$clov UBS adjust PT to $5.50 from $5
marketscreener.com/news/ubs-…
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
$CLOV's most interesting number wasn't in the quarter. It was in how its members age.
Clover says its insurance gross profit per member has historically run about $70 a month higher in a member's second year than the first, and about $85 higher in the third than the second. Right now 28% of members are in year one and 21% in year two. In 2027 both groups move up a year.
By our maths, if that pattern holds and those members stay, that's roughly $71M a year of extra gross profit from ageing alone, before a single new member. Clover's whole 2026 adjusted EBITDA guide is $75M to $85M.
The quarter itself: revenue $759.3M, up 53%, GAAP net income $6.4M against a $24.4M loss a year ago, and the 2026 guide raised at the low end, to its first full-year GAAP profit of $25M to $35M.
The catch: that guide implies Q4 loses about $27M to $37M after $61.8M earned through September. Management calls it seasonal, and it would be smaller than last Q4's $49.3M loss with about 46% more members. Q3 also included about $11M of other income.
Our verdict: 2026 shows the model can turn a profit. 2027 is when the older members are meant to pay for the growth.
Watch retention in the 2027 enrollment numbers. The ageing maths only works if members stay.
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
Thanks Roger
Concerns are:
Jolie Kahn has been CEO of prior companies that were destroyed by toxic funding
She took over as @FingerMotion CEO in August and diluted more in the month after she arrived than the previous CEO did in 9 years.
1.2 Billion “shares” traded on a single day and aside from saying counsel would look into it, there have been no updates.
In aggregate 2.5 billion “shares” have traded since she came in in August.
As a securities attorney she has the ability to elevate these concerns, yet there’s been no update.
Her auditors are exceptionally difficult to get in touch with.
Her IR firm was attentive at first, but now is not very responsive.
Kahn’s relationship and prior history with Ayrton Capital is concerning given their history in $AVX
Do you have, or have you had, any business relationships with Ayrton Capital?
Given all the above, and the lack of communication from Ms Kahn, as well as her history with other companies, these shareholder concerns deserve to addressed.
Appreciate the follow up. Thanks!
@FlyEaglesFly529 @RetailUnitedFin
$clov 💪🚀
Today's third quarter results demonstrate Clover's technology-powered differentiation and how earlier identification and management of chronic disease, strong growth, and increasing profitability can reinforce one another.
Some highlights:
$62M YTD GAAP Net Income
YTD average Medicare Advantage membership growth +49% YoY
Improved FY 2026 guidance
Flagship PPO received 5 Stars for Payment Year 2028
Read more: investors.cloverhealth.com/s…
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
Scott gives a political reality check on the Democratic midterm sweep of the House and Senate. What's the roadmap following a eye-opening defeat? Scott has it here:
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
$CLOV
Clover Health Q3: revenue up 53% to $759M, first profitable year ahead (YTD net income $62M), Medicare Advantage members up 45%, 5 Star PPO rating, and raised 2026 guidance across every metric.
Replying to @Kentuckygirl1
That's Lyndon B. Johnson in the 1948 Texas Democratic Senate primary runoff vs. Coke Stevenson. Six days later, Box 13 in Jim Wells County added 202 votes (200 for LBJ). Names were listed alphabetically in the same handwriting and ink. Election judge Luis Salas later admitted they were fabricated on orders from boss George Parr. Johnson won by 87 votes and later became president.
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
🚨 NOW: The REAL Dan Sullivan is GOING OFF about the Decoy Dan Democrat SCAM in Alaska
"THOUSANDS of Alaskans are going to mistakenly throw away their vote. There's NO ONE voting for this guy on purpose."
"He hasn't campaigned! Heck, I don't even know where he is! He's in the Bahamas somewhere or on the lam"
"This is all about DISDAIN for the people of Alaska. First order of business is to trick people of their votes."
"So here's my message to all Alaskans: the best way to make sure that the biggest election scandal and the biggest cheating scandal in Alaskan history does not succeed is GET OUT AND VOTE!"
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
The pollsters told you Guam was a Democrat blowout... 57.9% for the Democrat, 35.4% for the Republican. A 22-point wipeout.
Then the people actually voted. Republican Tony Ada won 51.5 to 48.2 and flipped the governor’s mansion RED. The pollsters missed by 26 points. Stop believing them.
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
$CLOV
On November 11, a company most investors still file under Medicare Advantage will sit on a voice AI stage in New York City, and once you understand why Clover Health is the one in that chair, you understand the whole thesis.
Here is the news. ElevenLabs, the voice AI company valued at $22 billion in September, announced that Clover is coming to ElevenLabs Summit NYC, and it described Clover as already running voice agents as the front door for member engagement, from care check ins to helping members navigate their plan benefits. On November 11, Cameron Pringle, Clover’s Head of Strategy for the Office of the Chairman, sits down with ElevenLabs CRO Ashley Kramer to talk about bringing voice AI into healthcare. ElevenLabs has announced Jensen Huang for the same summit. That is the room a Medicare company from New Jersey is now in, and the screenshot is below.
The Office of the Chairman matters here, because it is where Clover put its speed. In February, Vivek Garipalli posted on X that Clover was building a new team in New York called /COMMIT, launching spring 2026 for builders and doers, credentials optional, and that he would spend his own time with that team with one goal, increasing the “speed to reality” of Clover’s ideas by many orders of magnitude. Pringle’s own post described /COMMIT as a New York team working inside the Office of the Chairman on AI native solutions to real problems in healthcare. Now compare that to the baseline in my profession. The most cited estimate in translational medicine is that it takes about 17 years for research evidence to reach routine clinical practice (Morris, Wooding and Grant, Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, 2011). Large healthcare incumbents are built for caution, and caution is measured in years. Clover built a strike team in Manhattan whose only mandate is speed, and nine months later its strategy lead is on a voice AI stage. That is the difference between a company that talks about innovation and a company that is structured for it.
This is also why the label people put on Clover has always been wrong, and the CEO said so five years ago. In an October 2021 HealthLeaders interview, Andrew Toy, then President and CTO and now CEO, was asked about people who call Clover just a Medicare Advantage plan, and his answer was “No, we’re not.” That screenshot is below too. Today Clover’s own press releases describe it as a physician enablement technology company, and when it took Counterpart Health to market the company said it measures the progress of its mission and its business by the same number, the lives managed by primary care physicians using its software. Clover did not build an insurance company because it wanted to be an insurer. It built one because a physician facing AI platform needs real patients, real claims, real doctors and a real financial consequence attached to every recommendation, and the only way to get all four at once was to own the plan. The plan is the proving ground. The software, born as Clover Assistant and now sold outside the plan as Counterpart Assistant, is the product, and it already runs at The Iowa Clinic, Duke Connected Care and Southern Illinois Healthcare.
The proving ground has produced receipts, and the ones that matter come from scorekeepers Clover does not control. U.S. News & World Report named Clover the Best Medicare Advantage Plan in New Jersey, Georgia and South Carolina in its 2027 ratings, with the highest score for care continuity in all three states and Best Overall in all three. On the HEDIS clinical quality measures that NCQA defines and CMS uses, Clover’s PPO scored 4.82 out of 5 and ranked number one in the nation among PPO plans with more than 2,000 members, special needs plans excluded, for the third consecutive year, and that score holds under both CMS methodologies currently in dispute. CMS awarded the PPO 5 Stars for 2027 after a federal court ruled 20 measures should not have been included; the ruling is on appeal, and with those measures included the plan would carry 4.5 Stars, which qualifies for the quality bonus either way. Clover’s own analyses tie these results to the software: diabetes diagnosed up to three years earlier, chronic kidney disease more than a year and a half earlier, 18% fewer hospitalizations and 25% fewer thirty day readmissions among heart failure patients whose primary care physician uses the tool, and roughly a 1,500 basis point medical cost ratio gap between returning members whose doctors use it and those whose doctors do not. Those are company analyses rather than randomized trials, and I say that openly. The point is that the independent rankings and the internal data point the same direction, and the business underneath them is guiding to between $2.92 billion and $3.00 billion of 2026 revenue, posted $28 million of GAAP net income last quarter, and holds $443 million in cash with no debt.
As a resident physician who lives inside the electronic health record every day. The research on what that record costs us is not subtle. A time and motion study in the Annals of Internal Medicine found that for every hour of face time with patients, physicians spend nearly two more hours on the record and desk work. An emergency medicine study counted roughly 4,000 mouse clicks in a single busy ten hour shift. Fortune and Kaiser Health News titled their 2019 investigation of this “Death by a Thousand Clicks,” and every doctor who read it nodded. Ambient scribes were the first real relief, and the numbers are real: Kaiser Permanente’s medical group reported in NEJM Catalyst that 7,260 physicians used one across more than 2.5 million visits and saved an estimated 15,791 hours of documentation. But a scribe only writes down what it hears after you press start and stop, and an agent does something categorically different.
Here is the exam room I want to practice in. I walk in and talk to my patient, and that is all I do. The agent listens, pulls the labs the patient came with and the ones this visit calls for, builds a working impression and shows me the differential, and I am leading every step of it. When I decide, I say it out loud, the same way I give orders during a rapid response, get me an ABG, give me epinephrine, except now it is clinic: order the A1c, repeat the basic metabolic panel, send the referral. It places the orders. It sends the referral to the specialist I actually trust, because it has learned which ones I send to and why, the way every primary care doctor carries a short list built on outcomes, reliability and bedside manner. It sends the prescription to the pharmacy. And when the New England Journal of Medicine publishes something that changes what we just decided, it tells me in the room, lets me finish my plan, and emails me the paper so I can claim the CME credit. None of that is science fiction. It is a scribe, plus a voice layer, plus the thing Counterpart Assistant already does, which is sit inside the physician’s workflow, connect to more than a hundred data sources and surface the diagnosis at the point of care. Clover sits on all three pieces: the clinical data platform used by thousands of clinicians, its own plan where roughly 70% of members are already cared for by physicians using it, and now a seat at ElevenLabs’ table.
The summit on November 11 is about the front door, the member who calls in and gets heard. The same technology walks in through the back door too, the physician in the room, speaking instead of clicking, with the diagnosis already surfaced, and as a resident physician that is the door I am watching. The company that owns the clinical data layer, has its own plan to prove it on, publishes the quality numbers, and built a team in New York whose only job is speed is the company positioned to open both. Clover spent a decade being called an insurance company. On November 11 it will be on a voice AI stage in Manhattan explaining how it talks to its members, and the label stopped fitting long before that.
Until Next Time,
Albert Alan, MD
$clov - 2 analysts initiated 2026 w/ buy and $6 pt. Only more to come and that number will continue to go up.
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
🇺🇸When the Democrats want to speak on the price of the Iran war. Maybe they should hear this first.🇺🇸
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
The fundamental mistake is conflating the economic value of AI adoption with the dollars required to deliver that intelligence. Enterprises aren't trying to consume more tokens. They're trying to accomplish productive work at the lowest possible cost.
Stanford's 2025 AI Index documented that the cost of GPT-3.5 level intelligence declined 286x in less than two years. Epoch AI's September 2026 research found that the cost of achieving a fixed level of reasoning performance has been declining 47% PER QUARTER since 2023. That's 13x annually.
Extrapolate that historical rate through 2028, and the exact same dollar of inference spending today would purchase approximately 169x as much intelligence at a comparable level of performance. Put differently, an enterprise spending $100 million annually on inference today could accomplish the equivalent of $16.9 billion of today's AI workloads in 2028, without increasing its spending by a single dollar.
Sources:
Stanford AI Index 2025:
hai.stanford.edu/ai-index/20…
Epoch AI — The Plunging Price of Thought:
epoch.ai/publications/the-pl…
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
$CLOV: Buy, $25 bull case target ($4.70 now).
Q2: members +48%, revenue +56%, GAAP profit $28M. PPO plans earned 5 Stars for 2027.
Caveat: guidance implies a softer H2, and $25 needs 3.2x sales on $4.2B revenue. Bear, base and bull cases in the note.
#Notadvice
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
Replying to @nayibbukele
El pueblo haitiano le agradece, Presi, incluso quieren que los adopte para liberarlos.
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
“Growing up, it was always God, family, and baseball. There were a lot of late nights practicing, a lot of traveling, and sometimes it was hard to get to church. But my parents helped me build a foundation on a testimony of the gospel of Jesus Christ.
“I always had a testimony, but I hadn’t read the Book of Mormon all the way through. I believed what my parents told me. They’re really smart, and their testimonies are strong. Then I got drafted, and I thought, ‘All right, I probably need to read this for myself.’
“One of the guys I was drafted with shared my faith. We became roommates and studied the scriptures together. As I read, I received personal revelation. That’s when my testimony really became stronger. I could see Heavenly Father’s hand in putting someone like that in my life.
“Reading helped me strengthen my testimony, and living what I believed gave me more opportunities to recognize His hand.
“My mom had talked to me about tithing before I even had a job. She told me about the blessings she’d seen and encouraged me to pay it. So I did. As I’ve kept that commitment, I’ve learned that the blessings can be physical, too. For me, being able to play baseball at my best is a blessing I connect directly to paying my tithing.
“Playing at an elite level still has its ups and downs. After a good year, I had a rough year. Sometimes you’re asking Heavenly Father, ‘Please help me,’ and you forget how much He’s already helped. Looking back helped me recognize the opportunities and blessings He had already given me.
“That same commitment to living my faith carries into how I take care of myself. Living the Word of Wisdom is a choice I made early. I’ve never wanted to drink or smoke. In high school, I watched people try vaping, get addicted, and struggle to stop. I didn’t want to find myself in that situation, and I’m grateful I made that decision before I ever started playing professionally.
“So when we were celebrating with the team and there wasn’t any sparkling cider, I opened the fridge, saw some Fanta in glass bottles, and grabbed a couple. I didn’t even want to hold alcohol because I didn’t want to give the impression I was drinking it. Then everybody started sending me pictures of their Fanta.
“Reading the Book of Mormon, paying my tithing, and living the Word of Wisdom are commitments I carry with me. As I’ve lived them, the foundation my parents helped me build in the gospel of Jesus Christ has become stronger through my own experiences.
“Heavenly Father has really shown His hand in my life.”
—Cooper
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
Brewers Shortstop Cooper Pratt praised God on Live-TV immediately after becoming a World Series Champion.
“I owe it all to our heavenly father”
We need more of this in our culture ✝️
Shad Vick aka RetailRudy retweeted
$CLOV
LOOK AT THAT CUP AND HANDLE WITH THAT SIDE BULL FLAG.




























