Chopper of water, carrier of wood, reader of the fucking article, devourer of fools
Ōtepoti / Dunedin
Joined July 2010
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Lew retweeted
And now Serbia, which has followed Hungary's election shift from a few weeks ago. The test in all cases is what these new governments do next-- what promises can they keep or will "politics as usual" actually change (rather than just the people running things)? We shall see.
Lew retweeted
What are the odds that Lula's win in the Brazil presidential run-off election today is a portent of things to come in Israel, the US and NZ over the next 10 days? Has the global Right political wave crested? Or is that wishful thinking and its support is more solidly grounded?
Lew retweeted
This sums it up pretty clearly.
Not valuing people’s right to vote unless they vote for “my side”.
Don’t talk about the importance of democracy.
Lew retweeted
Day 1 of luxon ans goldsmith's voter suppresion. They need to get asked why people can no longer enrol to vote at every public appearance until the election
Lew retweeted
Pro tip: Don’t declare something to be 100% certaint unless it’s actually certain.
🇧🇷 As this election campaign finally comes to an end, we can say with statistical certainty that Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) will be elected the next president of the Federative Republic of Brazil tomorrow night. Bolsonaro now officially has a 100% chance of victory, compared to Lula's 0%.
(globalelectionsimulator.com) will update its final projections within the coming hours. At this point, the only uncertainty our team has is the exact margin, not the outcome. The absolute range for Flávio Bolsonaro is 50.5% to 56.2%, while Lula's is 43.8% to 49.5%.
Our final projection update will go live in a moment on the website and here shortly after. A banner will note that the projection has updated, so you will know it is official.
🌐 Global Election Simulator Research Institute
🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com
Lew retweeted
Really thought this was The Onion…
Nicki Minaj Floated As Press Secretary Replacement By White House Staffers tmz.com/2026/10/25/nicki-min…
Lew retweeted
This is hilarious because Verian don’t even complete their report until Tuesday morning before each poll, so the data isn’t even compiled yet. But good try for some views I guess
Lew retweeted
If Kerrin Leoni wins Tamaki Makaurau she will be elected as a Labour MP, not an Independent. Labour will get one fewer List MP as a result.
Lew retweeted
I'm about to scoop this leak (that doesn't sound right):
🚨SUPER SECRET POLL:
NAT 15% (-15.5)
LAB 15% (-13)
ACT 15% (+3)
GRN 15% (-1)
NZF 15% (+7)
TOP 15% (+8)
TPM 15% (+14)
Commentators are already calling it a "game changer", but mathematicians are labelling "impossible".
Lew retweeted
nightmare outcomes this election for democratic legitimacy:
-right gets in only thanks to Nat overhang
-left gets in only due to TPM overhang
-right gets in only due to lower enrolment of young people
play undemocratic games for short-term gain, wreck the system long-term. xitter.cf/_breadcapital/status/2…
Lew retweeted
He fails to mention that for 40 years, New Zealanders have been able to enrol right up until midnight before election day.
The last two elections we could even enrol on election day.
It’s a massive backwards step that many people won’t know about until they try vote.
Lew retweeted
“Far left” and it’s just a mfer saying a full time job should cover rent and groceries.a
Lew retweeted
Either he doesn’t know or is lying. Very frustrating to hear this. As this is what Auckland’s feedback focused on as well.
Lew retweeted
#BHN let’s not be revisionists now Whanau.
When Luxon was asked if National would engage with gangs he said
“No, no, no, no, no, absolutely no,”
Luxon said zero engagement so let’s not try to say now the criticism was only about alleged campaigning…it wasn’t.
He then said of Labour “that they actually think that even their candidates think it's okay to hang out with gang members and pal around with them”
Just spending time with gangs was last weeks evil according to Luxon, don’t shift the goal posts now, just be honest and consistent.
If last weeks politician shouldn’t even “hang out” or “pal around with” gang members, then all we’re saying is the same should apply today.
