@drunkelections

Elections, science, climate, and space. Engineer, bi, cardio junkie, BTFU. Bad at spelling, good at drinking chocolate milk.

 Los Angeles County
Joined February 2026
  • Tweets5.8K
  • Following243
  • Followers873
205Media
Replying to @LydiaY007
To hate the Washington Primary is to hate evil itself. It should be as natural as breathing or blinking
2
1
173
41,579
I still have yet to get a good answer to why Lyon County is so blue?
VoteHub
@VoteHub1h
Kansas Early Vote Tracking 🌻 As of Oct. 27, 2026 Total early votes: 197,525 18.6% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 Adam Hamilton: 53.2% - 64.0% 🔴 Roger Marshall: 32.2% - 44.0% Remaining votes in Kansas will be much more Republican. We rate this race as Lean R.
1
1
480
KS Gov??
Cook Political Report
@CookPolitical1h
The Cook Political Report is moving two governors' race ratings one week before Election Day. • Kansas Governor: Lean Republican to Toss Up • Nebraska Governor: Likely Republican to Lean Republican Read the full analysis from @JessicaTaylor: cookpolitical.com/analysis/g…

Two States Shift Toward Democrats In Final Governors Ratings | Cook Political Report

Democrats are in a prime position to pick up between two and four governor’s seats this cycle, potentially giving them a majority of chief executives for the first time since 2010.With the current...

cookpolitical.com
7
77
2,418
For aura purposes I hope Sabato has GA as Safe-D in their final prediction
23
497
Girl you’re gonna lose
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker20241h
New York Governor Kathy Hochul tells Politico that she’s planning to seek a third term as Governor in 2030. Link to article: politico.com/news/magazine/2…
3
9
1,862
Echelon are lions for not herding and posting a polls. Idc if they have red Ohio
3
85
1,893
Washington Primary Hater retweeted
Faj
@Faj17912h
People will call this poll garbage and complain about how its impossible for Turek to be up and Acton to be down and then be the same ones complaining about a lack of polls and herding. This is why! Aside from the fact that polling is very expensive, pollsters don't wanna bother polling anymore cause y'all don't actually want polls y'all want a modeled prediction!
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker20242h
Echelon Insights poll | 10/16-10/23 LV US Senate Iowa 2026 🟦Josh Turek 45% 🟥Ashley Hinson 43% 🟨Thomas Laehn 7%
7
8
90
5,151
Avengers Endgame
Lakshya Jain
@lxeagle173h
Really excited to announce that @TheArgumentMag, Silver Bulletin (@NateSilver538) and @galendruke will be hosting an election night watch party, with real-time analysis and reactions as results roll in! Come join us!
1
12
575
Drinking game take a shot every time the Democrats flip a house seat
14
8
5
340
7,419
Please dont do this you will die
1
98
803
The GOP’s propaganda war has worked
Sam Stein
@samstein4h
In a new poll, 15% of Americans said they believe between 1 and 5% of NCAA athletes are transgender. 14% think between it's between 6 and 25%. Meanwhile, an NCAA spokesperson confirmed that the current number is "effectively" zero thebulwark.com/p/new-poll-bu…

Hegseth Needs More T—Poll Shows He’s No Male Role Model

Our new survey explores masculinity, sports gambling, and whether Americans want their commentators running the country.

thebulwark.com
2
1
1
37
2,962
The late September early October polls may very well be more accurate than what we have now given everyone snd their mother is hedging, herding, and putting up the most atrocious LV screens ever seen
1
2
1
64
1,430
Washington Primary Hater retweeted
moonbeamer
@moonbeamer65h
It turns out trying to take away black folks representation made them angry.
Ellis Bates
@ElliscbIV23h
Starting to sound like a broken record, but primary turnout in SC’s Black-majority counties was 6 points above the statewide rate. Hampton County’s two-party turnout swung 36 points from 2024. Black turnout intensity from the primaries seems to be carrying over to the general.
1
2
6
482
All my local 5ks *love* using AI in their flyers bruh
2
339
Washington Primary Hater retweeted
David
@davidslosttt14h
It’s Likely D sorry
Ryan from Understand Politics@RyanJakubowski21h
The delta here is extremely concerning for AES. Granted, most polls show a substantially smaller underperformance, but if he does 10 points worse than Benson he likely loses. This race is a clear tossup, and I would not be shocked at all if Rogers were to win.
4
4
136
4,458
Does LA have an important ballot measure up about Governor term limits?
Maria from GA via Naija🗳@looking_finding6h
Louisiana could end up with a D+4 EV electorate due to Black turnout outperforming their *population share* of 30% and hitting generational levels @LaDemos GOTV operation should be the story of the nation this EV cycle!!
1
7
904
Washington Primary Hater retweeted
Valentina Gomez Stan 🇺🇸@spicy181215h
Quinnipiac's last GB estimate was D+12, that they aren't doing another shows they aren't actually confident.
Valentina Gomez Stan 🇺🇸@spicy181216h
Pollsters aren't confident at all, and given how favorable polls have been for Democrats, it's reasonable to doubt the "blue wave".
6
1
1
25
2,851
We’re basically heading into these midterms half blind
10
6
238
7,759
Any coincidence that we are on the edge of a blue wave and all of these pollsters are too scared to publish a final poll? They don’t dare trust data they found. Only the right wing pollsters will flood the zone. Prepare for a glut of Trafalgar, Ras, Insider, Quantus, co/eff.
11
6
149
3,870
Washington Primary Hater retweeted
Sorceror43@sorceror4312h
I know we're not supposed to read anything into early vote data, but in EV Dems are turning out much more than Reps. So more likely polls are understating Dems.
Nate Silver
@NateSilver53812h
Replying to @NateSilver538 @joshtpm
It reinforces the idea that pollsters are terrified about overestimating Ds, which is consistent with the underlying hypothesis of FLIPR that the direction of polling error is hard to predict, but also increases the chance that polls will be way off in some direction or another.
4
2
75
9,420
Washington Primary Hater retweeted
Michael
@Socdem_Michael13h
Marist and Fox (Beacon & Shaw) are clearly getting RV results that don’t fit their own priors, so they cook up very pro-Republican LV screens to herd their top line LV numbers into a more believable and non-outlier range. The RV to LV margins shouldn’t shift more than a few points! I’ve never seen pollsters play these weird games with their LV screens being used to unskew their own response bias from their RV sample. It’s odd!
10
12
2
177
11,148
Load more