And so it begins… El Niño Powered Pacific Jet is ramping up! Storms will stretch from #California to #Texas to eventually #Florida over the next week to 10 days. The SW will get hit hard again this weekend. For Florida, at first the impacts will gradually ramp up, then as we get deeper into fall and winter this parade of fronts and #storms will become more frequent and intense. #ElNino

What’s behind the 100-year sea level record broken in Southern California? It’s the perfect storm, without an actual storm! Let’s explain… 🌊 Ocean levels near Long Beach reached 8.02 feet, the highest recorded at the nearby Los Angeles Harbor tide gauge since records began in 1923! Even more remarkable: Sea levels are running almost 2 feet above predicted astronomical tides! So why is the ocean so high? 1. FULL MOON: High astronomical tides are helping push ocean levels toward their monthly peaks. 2. RECORD OCEAN HEAT: An extraordinary marine heatwave is warming and “expanding” ocean water, raising sea levels. 3. EL NIÑO KELVIN WAVE: A recent ocean wave has helped elevate sea levels along the California coast. 4. LONG-TERM SEA-LEVEL RISE: Decades of warming and melting land ice have raised the baseline by ~foot, making flooding more likely. 5. LUNAR CYCLES: Longer-term changes in the Moon’s orbit are amplifying this season’s highest astronomical tides. BOTTOM LINE: Southern California is experiencing historic coastal flooding without a major storm! El Nino, climate change, and big lunar tides are to blame. And even higher astronomical tides are expected later this fall/ winter. #ElNino

🌊 RECORD WATER LEVELS Water levels at Lake Worth Pier in Palm Beach today reached 2.70 feet above the average daily higher high tide (MHHW) today - topping NOAA’s listed record of 2.52 feet during Hurricane Nicole in 2022 by about 2 inches. This is due to persistently strong east winds, big waves, a fall full moon causing astronomically high tides, and long-term sea level rise due to a warmer climate. Records at this gauge date back to 1970. Today’s reading remains preliminary, pending NOAA verification. #Florida