$BTC 📊 Still chopping within its LTF Range. Not really surprising behaviour given FOMC tomorrow. The flows here are still showing signs of strength for now, especially with Spot CVD actively increasing. Still holding my scalped Long from yesterday but taken out some risk at VAH. Larger Swing Long positioning will become sensible upon a stronger structural construct.

Strong environment, yet price refuses to go anywhere… This is prime example of pre-FOMC uncertainty.

pre-fomc pa 👎😴

all day every day 🫡

The guru culture is getting out of hand... firstly they destroy the image of trading in general and now they are even coming for orderflow... so annyoing to see since it hurts the whole industry image and the ones which actually do this for real. I truly miss the times when trading was not as mainstream as it is today.

📊 $BTC Order Flow Update BTC continues to trade around its local range VAL. Price action is compressing and volume is declining, setting the stage for a potential impulsive move once this compression resolves. 🔎 Order Flow & Positioning The underlying flow is showing bullish signals. We’re seeing a significant divergence between Spot CVD and Perps CVD: spot buying is increasing while perpetual traders continue to sell aggressively. This suggests that perp sellers are attempting to force a downside breakout while aggressive spot buyers are accumulating BTC. On top of that, the order book remains heavily stacked with bids below current price, potentially providing a supportive base. 📍 My Plan Given these conditions, I’ve started scaling into hedge-long exposure against my broader swing short. I’m keeping the risk relatively small for now, as we’re still structurally in LTF no-man’s-land without a clear directional setup. The primary purpose of this long is to protect my overall short exposure against a potential impulsive move to the upside; particularly a breakout that runs without offering a retest. I’m positioning for the possibility, not betting on the outcome.

💯🤝

Quick Word on "Trading Psychology" being shared recently on CT Every few months, there seems to be a wave of posts from large accounts sharing their "ever so difficult journey" and all the lessons they learned along the way. I’m not saying the advice contained is wrong, but I do think a lot of these stories get exaggerated. When humans talk about our achievements publicly, our ego naturally wants the journey to sound as difficult and dramatic as possible. Most are seeking the credibility for it (though no anyone will admit that...) Take the advice for what it is, but don’t give it too much weight. Everyone follows their own path. What worked for someone else might not work for you. Your starting capital, when you entered the market, where you live, your education; there are almost infinitely many factors that make your journey unique. Even if it seems like you and a particular creator had the exact same circumstances on the surface: You most likely didn't and there are many uncovered variables which are simply not reconstrubtable. When I was starting out, I got consumed by these posts. What helped me was simply getting off X for a week or two. When I returned, I felt fresher and more focused than ever. Cutting out the noise is a game changer. You are writing your own story. Work hard, do what needs to be done, and stop comparing your journey to everyone else's. Don't get consumed by the noise.

yes, I think so too 💯 really looking forward to the week. lots of opportunities ahead

Viel Spaß dir im Urlaub 🫡

Access the QuantLibrary 📚: 👉 discord.gg/jgwG4zwpY

GM ☕️ $BTC is still fighting to reclaim the VAL of the current range. I'm continuing to look for my next potential long, with order flow determining whether and where I enter. 🎯 Plan There are two main Scenarios I'm watching today: 1. Local change of structure + range reclaim A clear local change of structure, followed by a reclaim into the current range, would give me the confidence to start scaling into a long on subsequent retracements. 2. 77.2k nPOC This would mark a potential completion of my base-case scenario. The reaction to this nPOC will be decisive in determining whether a long setup becomes attractive. In both scenarios, confirmation is essential. These are areas of interest, not automatic entries. 📊 Market Outlook We can likely expect increased volatility this week, with several macro events on the calendar. Today, at the NY Open, the team of analysts at The Quant Library Discord and I will be hosting a free live session, monitoring BTC from both an order flow and structural perspective. We'll assess how the market develops in real time and what opportunities emerge. See you at the NY Open! 🤝

goes to show the economic free rider problem. sadly it will always occur when providing public goods..

I get you bro. Partially seeing it for myself as well. It is genuinely sickening to see the ungratefulness in this space. Honest & Good work gets blindly consumed without much appreciation; People simply take the free stuff as given. Very reasonable and understandable consequences you have implemented..

Many oversee the aspect of "adapting style". I have seen so many course sellers & larpers putting trading as a skill you learn once and then use it to print money Indefinitely. Every discretionary strategies need to be constantly adapted to the underlying market regime.

🫡🤝

$BTC Sunday Plan 📌 BTC is starting Sunday once again below the mini-range VAL. So far, the recovery structure remains intact. However, the warning signs we identified yesterday are still present. 📊 Order Flow The most notable signal is the bearish divergence between Spot CVD and Perp CVD. This suggests that the current recovery has been driven primarily by aggressive buyers in the perpetual market, while spot participation has been largely absent. That raises questions about the sustainability of this move. 💼 Positioning & Plan We are certainly trading in regions where I would like to look for long opportunities. However, location alone is not enough. As long as order flow continues to show these bearish signals, I won't reopen a long position just because price has reached an attractive area. For now, I'll remain patient and continue holding my swing and scalp shorts opened at higher levels. I want to see genuine spot demand and a meaningful improvement in order flow before considering new longs. Wishing everyone a good Sunday! 🤝

Ich bin mal gespannt. grade hängt BTC wirklich nur noch am letzten faden. Gerade könnte man es schon als breakout der lokalen range deuten, sollten wir uns hier weiter aufhalten und schließen. Wenn er sich hier nicht hält geht es MMn weiter richtung 77k. Dort sollten wir spätestens am nPOC vorerst support greifen.. xitter.cf/quantlibrary/status/21…