Rajat Kumar Singh

MEGA thread of 18 technical case studies. 🔥🔥 Read these and you will thank me later. 🥰 Retweet this & Follow me @imfamousrajat for more mind-blowing technical insights. 🖥 CAMS 📂 CDSL 🚅 IRFC ⚡️ TATAPOWER 🥛 DODLA 🔩 ELGIEQUIP 🧪 FACT #CAMS #CDSL #IRFC #TATAPOWER

This is the HOPIUM post you have been looking for. We may be closer to BOTTOM than you think. Sentiment is awful. Most portfolios are deep underwater. People are tired of waiting, tired of watching their investments go nowhere, and tired of dealing with everything from SEBI rules to taxes. Unfortunately, most of that is completely outside our control. I've personally spent the last couple of years doing very little in the market. No constant chart watching. Very few trades. Mostly just holding the investments I actually wanted to own. Still down ~14%, and I'm completely fine with that. Because sometimes surviving a bad market without forcing trades is the trade. I know a lot of people are exhausted right now. But these are also the periods that make it hardest to see what's coming next. Maybe the bottom isn't in yet. Maybe there's more pain left. Nobody knows. But don't let a difficult phase convince you that there's nothing ahead worth waiting for. Keep your focus. Protect your capital. Stay patient. The market will eventually give you another opportunity. Painful times now. Better days in 2027. #Nifty #Stockmarket

The last couple of years have been so brutal that I think a lot of people have genuinely forgotten how to dream big. They've spent so long watching bags bleed, narratives die, and every pump get sold that now the idea of things actually going up again almost feels delusional. That's what a long bear market does to you. Not just price capitulation. Time capitulation. Mental capitulation. Eventually, you stop expecting anything good to happen. Personally, I think we're getting closer to the end of that phase. At some point the market will run again. Stocks will go up again. Crypto will go up again. People will get bullish again. And yeah, we'll probably all become delusional again But don't let PTSD from the bear market stop you from clicking buttons when the opportunities start showing up. Good times always feel impossible right before people start believing in them again. 2027

Soon.....

First weekly pullback, and people are already calling the top on Aeroflex. Personally, I see this as a buying opportunity for the next leg higher. I've placed some bids in the ₹380–400 zone. The stock has just broken out on the weekly timeframe after spending a couple of years building a base. It doesn't make much sense for that breakout to end this early, especially after the kind of attention and "star" status it's gained over the past few months. So stop flip-flopping. Wait for selling to exhaust itself, place your bids, define your stop-loss (if you're trading short term), and let the setup play out. No NFA, of course. Just thinking out loud. #Aeroflex #stockstowatch

TRENT + Confirmed move above the key MAs + Positive reaction on average results + Accumulation structure / base + Positive volume reaction on upmove + Nascent uptrend Would give an entry after the initial impulsive move + consolidation / base formation above the key MAs Squiggly lines are for illustrative purposes. Worth tracking hereon. #Trent Disclaimer: Not invested

$DATAPATTNS is one of the cleaner setups in the defence space right now. From a technical perspective, the stock has just broken out of a 650+ day base on the weekly timeframe, a structure that often precedes sustained markup phases. After spending nearly 2 years consolidating, price has reclaimed prior highs and is now printing fresh higher highs and higher lows. The daily chart looks decent: ✅ First push above key moving averages marked the internal shift in structure ✅ Second impulsive leg confirmed expansion with strong participation ✅ Breakout candles came with massive volume, showing aggressive demand ✅ Key moving averages are rising and widening, indicating strengthening momentum ✅ Current price action is compressing near highs which is often a healthy pause before continuation What makes this setup more interesting is that the fundamentals support the move. In the last 6 months alone, the order book has jumped from ₹737Cr to ₹2,062Cr, giving the company multi-year revenue visibility. FY26 numbers remain strong: ⚡️ Revenue: ₹925Cr (+31% YoY) ⚡️ PAT: ₹271Cr (+22% YoY) ⚡️ EBITDA margin: 40.4% ⚡️ ROE: ~16–17% ⚡️ Debt: Zero This is a high-quality defence electronics business with strong operating leverage, clean balance sheet, and direct exposure to India’s long-term indigenisation theme. For now, structure remains bullish. Breakout → Expansion → Compression. As long as this sequence holds, continuation remains the higher probability outcome. Worth tracking closely. P.S: As always, execution depends on your trading style and time horizon. Positional traders may prefer buying strength or waiting for pullbacks, while swing traders can focus on shorter-term continuation setups around key levels. —————— Found this helpful? Retweet & Follow me @tradingwick_ for more technical insights. —————— ⚠️ Note: I do NOT offer any: - Paid services - Premium groups - Courses or mentorship ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. I am not a financial advisor. Nothing here should be treated as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱

🚨 SpaceX acquires Cursor for $60B in an all-stock deal What’s confirmed: – SpaceX is acquiring Anysphere (@cursor_ai) in a $60B all-stock transaction, structured through SpaceX subsidiary X67 Inc., making it one of the largest AI software deals on record – Cursor’s annualized B2B revenue is reported at ~$2.6B, with some estimates as high as $4B+, putting the deal at roughly 15–23x forward revenue. – Enterprise penetration is deep: nearly 70% of the Fortune 1000 uses Cursor, including NVIDIA, Uber, Adobe, and Salesforce, with 50,000+ engineering teams on the platform – Anysphere shareholders will receive SpaceX Class A stock, with the exchange ratio based on SpaceX’s 7-day volume-weighted average share price before close – Closing is targeted for Q3 2026, subject to regulatory and shareholder approval Why this matters: – The deal comes just four days after SpaceX’s Nasdaq IPO, valuing the company at over $2T, suggesting the IPO may have been strategic capital for major acquisitions – xAI merged with SpaceX in February 2026, and Cursor gives the combined entity a serious foothold in AI developer tooling – Cursor gains access to xAI’s Colossus supercluster, solving one of its biggest bottlenecks: compute capacity – This strengthens Grok’s coding capabilities and positions Elon’s AI stack across infrastructure, models, and developer distribution Big picture: With xAI’s models, Colossus compute, Starlink distribution, and now Cursor’s developer ecosystem, Elon is building an end-to-end AI stack across infrastructure, models, and developer tools. It’ll be interesting to see how this all plays out.

One year ago, I said the worst was likely behind us for Nifty Smallcap. That view came from a simple observation: The market had completed a near-identical cycle to 2021–2023. At the time, the thesis was straightforward: The decline looked mature, and the market would likely need time to rebuild structure. That’s exactly what has played out so far. (Compare the charts.) Since then: - Selling pressure has faded - Price has stopped making new structural lower lows - The index has spent months building a base - No impulsive reversal. No V-shaped recovery. Just supply absorption, internal structure repair, and positioning for the next leg. This is why studying cycles matters. Not because history repeats perfectly. But because market structure, liquidity behaviour, and participant psychology tend to move in recurring phases. For now, the fractal remains intact. If it continues to hold, this base-building phase could eventually transition into the next Stage 2 expansion, possibly by late 2026 / early 2027. Worth watching. Maybe it’s time to come out of Twitter retirement and start posting charts again. 👀 Maybe. —————— ⚠️ Note: I do NOT offer any: - Paid services - Premium groups - Courses or mentorship ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. I am not a financial advisor. Nothing here should be treated as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱 #NiftySmallcap #Bullmarket2027 #Stockmarketindia

SpaceX ($SPCX) set to make its Nasdaq debut today. 🛰🚀 Here’s what you need to know: - Largest IPO in history, surpassing Saudi Aramco’s 2019 record. - Priced at $135/share, raising $75B at a $1.77T valuation. Bigger than Tesla and instantly the 7th most valuable US company. - The deal was roughly 2x oversubscribed, with nearly $150B in demand for $75B on offer. - @elonmusk isn’t selling a single share and still keeps 82.4% voting control through super-voting Class B stock. 2025 financials: - Revenue: $18.7B (+33% YoY) - Net loss: $4.9B Starlink remains the core engine: - $11.4B revenue (61% of total) - ~63% operating margins - 10–12M subscribers across 160 countries - 9,800+ satellites in orbit (the largest satellite constellation ever built) The @xai factor: - Merged into SpaceX in Feb 2026 - Added $3.2B revenue - But burned $6.35B operating loss Launch dominance: - 165–166 Falcon launches in 2025 - Over 80% of global orbital mass delivered - Falcon 9 launch cost: just $15–30M What’s next: - Starship V3 targeting < $100/kg to orbit with 200+ ton payloads All eyes now turn to how the market prices SpaceX once trading begins. Disclaimer: Not invested. #SpaceX #SPCX #SpaceXIPO

AdaniConneX acquires 100% stake in MBEL for ₹765.25 crore. #Adani #Mbel

⦿ Waaree Renewables Disclosure: I’m invested. At current levels, the stock is trading at roughly 21x P/E despite delivering 109% PAT growth, backed by an unexecuted order book of 2.83 GWp and a bidding pipeline exceeding 36 GWp. My biggest concern is margins. Operating margins have reset from around 24% in FY23–24 to 19% in FY25–26 and have remained at that level for the past two years. More importantly, management has indicated that a sustainable margin range of 14–16% is a more realistic long-term expectation, which is below current levels. From a technical perspective, the chart looks increasingly compressed, with volatility contracting and selling pressure appearing to fade. Seems to be selling exhaustion with no buying interest at the moment. Curious to hear what the bear thesis is here. What am I missing? #waaree

Anyone who’s spent enough time in the markets knows this feeling: drawdowns hurt. Not just on paper, but psychologically. Watching your portfolio bleed for weeks or months, seeing gains disappear, and sitting there questioning every decision you’ve made. That moment when your portfolio pulls back from its peak and the urge to sell everything starts creeping in. I’ve been there more times than I can count. What feels like failure is often the setup. Every bull market has a bear phase in its rearview. There’s no version of long-term gains that doesn’t include periods of pain. Markets don’t move in straight lines. They pull back, test conviction, shake people out. If you’ve been around long enough, you’ve seen it before: the same phase that feels endless eventually flips, and when it does, things move fast. Most people don’t make it to that part. It’s rarely because they picked the wrong assets, but because they couldn’t sit through the discomfort. They sell when fear peaks, convinced this time is different. In doing so, they miss what actually drives returns. Historically, missing just a handful of the best days in the market can completely wreck long-term performance. Bear markets don’t just destroy wealth, they transfer it. From the impatient to the patient. From those reacting emotionally to those thinking in longer time horizons. When you zoom out, this is where positions are built. When prices are discounted, the noise fades, and attention disappears, the foundation for the next cycle is quietly laid. Which brings it back to one thing: how you behave right now. For me, it’s simple. I don’t try to outsmart the market, I try to outlast other participants. That means rebalancing and adding during deep pullbacks, sticking to my plan unless the fundamentals actually change, and tuning out the constant noise that drives short-term decisions. In the end, edge doesn’t come from being smarter, it comes from being more patient. So if you can hold on when others fold, if you can stay steady when everything around you feels uncertain, you’re not just surviving this phase. You’re positioning yourself for what comes next.

Gm! What's good?

🚨 Extended points for this week just dropped, and here’s a quick breakdown from my side. I didn’t trade much over the past few days, only logged around 600K in weekly volume . Ended up with ~150 points, which is a noticeable improvement in efficiency. Last week, I needed almost double the volume to earn the same number of points, so the progression feels solid. I’m sitting at just 4M total volume on Extended so far, and that’s with 0 referrals, everything purely from my own trading activity. Given how the system is currently rewarding volume, I’m planning to push a bit harder this coming week to see how far the curve goes. Right now, @extendedapp continues to be the most +EV farm in the entire perp DEX rotation, at least from my experience.

Do yourself a favour—if crypto airdrop farming still feels like a mystery, now’s the perfect time to dive in. Seriously, investing just a bit of time (and yes, a little money) into learning this game-changing strategy can open doors to massive opportunities. With the right mindset and a few calculated risks, the upside is truly incredible. Right now, I’m farming: @variational_io @extendedapp @BullpenFi Sure, crypto is wildly volatile, we all know that. That same volatility can create life-changing wins for people who take the time to understand how this market moves. The real danger isn’t the market… it’s refusing to learn about it. Stay rigid, and you’ll get left behind while others ride the next big wave. Anyone who avoids learning about it ends up missing the momentum that others are already capturing. Stay curious, keep on learning, and keep farming.

Weekly snapshot - @extendedapp ⦿ TVL sits at ~97m, holding the uptrend despite a choppy week across the market. ⦿ Daily inflows were wild — big swings both ways. Some days saw +$2m coming in, others saw -$4m flushing out. Classic risk-off rotations. ⦿ Open Interest cooled to the $80–90m zone, down from the early-Nov peak, but still showing solid positioning from active traders. ⦿ Perp volume continues to impress, printing consistent $700m–$1.1b+ days. One spike even tapped the $1.5b level. ⦿ Fees remain strong, averaging around $90k–$120k/day, with multiple days crossing six-figures easily. Even with market volatility shaking everyone, traders are still showing up, size is still coming in, and the engine keeps running hot. This thing continues to "extend". 🫡