Org Psychology MA. Core #Archetypes Matrix comms strategy to crystallize your #narratives. #TeamWissenschaft x #TeamNarratology
FRA(nkfurt), PDX, ATX
Joined February 2008
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Germany to provide anti-stimulus of NEGATIVE €Billions to un-support its economy
(due to completely nonsensical "debt brake" #Schuldenbremse, GER with some of the lowest debt-to-GDP & < 2.3% borrowing cost cancels its battery research investments to "save money")
@HalleVerkehrt
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
OpenAI is preparing for a post midterms change in the weather. Axios:
💉💪
PANIC IN MOSCOW: Russian military bloggers are spiraling as Ukraine launches its most aggressive and precise refinery-destruction campaign yet!
⚡ 3 of Russia’s LARGEST oil refineries hit in just 72 hours.
With Russian air defense stripped bare to cover the frontlines, Kremlin assets are sitting ducks. The reality is sinking in: the previous strikes were just a warmup. Ukraine is systematically dismantling Russia’s energy backbone, and Moscow is completely powerless to stop it.
🔥 The fire is spreading. The war has come home.
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
My current guess on how far away we are from RSI:
- OpenAI's internal model is able to make truly novel discoveries in math. This is the "last missing piece" in capabilities; we now need to apply it to AI R&D.
- AI research is an empirical field unlike math. Ergo, hill-climbing AI R&D requires a ton of experiments.
- Running a ton of experiments with a really big model is very expensive.
- But if OpenAI were to distill its internal model into something much smaller, but with similar capabilities (similarly to how o3-preview from December 2024 was distilled a few months later into the consumer-grade o3), the costs of hill-climbing with THAT model would be much smaller.
(Sam Altman recently said that the costs of achieving the Navier Stokes result will fall by 99% within 1 year after it was achieved. This sounds to me like a very deliberate effort focusing on cost/efficiency specifically.)
- You could train that model to achieve the same caliber of results in AI R&D as those already achieved by OpenAI's internal model in math.
- This is where RSI begins.
- It's curious that, in Sam Altman's mind, the next big leap would be to discover a completely new architecture.
Key remaining questions: how long does it take to obtain a significantly smaller model with the capabilities of OpenAI's current internal model? How long after that does it take to hill-climb AI R&D?
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
If you don't have a personal agent filtering out the slop, you will drown.
If you don't have a personal agent running your cyberdefense, you will be hacked.
This is the new divide. Choose open or closed, choose the company you like best, but choose soon.
Weekend hack: HackerTube. I was annoyed with YouTube's recommendations so I had Claude filter down 43M comments over 20 years of HN to 6,454 videos that keep being recommended. *Significantly* better viewing experience, ~2 hours with Opus 5.5:
hackertube.org/
- Excellent recs without any logins (state is kept in local browser session)
- Thumbnail is a representative frame from middle of the video instead of the super duper A/B test hyper-optimized user uploads
- Underlying data from the comment analysis as one zip file, point your Claude at it and ask for your own version
- HackerTube Longs ✊
A bit more on the process:
I use Claude Code (desktop app for Mac), Opus 5.5 on Medium effort as my default. I only talk to Claude and have it do everything, the only "manual work" I helped with in tandem was in the browser (reminiscent of MenuGen): 1) I had to create some kind of API key from Google Cloud UI to query YouTube for video metadata, 2) I booted up a VPS box for serving and 3) I bought the domain name. Once the box was up I gave Claude the IP and told it update, secure, harden, deploy and optimize the code, and it did the whole thing.
Many awesome projects that would have normally taken weeks/months even can now be few-shotted for breakfast. What else are we not thinking of.
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
There's a significant possibility that tomorrow and in the following days, we'll see things that have rarely or never happened before in a modern Western democracy. Fingers crossed that it doesn't. 👇
EXCLUSIVE: Dems have been privately wargaming election meddling scenarios Trump could unleash. ACLU went through 25 different possibilities. Protect Democracy had a session with Senate+House Dems (one member played Bill Pulte). CAP did one with Dana Nessel, Rob Bonta, and Shenna Bellows.
Massive effort to get ahead of the chaos. @Lauren_V_Egan has the deets
thebulwark.com/p/inside-the-…
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
EXCLUSIVE: Dems have been privately wargaming election meddling scenarios Trump could unleash. ACLU went through 25 different possibilities. Protect Democracy had a session with Senate+House Dems (one member played Bill Pulte). CAP did one with Dana Nessel, Rob Bonta, and Shenna Bellows.
Massive effort to get ahead of the chaos. @Lauren_V_Egan has the deets
thebulwark.com/p/inside-the-…
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
In Frankreich ist das vor einigen Tagen passiert. Und jetzt woanders. Woanders ist man überrascht...
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Brent Crude Oil crashes 5% after reports of US and Iran nearing a deal.
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
Danke für die detaillierte Aufschlüsselung! Eine sachliche Debatte auf Basis von Annuitäten ist viel wert. Methodisch fehlen mir in dem additiven Ansatz jedoch vier fundamentale Systemeffekte:
1. Die Ausblendung der fossilen Entlastung & Liquidität:
Passt jetzt mal gut auf...
(und fragt Euch ausserdem, wieso sich die Atomies selber fast nie so viel Mühe machen... pssst, weil die allermeisten nur bezahlte Fossil-Lobby Trolle sind, & ihnen AKW in Wirklichkeit völlig egal sind)
7/8 Sparen ließe sich vor allem die Offshore-Anbindung, wenn weniger auf See gebaut würde, und ein Teil des Nord-Süd-Transports, wenn Reaktoren im Süden Windstrom aus dem Norden ersetzen. Das ist das stärkste Argument der Befürworter; schon die Gleichstromtrassen wurden auch mit dem Atomausstieg in Bayern begründet. Mein Modell ersetzt 42 GW Wind an Land durch 10 GW Kernkraft mit gleicher Jahresmenge und zieht die volle zugerechnete Netzannuität ab, rund 1,7 Mrd. € im Jahr oder gut 2 ct je kWh Atomstrom. Die System-Vollkosten steigen trotzdem um 1,9 € je MWh Verbrauch. Ein Neubau kostet je nach Finanzierung 6,5 bis 30 ct je kWh, in der mittleren Variante 13 ct. Die Gasreserve bleibt in der Rechnung gleich; mit Kernkraft könnte ein Teil davon entfallen, das verkleinert den Abstand.
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
6/8 Und Kernkraftwerke? Sie sparen Netz nur, wenn sie Wind ersetzen, und nur dort, wo dieser Wind sonst transportiert werden müsste. Gut die Hälfte des Übertragungsnetzes an Land ist Startnetz (115 von 225 Mrd. € im NEP-Szenario B) und wird ohnehin gebaut. Ersatz alter Leitungen, der Ausbau für Wärmepumpen, E-Autos und Rechenzentren, das Netz für Dachsolar und die Leitungen zu den Nachbarländern bleiben. Ein Neubau ginge frühestens Mitte der 2030er ans Netz und braucht selbst Anschluss und Reserve für den Ausfall großer Blöcke.
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
Der große Netzkosten-Thread!
Was kostet der Netzausbau für Wind und Solar je Kilowattstunde, und was würden Kernkraftwerke davon sparen? Kurz: Der gesamte Ausbau von Übertragungs- und Verteilnetz bis 2045 kostet als Annuität rund 32 Mrd. € im Jahr, gut 3,5 ct je kWh beim Verbrauch von 2045. Rund 60 % davon lassen sich Wind und Solar zurechnen. Umgelegt auf die neuen Anlagen sind das 1,4 ct je kWh bei Solar und 2,5 ct bei Wind an Land. Ein großer Teil des Ausbaus fiele auch mit Kernkraftwerken an.
(1/8)
cc: @42tw1tter1sd3ad @DerGraslutscher @Helmut_Lehmeyer @AlexSchleber @HolzheuStefan @JVos63
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
The most underrated AI use case is not writing.
It is remembering.
Every client detail. Every promise you made on a call. Every follow up you meant to send. Every birthday, every preference, every complaint that got fixed.
Most businesses lose customers not because they did a bad job, but because they forgot.
They forgot to call back. They forgot what the client asked for last time. They forgot to check in after the project ended.
AI is incredibly good at not forgetting.
Notes from every meeting, summarized. Reminders that write themselves. A short history of every client before every call.
Being remembered is one of the strongest feelings a customer can have.
Let AI handle the memory. You handle the relationship.
That's basically how I use it: As a socratic dialogue of sorts to hammer things out to the level of desired detail. What it requires is knowing which level/s of abstraction you are moving in/between at various times, reading & keeping every key point from the AI in own memory
I used to think writing was thinking but don't anymore.
Writing helps thinking because it helps to organise and progress thought. It was hard doing that in any depth without writing.
If you ask AI, "write me an essay on X", then you skip the thinking part entirely.
If instead you dictate your thoughts to AI and ask it to put them in an organised form for you to review, it's a great tool. You can re-read and dictate edits. You can ask it what the weaknesses or counterpoints are. You can ask it to try finding existing literature that covers similar ground, so you can consider that or discover if you're reinventing the wheel.
An AI assistant with dictation on the left side of the screen and a text file that auto-refreshes on the right is a great way to think.
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
Some clowns wear suits
As US Secretary of the Treasury @SecScottBessent clearly has absolutely no idea what he is talking about and asks “Where is Germany?” when it comes to the supply of Patriot fire units and missiles to Ukraine, I thought this might be a good time for an educational tweet.
Let's first talk about the supply of fire units and afterwards about the supply of missiles. Germany, Mr. Secretary, has in fact supplied more MIM-104 Patriot fire units to Ukraine than the US has, despite owning and operating only a fraction of what the US owns and operates. About half of Ukraine's MIM-104 Patriot fire units came from Bundeswehr stocks.
A total of five fully equipped MIM-104 Patriot fire units were supplied from Bundeswehr stocks between 2023 and 2025 alongside a few extra launchers and most likely a spare radar unit. Germany began donating Patriot related equipment to Ukraine at the same time the US has and still does it until this day while the US has long stopped donating this to Ukraine.
Let's now talk about missiles. Together with every fire unit, Germany also donated a missile package. Known donations included for example 100 missiles and 64 missiles. That's substantial, but of course, this only guaranteed the immediate operational readiness of said fire units, nothing else. We didn’t have our own production facilities and our stocks weren’t even remotely as well-stocked as those in the US. The US (led by Biden) actually kept those fire units alive.
In February 2025, before the delivery of the last two MIM-104 Patriot fire units took place, before various donations via PURL and JUMPSTART took place and before Germany made several smaller missile deliveries from its own stocks, the German MoD confirmed to have delivered 328 Patriot missiles of various versions. By now the number of Patriot missiles already financed and delivered should exceed 500 easily.
But what about what's happening now? Germany has shown multiple times since President Trump took office that it is leading in the organisation, funding and delivery of new ammunition for Ukraine's MIM-104 Patriot fire units.
The German government has multiple times organized or tried to organize new deliveries for Ukraine. For example, in February 2026, Germany was in talks with multiple nations to find a total of 35 PAC-3 missiles for Ukraine. After weeks-long negotiations, 30+ were actually donated as a result of the German initiative. Germany was also — on the highest levels — in talks with Spain and Greece for the delivery of additional missiles.
But of course, we are doing things beyond. A lot of things. As already mentioned, Germany is actively funding Patriot missiles from the US both via JUMPSTART and via PURL. You shouldn't forget @SecScottBessent, that we are paying you for this. As recently as June 2026, Germany spent a total of $200 million on PAC-3 missiles via JUMPSTART and another $200 million on various missiles via PURL. Total donations already exceed $1 billion.
And now to the final and biggest part: In April 2026, Germany announced an enormous missile package for Ukraine. Over the following years, Germany will spend €3.2 billion to finance 600 PAC-2 GEM-T missiles for Ukraine's MIM-104 Patriot fire units — made in Germany by the way.
So please don't ask what Germany is doing for Ukraine. We do more for Ukraine then anybody else, including the US. All you do now is getting paid billions for the bare minimum.
PS: For full transparency it must be noted that multiple nations like Denmark, Lithuania and Norway above all have supported Germany financially in the delivery or re-procurement of MIM-104 Patriot fire units and missiles.
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
China has shattered its national record for the hottest November record! Today, 71 stations across Southwest China broke or equaled the hottest November record; Yuanjiang, Yunnan reached 37.3°C—a new national November record! @extremetemps
Alex Schleber 👽🙄 retweeted
Die Annahme, der Rhein hätte sich von seinem extrem niedrigen Wasserstand inzwischen erholt, ist naiv.
Am Mäuseturm in Bingen gestern Abend.
Die leise Katastrophe am Rhein ist nicht vorbei. Klimawandel ist jetzt.
🤷♂️
We have discovered a substantial number of vulnerabilities in the German legal system using LLMs.
These may enable access to confidential documents, travel without an otherwise required visa, enforceable leave for soldiers at NATO’s JSEC, and more.
Similar to computer systems, the written law can contain vulnerabilities that invite exploitation. In our blog post, we share a selection of vulnerabilities, and present potential exploits for each. To our knowledge, none of these have been previously recorded. We share only those vulnerabilities whose exploitation we believe would not cause serious harm.
blog post: felixringe.com/legal-exploit…
