
Senior Fellow in Legal Studies at @JohnLockeNC
Raleigh, NC
Joined December 2019
- Tweets12.3K
- Following385
- Followers628
- Likes9.8K
Jon Guze retweeted
“This view, according to which methodology is an empirical science in its turn—a study of the actual behaviour of scientists, or of the actual procedure of ‘science’—may be described as ‘naturalistic’. A naturalistic methodology (sometimes called an ‘inductive theory of science’) has its value, no doubt. A student of the logic of science may well take an interest in it, and learn from it. But what I call ‘methodology’ should not be taken for an empirical science.
…
Thus I reject the naturalistic view. It is uncritical. Its upholders fail to notice that whenever they believe themselves to have discovered a fact, they have only proposed a convention.6 Hence the convention is liable to turn into a dogma. This criticism of the naturalistic view applies not only to its criterion of meaning, but also to its idea of science, and consequently to its idea of empirical method.”
Karl Popper “The Logic of Scientific Discovery” [1934]
Good news!
Enrollment changes in NC over the past 9 years:
Homeschool: +20%
Private schools: +43%
Charter schools: +71%
Public schools: -7%
#ncpol
Jon Guze retweeted
" Jackson hopes that with a divided state legislature and the lessons of the 2010 and 2026 elections, lawmakers might consider real redistricting reform."
Some ideas for redistricting reform are in the link below. #ncpol
Big analysis for a big election.
Democrats won everywhere. But why? Will it last? How effectively will they be able to govern?
I tackle these questions using data, voters’ poll commentary & the help of @andyinrok @chriscooperwcu @abreezeclayton
#ncpol
carolinapublicpress.org/8298…
Jon Guze retweeted
Between 1918-1922, following the Marxist playbook of violent conflict between social classes, communist revolutionaries set out to eradicate the old ruling class.
Known as the Red Terror, the Bolsehvik regime carried out a state-sponsored campaign of political repression and mass killings during the Russian Civil War. Instigated shortly after the rise of Vladimir Lenin and formally decreed following an assassination attempt in August 1918, the campaign aimed to eliminate political dissidents, independent academics, counter-revolutionaries, and other perceived class enemies.
The primary instrument of this terror was the Cheka, the Bolshevik secret police led by Felix Dzerzhinsky. The Cheka operated outside traditional legal frameworks, holding the power to arrest, trial, and execute individuals without due process. Victims were chosen not necessarily for active resistance, but for their social background, profession, or wealth. Members of the former nobility, clergy, intellectuals, merchants, and striking workers were frequently targeted.
Methods of control included summary executions, arbitrary arrests, and the creation of early forced labor camps, which served as precursors to the later Gulag system. While official Bolshevik reports acknowledged a few thousand executions, modern historians estimate that the total death toll of the Red Terror ranges from 100,000 to over 500,000 victims. Beyond those directly executed, the campaign effectively silenced political opposition, destroyed independent press, and established terror as a fundamental mechanism of state control, laying the foundational authoritarian structures that Joseph Stalin would later expand.
While Stalin deservedly has a status as one of history’s great monsters, Lenin sometimes gets a pass, his wrongdoings somehow diminished by the scale of his successor’s crimes. But the Red Terror serves as a reminder that systematic violence, repression, and the elimination of individual liberties are inherent to communist rule from its very inception.
Jon Guze retweeted
Capitalism involves far more cooperation than competition—think of the number of mutually beneficial transactions you’ve had today compared to the number of competitions you’ve been in today.
Jon Guze retweeted
If the lesson you try to learn from these midterms is "Foreign policy opinions dominate U.S. elections" then I'm sorry but you are doomed to a forever spiral of political defeat.
Republicans were elected to FIX THE BORDER and FIX INFLATION.
They did fix the border but then destroyed that political capital by having masked guys without badges kidnap your roofer before the roof was fully reshingled.
On inflation, Republicans raised tariffs (higher prices), sided with data centers (higher prices), started the Iran war (higher prices), and deported the cheap workers (higher prices).
You can argue those were good policies, but they were not the policies Americans wanted Republicans to pursue! And, crucially, they were policies that credibly linked the GOP to higher prices.
And if you peruse the last 2 years of my tweets you will find dozens of cases of me tweeting some variety of "If I had just been elected on a wave of anti-inflation sentiment, I would simply not increase prices."
Republicans were warned this would happen. I and many others repeatedly told them that a high-price policy agenda would lead to ruin. But Oren Cass said it would make factories go brrrrrr.
Jon Guze retweeted
Nothing says "St Louis" quite like Budweiser, the Gateway Arch, the Old Courthouse and Busch Stadium II.
@budweiserusa | @GatewayArchSTL | @Cardinals
Jon Guze retweeted
Replying to @ZbynekDrab
both sides actually say the real thing hasn’t been tried, but “not real capitalism” led to incredible wealth generation everywhere and “not real communism” lead to murder and oppression
Jon Guze retweeted
Pierre has a unique gift for making economics easy to understand.
Niche, I know, but one of the things I most resent about Trump is the way that his disgusting aggression toward Canada hurt the historically pro-American Tories and kept Pierre from office.
Me too.
johnlocke.org/are-americans-…
Jon Guze retweeted
The trouble with rational basis review, part six.
What’s next for judicial review in North Carolina?
#ncga #ncpol
johnlocke.org/the-trouble-wi…
Jon Guze retweeted
it's a weird world we live in when people want to de-criminalize actual serious crimes but not like... working without an absurd government license that costs too much and keeps qualified would-be entrepreneurs down.
Read my six-part series about rational basis review.
johnlocke.org/the-trouble-wi…
johnlocke.org/the-trouble-wi…
johnlocke.org/the-trouble-wi…
johnlocke.org/the-trouble-wi…
johnlocke.org/the-trouble-wi…
johnlocke.org/the-trouble-wi…
Jon Guze retweeted
I will always be encouraged by the defeat of populism, but I will never cheer the victory of progressivism.
Jon Guze retweeted
me: "who's your best friend at preschool?"
3yo: "Ben."
"what's Ben like, what does he do?"
"he does potty talk."
"oh, like what?"
"like poo-poo and fart. you're not supposed to do potty talk. if you get in trouble you have to sit on a wooden chair and it's very sad. potty talk is not funny."
"do you think it's funny?"
"heheh. yeah..."
Jon Guze retweeted
Republicans are currently divided on the question of “Who to throw under the bus?”
Democrats are currently divided on the question of “Which hand should we overplay?”
Jon Guze retweeted
Replying to @JeffreyKMooreII @JonGuze
The wave being too big to rig doesn’t mean it didn’t depress what would’ve been the composition in a non-gerrymandered map. State Senate dems won nearly 60% of the vote but don’t have a majority!
Jon Guze retweeted
While much of Europe drowns in debt, Switzerland offers a radical alternative: spend within your means, keep taxes low and let markets work.
In the 2026 Heritage Index of Economic Freedom, Switzerland ranks second in the world. Property rights are strongly protected, regulation is light by European standards, and fiscal health remains sound. Public debt sits well below the levels common among its neighbours while the tax-to-GDP ratio is 27 per cent, closer to the United States than to France or Germany. A constitutional debt brake, approved by voters in 2001, requires the federal budget to balance over the cycle and has constrained the growth of spending even through crises.
Openness has reinforced the discipline. Switzerland maintains high levels of trade relative to the size of its economy and has long treated foreign investment and competition as normal rather than as threats. Neutrality has kept it outside the military and fiscal commitments that have expanded state budgets elsewhere. The combination has produced a high-income economy whose government does not need to borrow continuously to fund its operations.
The contrast is stark. Countries that raised taxes, expanded entitlements, and treated debt as a routine tool of policy now face the arithmetic those choices created. Switzerland’s approach has been less dramatic and less frequently celebrated but has proven much more durable.
Low taxes and open markets just works.
Jon Guze retweeted
So much for gerrymanders muting voters' voices.
#ncpol
Jon Guze retweeted
Replying to @fakedansavage
My impression is that it would take a constitutional amendment to wrest power over redistricting from state legislatures.

























