Replying to @UnderdogNBA
Sengun is not on the official NBA injury report. HOU's other bigs this season (small sample; averages are per team game) โฌ๏ธ
With Sengun (4 G): Capela 5.7 MIN, Tshiebwe 0.0 MIN
Without Sengun (2 G): Capela 26.1 MIN, Tshiebwe 12.5 MIN
VanVleet, Sheppard and Adams are OUT (official). HOU is on the 2nd night of a back-to-back ๐
Replying to @UnderdogNBA
LeBron is OUT (official NBA report). Here's how PHI looked in the 1 game he missed this season (small sample; averages are per team game, and a game a player missed counts as 0) โฌ๏ธ
Edgecombe: With: 8.2 FGA, 3.4 3PA | Without: 13.0 FGA, 10.0 3PA
Wade: With: 16.1 MIN | Without: 28.1 MIN
Embiid is also OUT, and the two haven't missed a game together this season. PHI is on the 2nd night of a back-to-back ๐
Replying to @UnderdogNBA
Embiid is OUT (official NBA report). Here's how PHI looked in the 1 game he missed this season (small sample; averages are per team game, and a game a player missed counts as 0) โฌ๏ธ
Wade: With: 14.3 MIN | Without: 37.1 MIN
Bona: With: 10.3 MIN, 1.0 FGA | Without: 25.1 MIN, 5.0 FGA
Brown: With: 28.3 MIN, 13.2 FGA | Without: 40.0 MIN, 20.0 FGA
Maxey: With: 38.3 MIN, 20.2 FGA | Without: 33.7 MIN, 24.0 FGA
LeBron is also OUT, and the two haven't missed a game together this season. Brown is Questionable. PHI is on the 2nd night of a back-to-back ๐
๐ Fresh off a 2-2 night. Season 23-17 +4.17u.
NBA Play of the Day โฌ๏ธ
Ajay Mitchell 20+ Points
Thunder @ Rockets
Polymarket: 46.5% implied
THE MATCHUP
65% of Mitchell's shots come in the paint, and that's where Houston gives up makes.
Restricted area: 36.2% of his shots, 15 of 25 (60.0%). Houston allows 67.3% there (league 66.4%).
Paint outside the restricted area: 29.0% of his shots, 14 of 20 (70.0%). Houston allows 56.3% there.
His weakest zone, above-the-break threes (2 of 13), is only 18.8% of his diet, so Houston's 29.1% allowed there barely touches him.
Houston is on the second night of a back-to-back after playing at Dallas last night.
THE ROLE
25.3 minutes per game
13.8 shots per game
19.6 shots per 36 minutes
3.6 assists per game
He creates his own shot: 51 of his points are unassisted.
Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams and Alex Caruso are officially Out again tonight.
THE MINUTES
Projected 23 to 28 minutes. He's on two days of rest and isn't on the injury report. Houston is favored by just 2.5, so a close game is the base case.
Houston hasn't filed its official injury report yet. Alperen Sengun and Reed Sheppard are reported day-to-day.
CONTEXT
Game by game: 29, 30, 18, 12, 4
On the road: 16.5 a game (2 games)
WHAT COULD KILL IT
The current role is a two-game sample. If Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's minutes climb back toward 35, the ball moves away from Mitchell. Amen Thompson's on-ball defense. Houston allows just 23.0 free throws a game (22nd), so the line won't bail him out. And a 23-minute night leaves little room.
Follow for every play, with the full research behind each one.
OVER 19.5 ยท PLAY ๐
๐ Fresh off a 2-2 night. Season 23-17 +4.17u.
NBA Play of the Day โฌ๏ธ
Deni Avdija 25+ Points
Trail Blazers @ Jazz
Polymarket: 47% implied
THE MATCHUP
Avdija's two biggest zones outside the rim are exactly where Utah bleeds.
Paint outside the restricted area: 31.7% of his shots, 10 of 19 (52.6%). Utah allows 27.8% of opponent shots there (league 19.3%) at 47.5%.
Above-the-break threes: 30.0% of his shots, 7 of 18 (38.9%). Utah allows 32.9% of opponent shots there at 39.4%, above the league rate.
Utah is without both bigs who'd protect that area: Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic are officially Out. Lauri Markkanen is officially Questionable.
115.2 defensive rating
120.2 points allowed per game
27.2 free throws allowed per game (12th most)
THE ROLE
31.6 minutes per game
15.8 shots per game
5.0 threes attempted per game
8.8 free throws per game
6.5 assists per game
He took 15 to 16 shots in every game this season, whether he played 23 minutes or 38. He's mostly self-created: 29 unassisted points and 22 from the line.
Ja Morant (hamstring) is officially Out.
THE MINUTES
Projected 28 to 38 minutes. He's on one day of rest, not a back-to-back, and he isn't on the injury report. Foul trouble shouldn't be an issue: 1, 2, 4 and 1 fouls in his four games.
CONTEXT
Game by game: 24, 23, 26, 18 (the 18 came in 23 minutes of a 41-point win)
On the road: 24.5 a game (2 games)
WHAT COULD KILL IT
Portland is favored by 8.5, so a blowout could sit him in the 4th like it did on 10/21. The line is above his 22.75 average and he's cleared it once in four games. His 57.9% at the rim is below what Utah allows there. And if Markkanen plays, Utah has a bigger body inside.
Follow for every play, with the full research behind each one.
๐ Fresh off a 2-2 night. Season 23-17 +4.17u.
NBA Play of the Day โฌ๏ธ
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 20+ Points
Hawks @ Pelicans
Polymarket: 51.5% implied
THE MATCHUP
New Orleans can't protect the rim, and they put opponents on the line.
Opponents finish 74.2% at the rim against them (league 66.4%)
28.0 free throws allowed per game (6th most)
112.7 defensive rating
The restricted area is 24.4% of his shots, and he's 15 of 22 there (68.2%). Yves Missi, their backup center, is officially Out.
His biggest zone is above-the-break threes (41.1% of his shots, 37.8%), and New Orleans holds that zone to 32.8%. So the edge is the rim and the line, not the arc.
THE ROLE
30.3 minutes per game
15.2 shots per game
9.2 threes attempted per game
4.2 free throws per game
Jalen Johnson has set him up for 12 baskets this season, his main connection.
THE MINUTES
Projected 27 to 32 minutes. He's started all six games and played 27 to 32 minutes in every one. He's on one day of rest, not a back-to-back, and Atlanta has no rotation players on the injury report. Atlanta is favored by 4.5, so a close game is the base case.
CONTEXT
Game by game (most recent first): 25, 23, 12, 18, 14, 31
On the road: 19.0 a game (3 games)
WHAT COULD KILL IT
He lives above the break, and New Orleans holds that zone to 32.8%. His road average of 19.0 sits right at the line. Johnson or Dyson Daniels could carry the scoring, and if Johnson looks for his own shot, fewer of those 12 setups come Alexander-Walker's way.
Follow for every play, with the full research behind each one.
OVER 19.5 ยท PLAY ๐
๐ Fresh off a 2-2 night. Season 23-17 +4.17u.
NBA Play of the Day โฌ๏ธ
UNDER 215.5 Total Points
76ers @ Hornets
This is the UNDER. On the card, "Over 215.5 ยท No" means the same bet as the Under.
Polymarket: 50.5% implied on the UNDER
THE CHARLOTTE OFFENSE
Charlotte can't make shots and doesn't get to the line.
28.7% from three on 45.3 attempts per game
16.7 free throws per game
38.0 paint points per game
THE PHILADELPHIA DEFENSE
Philadelphia's defense takes away exactly what Charlotte needs.
101.6 defensive rating
31.4% from three allowed
THE SPOT
Both teams are on the second night of a back-to-back. Kon Knueppel and Coby White are reported out (Charlotte hasn't filed its official report yet).
CONTEXT
Charlotte's game totals: 213, 209, 225, 213, 186, 174
WHAT COULD KILL IT
Charlotte grabs 15.2 offensive rebounds a game for extra shots, Philadelphia could push the pace, and tired legs on a back-to-back can hurt the defense as much as the offense.
Follow for every play, with the full research behind each one.
UNDER 215.5 ยท PLAY ๐
๐ Fresh off a 2-2 night. Season 23-17 +4.17u.
NBA Play of the Day โฌ๏ธ
Donovan Mitchell 25+ Points
Cavaliers @ Bucks
Polymarket: 47% implied
THE MATCHUP
Milwaukee's defense gives up the rim and the free throw line, which is exactly where Mitchell lives.
124.2 points allowed per game
116.0 defensive rating
29.8 free throws allowed per game (3rd most)
0.323 free throw rate allowed (4th highest)
Opponents finish 70.2% at the rim against them (league 66.4%)
The restricted area is Mitchell's top two-point zone: 26.4% of his shots, 15 of 23 (65.2%). It's also Milwaukee's worst zone. His above-the-break threes (33.3% of his shots, 37.9%) run into a neutral 34.0% allowed, so the rim and the line are the edge.
THE ROLE
34.6 minutes per game
17.4 shots per game
6.6 threes attempted per game
6.2 free throws per game
4.8 assists per game
Jaylon Tyson (right ankle) is officially Out, and Meleek Thomas is Questionable. Tyson averages 7.8 shots a night.
THE MINUTES
He's played 31.3 to 38.2 minutes in every game this season, he's on one day of rest, and he isn't on the injury report. Foul trouble shouldn't be an issue: Milwaukee draws only 23.2 free throws a game (21st).
CONTEXT
Game by game: 22, 19, 26, 22, 32
On the road: 27.0 a game (2 games)
WHAT COULD KILL IT
Cleveland is favored by 8.5, so a blowout could sit him for much of the 4th. Harden could carry more of the scoring. And 24.5 is right at his season average, so there's no cushion.
Follow for every play, with the full research behind each one.
PLAY ๐
Efficient NBA Analysis ๐ retweeted
HERE IS EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT TONIGHTS 7-GAME NBA SLATE FOR 10/31 ๐
BOOKMARK FOR LATER ๐
๐ That's all 7 games on tonight's slate.
Like the first post and follow for tomorrow's slate โฌ๏ธ
Thunder @ Rockets, 6:30 PM MT
Oklahoma City: 108.2 PPG scored (27th), 104.6 allowed (2nd) (5 games)
Houston: 121.0 PPG scored (3rd), 110.0 allowed (10th) (6 games)
Rockets offense vs Thunder defense
50.0 paint points per game for Houston (11th)
40.0 paint points per game allowed by Oklahoma City (3rd)
49.8% FG for Houston on 86.0 attempts per game (2nd in FG%)
42.6% FG allowed by Oklahoma City (4th)
31.7 threes per game for Houston at 37.9% (28th in volume, 5th in 3P%)
33.5% from three allowed by Oklahoma City (11th)
28.3 FTA per game for Houston (7th)
20.4 FTA per game allowed by Oklahoma City (3rd)
15.2 turnovers per game for Houston (14th)
16.4 turnovers forced per game by Oklahoma City (12th)
18.3 fast-break points per game for Houston (6th)
15.8 fast-break points per game allowed by Oklahoma City (18th)
Houston has no top-10 offense stat here against a bottom-10 Oklahoma City defense stat. Where Oklahoma City walls it off: paint scoring (11th vs 3rd).
Thunder offense vs Rockets defense
49.2 paint points per game for Oklahoma City (14th)
51.0 paint points per game allowed by Houston (21st)
44.0% FG for Oklahoma City on 91.4 attempts per game (25th in FG%)
45.8% FG allowed by Houston (12th)
32.4 threes per game for Oklahoma City at 30.9% (27th in volume, 25th in 3P%)
30.0% from three allowed by Houston (3rd)
20.6 FTA per game for Oklahoma City (27th)
23.0 FTA per game allowed by Houston (8th)
13.6 turnovers per game for Oklahoma City (5th)
15.8 turnovers forced per game by Houston (15th)
8.6 fast-break points per game for Oklahoma City (29th)
18.8 fast-break points per game allowed by Houston (29th)
Oklahoma City has no top-10 offense stat here against a bottom-10 Houston defense stat. Where Houston walls it off: three-point percentage (25th vs 3rd) and getting to the line (27th vs 8th).
Game totals
OKC: 220, 180, 209, 239, 216
HOU: 238, 224, 235, 230, 232, 227
News
Oklahoma City: Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Nikola Topic and Thomas Sorber are Out. Holmgren is reported to be out at least 8-10 weeks.
Houston: the official report is not yet submitted. Alperen Sengun (missed 10/28 and 10/30) and Reed Sheppard are reported day-to-day, and Steven Adams is reported Out. Houston is on the second night of a back-to-back.
Polymarket total: 218.5 (Over 51.5%)
Timberwolves @ Spurs, 6:00 PM MT
Minnesota: 121.5 PPG scored (2nd), 106.7 allowed (7th) (6 games)
San Antonio: 116.6 PPG scored (14th), 110.0 allowed (10th) (5 games)
Spurs offense vs Timberwolves defense
54.8 paint points per game for San Antonio (3rd)
49.7 paint points per game allowed by Minnesota (18th)
46.0% FG for San Antonio on 94.4 attempts per game (15th in FG%)
43.4% FG allowed by Minnesota (7th)
38.2 threes per game for San Antonio at 34.6% (14th in volume, 18th in 3P%)
30.5% from three allowed by Minnesota (5th)
21.2 FTA per game for San Antonio (26th)
24.7 FTA per game allowed by Minnesota (14th)
12.8 turnovers per game for San Antonio (1st)
16.0 turnovers forced per game by Minnesota (14th)
21.4 fast-break points per game for San Antonio (1st)
13.2 fast-break points per game allowed by Minnesota (9th)
San Antonio has no top-10 offense stat here against a bottom-10 Minnesota defense stat. Where Minnesota walls it off: field-goal percentage (15th vs 7th) and three-point percentage (18th vs 5th).
Timberwolves offense vs Spurs defense
51.0 paint points per game for Minnesota (10th)
46.0 paint points per game allowed by San Antonio (11th)
48.4% FG for Minnesota on 93.3 attempts per game (6th in FG%)
46.1% FG allowed by San Antonio (16th)
40.8 threes per game for Minnesota at 39.2% (7th in volume, 2nd in 3P%)
39.4% from three allowed by San Antonio (28th)
24.2 FTA per game for Minnesota (19th)
18.2 FTA per game allowed by San Antonio (1st)
15.3 turnovers per game for Minnesota (16th)
15.2 turnovers forced per game by San Antonio (19th)
13.2 fast-break points per game for Minnesota (18th)
15.6 fast-break points per game allowed by San Antonio (17th)
Where Minnesota can take advantage: three-point percentage (2nd vs 28th). Where San Antonio walls it off: getting to the line (19th vs 1st).
Game totals
MIN: 237, 208, 211, 252, 233, 228
SA: 220, 224, 228, 233, 228
News
Minnesota: the official report is not yet submitted. Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo are reported Out. Minnesota is on the second night of a back-to-back.
San Antonio: Tobias Harris (left calf strain) and Jayden Quaintance are Out.
Polymarket total: 226.5 (Over 50.5%)
Cavaliers @ Bucks, 6:00 PM MT
Cleveland: 118.0 PPG scored (10th), 117.0 allowed (20th) (5 games)
Milwaukee: 113.4 PPG scored (18th), 124.2 allowed (27th) (5 games)
Bucks offense vs Cavaliers defense
49.6 paint points per game for Milwaukee (13th)
53.6 paint points per game allowed by Cleveland (27th)
44.9% FG for Milwaukee on 92.2 attempts per game (22nd in FG%)
46.0% FG allowed by Cleveland (14th)
41.2 threes per game for Milwaukee at 34.0% (5th in volume, 20th in 3P%)
33.9% from three allowed by Cleveland (13th)
23.2 FTA per game for Milwaukee (21st)
23.0 FTA per game allowed by Cleveland (8th)
16.8 turnovers per game for Milwaukee (22nd)
14.4 turnovers forced per game by Cleveland (21st)
16.8 fast-break points per game for Milwaukee (12th)
16.0 fast-break points per game allowed by Cleveland (21st)
Milwaukee has no top-10 offense stat here against a bottom-10 Cleveland defense stat. Where Cleveland walls it off: getting to the line (21st vs 8th).
Cavaliers offense vs Bucks defense
48.4 paint points per game for Cleveland (15th)
50.8 paint points per game allowed by Milwaukee (20th)
46.2% FG for Cleveland on 89.2 attempts per game (14th in FG%)
46.8% FG allowed by Milwaukee (20th)
38.4 threes per game for Cleveland at 35.4% (13th in volume, 11th in 3P%)
33.0% from three allowed by Milwaukee (10th)
28.0 FTA per game for Cleveland (8th)
29.8 FTA per game allowed by Milwaukee (28th)
15.6 turnovers per game for Cleveland (17th)
12.6 turnovers forced per game by Milwaukee (28th)
12.6 fast-break points per game for Cleveland (21st)
14.4 fast-break points per game allowed by Milwaukee (14th)
Where Cleveland can take advantage: getting to the line (8th vs 28th). Where Milwaukee walls it off: three-point percentage (11th vs 10th).
Game totals
CLE: 220, 246, 252, 232, 225
MIL: 244, 257, 243, 212, 232
News
Cleveland: Jaylon Tyson (right ankle sprain) and Nae'Qwan Tomlin are Out. Meleek Thomas (right foot) is Questionable.
Milwaukee: no injuries listed on the official report.
Polymarket total: 236.5 (Over 51%)
Kings @ Grizzlies, 6:00 PM MT
Sacramento: 110.2 PPG scored (22nd), 126.8 allowed (29th) (5 games)
Memphis: 118.2 PPG scored (9th), 106.2 allowed (5th) (5 games)
Grizzlies offense vs Kings defense
46.0 paint points per game for Memphis (19th)
60.4 paint points per game allowed by Sacramento (30th)
45.5% FG for Memphis on 92.4 attempts per game (18th in FG%)
51.2% FG allowed by Sacramento (30th)
38.6 threes per game for Memphis at 39.9% (12th in volume, 1st in 3P%)
36.8% from three allowed by Sacramento (23rd)
22.2 FTA per game for Memphis (24th)
27.8 FTA per game allowed by Sacramento (24th)
14.4 turnovers per game for Memphis (9th)
14.2 turnovers forced per game by Sacramento (23rd)
17.4 fast-break points per game for Memphis (10th)
22.6 fast-break points per game allowed by Sacramento (30th)
Where Memphis can take advantage: three-point percentage (1st vs 23rd), ball security (9th vs 23rd) and fast-break scoring (10th vs 30th).
Kings offense vs Grizzlies defense
53.2 paint points per game for Sacramento (6th)
44.4 paint points per game allowed by Memphis (8th)
46.0% FG for Sacramento on 90.4 attempts per game (15th in FG%)
43.1% FG allowed by Memphis (6th)
33.4 threes per game for Sacramento at 30.5% (25th in volume, 26th in 3P%)
30.3% from three allowed by Memphis (4th)
22.6 FTA per game for Sacramento (22nd)
27.0 FTA per game allowed by Memphis (18th)
16.4 turnovers per game for Sacramento (20th)
15.8 turnovers forced per game by Memphis (15th)
17.6 fast-break points per game for Sacramento (8th)
10.2 fast-break points per game allowed by Memphis (2nd)
Sacramento has no top-10 offense stat here against a bottom-10 Memphis defense stat. Where Memphis walls it off: field-goal percentage (15th vs 6th) and three-point percentage (26th vs 4th).
Game totals
SAC: 217, 248, 235, 233, 252
MEM: 226, 219, 235, 215, 227
News
Sacramento: Keegan Murray, Dylan Cardwell, Maxime Raynaud and Ben Simmons are Out.
Memphis: Ty Jerome (upper back soreness) and Scotty Pippen Jr. (low back soreness) are Questionable. Quinten Post (right ankle sprain) is Doubtful.
Polymarket total: 232.5 (Over 47.5%)
Hawks @ Pelicans, 5:00 PM MT
Atlanta: 119.2 PPG scored (6th), 114.5 allowed (17th) (6 games)
New Orleans: 119.4 PPG scored (5th), 121.6 allowed (26th) (5 games)
Pelicans offense vs Hawks defense
62.0 paint points per game for New Orleans (1st)
51.7 paint points per game allowed by Atlanta (24th)
48.9% FG for New Orleans on 88.4 attempts per game (4th in FG%)
46.9% FG allowed by Atlanta (22nd)
30.6 threes per game for New Orleans at 30.1% (30th in volume, 27th in 3P%)
31.2% from three allowed by Atlanta (6th)
29.6 FTA per game for New Orleans (2nd)
26.3 FTA per game allowed by Atlanta (17th)
17.2 turnovers per game for New Orleans (25th)
17.2 turnovers forced per game by Atlanta (5th)
19.6 fast-break points per game for New Orleans (3rd)
13.8 fast-break points per game allowed by Atlanta (13th)
Where New Orleans can take advantage: paint scoring (1st vs 24th) and field-goal percentage (4th vs 22nd). Where Atlanta walls it off: three-point percentage (27th vs 6th) and ball security (25th vs 5th).
Hawks offense vs Pelicans defense
55.0 paint points per game for Atlanta (2nd)
55.6 paint points per game allowed by New Orleans (28th)
46.5% FG for Atlanta on 95.0 attempts per game (12th in FG%)
49.7% FG allowed by New Orleans (29th)
41.7 threes per game for Atlanta at 35.6% (4th in volume, 10th in 3P%)
33.9% from three allowed by New Orleans (13th)
22.0 FTA per game for Atlanta (25th)
28.0 FTA per game allowed by New Orleans (25th)
13.5 turnovers per game for Atlanta (4th)
16.8 turnovers forced per game by New Orleans (6th)
17.5 fast-break points per game for Atlanta (9th)
18.4 fast-break points per game allowed by New Orleans (27th)
Where Atlanta can take advantage: paint scoring (2nd vs 28th) and fast-break scoring (9th vs 27th).
Game totals
ATL: 257, 209, 235, 230, 246, 225
NO: 243, 239, 276, 195, 252
News
Atlanta: Mouhamed Gueye (left foot fracture) and Henri Veesaar (right ACL tear) are Out. Jock Landale (nasal fracture) is Available.
New Orleans: Jordan Poole (left ankle sprain) and Yves Missi (left knee bone bruise) are Out.
Polymarket total: 240.5 (Over 49.5%)
76ers @ Hornets, 4:00 PM MT
Philadelphia: 108.7 PPG scored (26th), 105.0 allowed (3rd) (6 games)
Charlotte: 97.3 PPG scored (30th), 106.0 allowed (4th) (6 games)
Hornets offense vs 76ers defense
38.0 paint points per game for Charlotte (30th)
47.7 paint points per game allowed by Philadelphia (13th)
39.5% FG for Charlotte on 89.5 attempts per game (30th in FG%)
42.4% FG allowed by Philadelphia (3rd)
45.3 threes per game for Charlotte at 28.7% (1st in volume, 29th in 3P%)
31.4% from three allowed by Philadelphia (7th)
16.7 FTA per game for Charlotte (30th)
26.2 FTA per game allowed by Philadelphia (16th)
17.5 turnovers per game for Charlotte (27th)
16.7 turnovers forced per game by Philadelphia (9th)
9.8 fast-break points per game for Charlotte (27th)
16.7 fast-break points per game allowed by Philadelphia (24th)
Charlotte has no top-10 offense stat here against a bottom-10 Philadelphia defense stat. Where Philadelphia walls it off: field-goal percentage (30th vs 3rd), three-point percentage (29th vs 7th) and ball security (27th vs 9th).
76ers offense vs Hornets defense
42.3 paint points per game for Philadelphia (26th)
43.7 paint points per game allowed by Charlotte (6th)
43.7% FG for Philadelphia on 88.5 attempts per game (26th in FG%)
45.3% FG allowed by Charlotte (10th)
34.8 threes per game for Philadelphia at 33.0% (21st in volume, 23rd in 3P%)
37.1% from three allowed by Charlotte (24th)
25.7 FTA per game for Philadelphia (16th)
23.7 FTA per game allowed by Charlotte (10th)
12.8 turnovers per game for Philadelphia (1st)
14.7 turnovers forced per game by Charlotte (20th)
15.7 fast-break points per game for Philadelphia (16th)
13.2 fast-break points per game allowed by Charlotte (9th)
Philadelphia has no top-10 offense stat here against a bottom-10 Charlotte defense stat. Where Charlotte walls it off: paint scoring (26th vs 6th), field-goal percentage (26th vs 10th), getting to the line (16th vs 10th) and fast-break scoring (16th vs 9th).
Game totals
PHI: 206, 220, 243, 199, 223, 191
CHA: 213, 209, 225, 213, 186, 174
News
Philadelphia: the official report is not yet submitted. Jaylen Brown (left knee) missed last night and is reported day-to-day.
Charlotte: the official report is not yet submitted. Kon Knueppel, Coby White, Grant Williams and Kylan Boswell are reported Out.
Both teams are on the second night of a back-to-back.
Polymarket total: 215.5 (Over 49.5%)
Trail Blazers @ Jazz, 1:00 PM MT
Portland: 122.8 PPG scored (1st), 114.0 allowed (16th) (4 games)
Utah: 112.4 PPG scored (19th), 120.2 allowed (23rd) (5 games)
Jazz offense vs Trail Blazers defense
47.6 paint points per game for Utah (17th)
49.5 paint points per game allowed by Portland (17th)
45.4% FG for Utah on 87.6 attempts per game (19th in FG%)
45.9% FG allowed by Portland (13th)
34.8 threes per game for Utah at 33.9% (21st in volume, 21st in 3P%)
32.9% from three allowed by Portland (9th)
27.4 FTA per game for Utah (9th)
23.8 FTA per game allowed by Portland (11th)
17.0 turnovers per game for Utah (24th)
13.5 turnovers forced per game by Portland (26th)
7.6 fast-break points per game for Utah (30th)
15.8 fast-break points per game allowed by Portland (18th)
Utah has no top-10 offense stat here against a bottom-10 Portland defense stat. Where Portland walls it off: three-point percentage (21st vs 9th).
Trail Blazers offense vs Jazz defense
53.0 paint points per game for Portland (7th)
48.0 paint points per game allowed by Utah (14th)
48.5% FG for Portland on 89.8 attempts per game (5th in FG%)
46.7% FG allowed by Utah (19th)
45.0 threes per game for Portland at 35.0% (2nd in volume, 15th in 3P%)
37.9% from three allowed by Utah (25th)
28.8 FTA per game for Portland (5th)
27.2 FTA per game allowed by Utah (19th)
14.0 turnovers per game for Portland (7th)
12.2 turnovers forced per game by Utah (30th)
12.8 fast-break points per game for Portland (19th)
16.4 fast-break points per game allowed by Utah (23rd)
Where Portland can take advantage: ball security (7th vs 30th).
Game totals
POR: 207, 248, 265, 227
UTAH: 226, 239, 255, 215, 228
News
Portland: Ja Morant (left hamstring strain) and Shaedon Sharpe are Out on the official report. Morant is reported to be out about four weeks. Robert Williams III (left knee, injury management) and Chris Youngblood (left ankle soreness) are Questionable.
Utah: Jaren Jackson Jr. (right knee MCL tear) and Jusuf Nurkic are Out. Lauri Markkanen (right wrist sprain) is Questionable.
Polymarket total: 231.5 (Over 51%)






