: Risk management isn't about being very prudent and careful - it is about eliminating risk of ruin so that you can very AGGRESSIVELY take non-ruin risks.
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[Thread] Nassim Taleb's 17 best one-line wisdom. @nntalebbot @nntaleb @TalebWisdom 1. The three most harmful addictions are heroin, carbohydrates, and a monthly salary.
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"The intellectshual world is populated by a collection of people who are much better at explaining than understanding." - Nassim Taleb
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a blog post written by a literal banana explaining indexicality carcinisation.com/2020/01/27…
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Is this just a dead bat bounce?
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Consider: millions of years ago our antecedents gave a massive sacrifice of their left hemisphere. We lost a tremendous amount of short term memory and replaced it with Broca’s, Wernicke & the phonological loop. But why? So we can—talk. Thus chimpanzees can do this—we can’t:
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A truly free person travels for both journey and destination.
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I have skin in the game, you have sunk cost fallacy, he has Stockholm syndrome
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If this is not relevant, you'll tell me.
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Is it possible to make something beautiful without the technical accomplishment instantly revealing newer, better horizons of beauty?
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imagining a metal world where we express everything this way - e.g. “I spun enough hemp to hang 14 people today” teapawt.net/new_narrative/status/1…
Authorities arrested 35 people and seized enough fentanyl to kill roughly 14 million people in a three-state drug bust cnn.it/2zMB7Ap
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