This could be an indicator that the likely voter screens have been too red calibrated.
Maine Governor
🟦 Hannah Pingree 44%
🟥 Bobby Charles 44%
⬜️ Rick Bennett 6%
@maristpoll 10/22-25 | LV
No comment on the bigoted ads against Muslims coming from the Republican side.
Michigan Senate closing argument: blame Israel for everything theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/1…
Dainéil retweeted
Lions got hit with that exact roughing call two weeks ago. You cannot leave your feet at the QB, period--even if you do exactly what the rules dictate (which Brooks did). They're calling it every time.
Dainéil retweeted
How did Lula come from behind to crush Bolsonaro?
In short, turnout.
Bolsonaro's vote share barely moved. Lula banked millions of votes from those who didn't vote in 1st round and won eliminated candidates' votes.
A remarkable mobilisation. 2nd round turnout usually below 1st.
I love Lula because he's one of the few politicians internationally that unites the US Left in support.
From DSA types to Obama centrists.
Dainéil retweeted
Huge respect to the organizers, activists and voters of Brazil and Serbia. These results are due to so much work and they give us so much hope. There is nothing inevitable about the far right.
The is one of many reasons why two-round elections are superior to one-round elections.
The Cheesecake Factory is a restaurant???
I thought it was a kitschy pâtisserie chain that specialized in cheesecakes.
As Ukrainians have noticed, even Russophone "liberals" like @juliaioffe have culturally imperialist attitudes.
They talk about Ukraine like Belgian intellectuals in the 1920s talked about the Congo.
The “best best” case sounds like fantasy.
Why would the toppling of Ukraine and Zelensky be a “best” case?
Look i don’t think you’re on Russias side or anything. But yesterday you attacked Zelensky for “mishandling” Trump. And the biggest enemy in the US politically speaking for Ukraine, are the Megan mobbs types who want us to believe that one more time on their knees in front of Trump is all Ukraine needs.
Meanwhile those of us who have actually fought with Trump know that he only responds to strength. Not begging
You clearly got the battlefield predictions wrong, like literally every single commentator did that day.
But why lie about it? Why not just admit you were wrong? The best case scenario for Ukraine was not peacefully surrendering and embracing puppet state status.
Why lie? That's not what you said.
You said the best case scenario is Ukraine's decapitation, surrender, and transformation into an puppet state so subservient to Putin a Russian occupation force wouldn't be necessary.
Again, why lie? Why not just admit you were wrong?
Dainéil retweeted
We just saw the dumbest play call in Michigan football history. Trailing Indiana 6-0, UM has third and goal from the 1. OC Jason Beck calls for freshman Tommy Carr to roll out and try to hit the Rhino guy, Beigel. Sacked. Missed FG. That's arrogance and stubborness from Beck.
Dainéil retweeted
My strong, STRONG advice, is that anyone telling you Early Vote data has ANY predictive value whatsoever, and obsessively updates new EV data, is full of it and straight up not worth your time.
No matter how fancy the graph or chart, garbage is still garbage.
Slow Horses is so aggressively mid.
#SlowHorses has to be up there now as one of the best shows, certainly in the 21st century.
@AppleTV need to do Jackson Lamb prequel show set in the cold war 80s