Matt Sullivan retweeted
Abundance from Super Intelligence will create exponential value for scarce assets.
Bitcoin will be the most valuable scarce asset.
The optimal play: learn & use Super Intelligence & buy Bitcoin.
Ignore FUD from those who've been consistenly wrong.
Matt Sullivan retweeted
In this week’s Hurdle Rate, the crew breaks down Strive’s biggest buy ever, 6,182 BTC to reach 43,000, plus the new $1B $SATS ATM and hitting 61% amplification on $ASST. They also discuss SpaceX’s $SPCX $40B GPU deal, why perpetual Digital Credit beats time-bound chip financing, and whether capital is the last moat.
Here’s the latest with @PunterJeff, @Werkman, @IIICapital, @AdamBLiv, and @TimKotzman.
Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:39 - 43,000 BTC And The SATS ATM
04:41 - Our Largest Bitcoin Buy Ever
10:35 - Engineering Amplified $BTC
14:25 - Is The Bear Market Over?
21:49 - Inside SpaceX’s $40B GPU Deal
26:57 - GPUs Vs. Bitcoin As Collateral
31:29 - Why Perpetual Beats Time Bound
39:08 - Is Capital The Last Moat?
51:25 - Will AI Labs Hold Bitcoin?
56:05 - The Future Of Income
01:00:27 - Risk Is Mispriced
Matt Sullivan retweeted
$MSTR holders are more convicted than Bitcoiners. And the data proves it.
@SullyMichaelvan joins @AdamBLiv to break down the sentiment data behind amplified Bitcoin, $BTC's philosophical civil war, and why he thinks we’re in a disbelief rally.
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:39 Bitcoin’s Philosophical Civil War
06:29 Why Buy Bitcoin Treasury Companies
11:30 The Merton Model Explained
22:33 Bitcoin Sentiment Hits Historic Lows
32:41 How Michael Measures Sentiment
37:47 MSTR Holders Vs. Bitcoiners
44:20 The Coldcard Divide
47:49 Strive Sentiment After The Reverse Split
53:48 Is The Bitcoin Bottom In?
57:07 Bitcoin’s Correlation With Gold
59:29 Closing Thoughts
Matt Sullivan retweeted
Joined RE: Bitcoin with @chasepalmieri. He asked several excellent in-depth questions about Strive I've never been asked publicly before. Hope you enjoy the conversation.
TIMESTAMPS
00:00 - Strive and Bitcoin Amplification
01:50 - Amplification Risk and Reward
04:04 - Market Demand and Institutions
06:57 - Outperforming Bitcoin
10:06 - Growth and Capital Strategy
13:00 - Bitcoin Balance Sheet and Digital Credit
18:01 - Daily Dividends and Market Impact
21:04 - Collaboration and Competition
24:50 - Digital Credit Yields and Risks
29:59 - Bitcoin Loans and Collateral
39:48 - Long-Term Strategy and Outlook
$ASST $SATA $SATS
Matt Sullivan retweeted
I use long-term money-supply trends as an important factor in assessing the cost of capital we should be willing to underwrite to amplify Bitcoin. We’ve covered in depth why Amplification Ratio is the key determinant of Strive’s ability to outperform Bitcoin, and why cost of capital matters less. I hope this historical framework, viewed alongside Bitcoin, helps those seeking a deeper understanding.
Scarcity has consistently outperformed debasement over the past 55-plus years. Gold has compounded faster than M2 in every period shown: 9.0% vs. 6.7% since 1970, 9.5% vs. 6.3% since the GFC, and 18.3% vs. 6.5% since COVID. Bitcoin is digital gold, a superior store of value whose emergence remains in its early stages. It should outperform gold as it matures. Our thesis depends on long-term monetary debasement continuing. Our believe is the trend is unbreakable, and as the debt crisis continues to worsen, the outperformance of scarce assets will perpetually accelerate (not decelerate) relative to the dollar in CAGR terms vs historicals.
If you accept that premise, as we do, the only challenge becomes building and sustaining a high Amplification Ratio without blowing up. It sounds simple, but it is extraordinarily difficult. I don’t believe most investors understand nor properly value the moat Strive has built around high Bitcoin amplification with high liquidity, and I don’t expect most to recognize it until Bitcoin makes sustainable new all-time highs.
The consensus investor remains fixated on the cost of capital and fiat cash flows. That is understandable, but it means picking up pennies in front of the debasement steamroller. When you truly internalize the principles of a Bitcoin standard, the focus becomes crystal clear: be maximally and perpetually short dollars and long Bitcoin.
$ASST $SATA $SATS
Matt Sullivan retweeted
Strive announces upsized IPO of $SATS to $700M notional, priced at $90 per share.
We'll discuss the details in depth on the next @HurdleRatePod, which will be released when the IPO settles next Tuesday.
Matt Sullivan retweeted
If you want to be a "select investor" in the $SATS IPO, visit the Fidelity brokerage platform in the link below. The Fidelity indication of interest window ends today.
For additional information please visit the SATS IPO website at strive.com/sats-ipo/.
Replying to @Strive
To find out how to participate, speak to your broker or visit the Fidelity brokerage platform at digital.fidelity.com/prgw/di…
Matt Sullivan retweeted
Strive acquired 2,822 BTC over the last two days, increasing our BTC HODL by 8.6%.
We now hold 35,595 BTC and the #4 spot among global publicly traded holders of BTC.
In the last 9 days Strive have increased Bitcoin held by 20.8% (29,462 > 35,595).
Averaging ~ 681 BTC acquired per day over the last 9 days. ~150% of the daily new supply of BTC.
Matt Sullivan retweeted
Strive is offering $SATS through an IPO available to select investors.
- 15% fixed-rate perpetual preferred stock
- Cumulative dividends paid every business day
- Junior to SATA
INVESTOR PRESENTATION TIMESTAMPS
00:00 - Introducing SATS
01:46 - Executive Summary
18:50 - SATS Improves SATA
21:06 - Dividend and Balance Sheet Strength
27:33 - Performance and Liquidity
30:48 - Bitcoin Thesis
40:26 - Amplification and Risk
$SATS $ASST $SATA
Matt Sullivan retweeted





















